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UPlan Land Use Allocation Model 2.6 User`s Manual

1. 5 2 4 General Plan Layer Adding general plan layers is done by editing the generalplans table Edit the display name name the data source name srcname geographic region it belongs to geoid and which variant model it belongs to variantid Only integer grids are allowed 5 2 5 Mask Layer Adding a mask layer is done by editing the masks table Edit the display name name the data source name srcname geographic region it belongs to geoid and which variant model it belongs to variantid The user also needs to determine whether the layer can be buffered or not If so then put a 1 in the buffered field and if not put a 0 5 3 VARIANT MODELS 5 3 Variant Model Overview In order to accommodate users who would like to use different land use types categories the variant model application has been added A variant model can be set up and executed in a similar fashion as the University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 43 default model schema the default model schema has 4 buffer classes and 7 land use types 5 3 2 Adding a New Variant A new variant is added through the data loader To open the data loader click on the Data Loader button located on the far right of the data frame viewer Figure 3 1 The first form allows the user to select which model variant they would like to edit Figure 5 1 On the bottom of this form is a text box labeled New Variation where the
2. Conversion formulas in UPlan Population Increment Population in Projection Year Population in Base Year Total Household Increment Population Increment persons per household Total Employment Increment Total Household Increment Employees per household Industry Employment Total Employment Increment Percent employment ratio in industry 100 Acres for industry Industry Employment sq ft per employee in industry industry FAR High Density Commercial Employment Total Employment Increment Percent employment ratio in high density commercial 100 Acres for High Density Commercial High Density Commercial Employment sq ft per employee in High Density Commercial High Density Commercial FAR 43560 Low Density Commercial Employment Total Employment Increment Percent employment ratio in low density commercial 100 Acres for Low Density Commercial Low Density Commercial Employment sq ft per employee in Low Density Commercial Low Density Commercial FAR 43560 Households in high density residential Total households percent households in high density residential 100 Households in medium density residential Total households percent households in medium density residential 100 Households in low density residential Total households percent households in low density residential 100 Households in very low density residential Total households percent households in very lo
3. Normally these numbers are included as a field in the vector data from which the grid was derived Where this is the case one can specify the vector field to be used as the value field when creating the grid in ArcInfo or ArcGIS 9 0 This is important because the model refers to the grid values when looking for geographic and general plan areas that receive appropriate allocations University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 10 3 UPlan Components 3 1 MODEL COMPONENTS 3 1 1 Demographic and Land Use Parameters The land consumption is calculated on user specified demographic and land use factors that are converted to acres of land consumed in each class The conversion starts with population projections for counties or the entire region The user is then prompted to specify the demographic and land use characteristics he or she would like to test To determine acres needed for future housing the user specifies persons per household percent of households in each density class and average parcel size for each density class A similar conversion in which workers per household percent of workers in each employment class and average area per worker in square feet and acres are the inputs is used to determine acres of land consumed for industry and commerce The model produces a table of acres demanded for each land use category from which the model operates its allocation routine If the total avail
4. http ice ucdavis edu Cancel Figure 4 1 UPlan Wizard First Screen To have a UPlan run click the UPlan 2 Model button to call the UPlan starting user interface Figure 4 1 and click Next gt to call the Choose Model Varient interface Figure 4 2 Here you can either run the default model schema or a variant schema A variant schema can be selected if you would like to use different land use types than the ones included in the default model schema After highlighting your selection click Next gt to call the main user interface to choose a sub model to run Figure 4 3 University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 22 Uplan 2 Choose Model Variant Choose Model Variant Default Uplan Model Schema Experimental Uplan Model Schema test Figure 4 2 UPlan Wizard Choose Model Variant Uplan 2 Choose Model Type Choose Model Method Single County Model Standard model run Model runs within a single county boundary with demographic numbers evenly distributed within the county C Single County with Sub Areas Model Single county model variant Model runs within a single county boundary but demographic numbers are subdivided and growth is allocated within each subarea Cluster Geographic Area Model Model run based on geographic area different than counties Can be used to create runs effecting multiple counties or regions Demographics are handled the same as stand
5. The number of households in the category EMP The number of employees in the category SF The number of square feet that the HH or EMP indicate by type EDemand The calculated annual electricity demand for the category GDemand The calculated annual gas demand for the category NGEDemand The calculated demand for electricity from natural gas power plants ColEDemand The calculated demand for electricity from coal power plants OilEDemand The calculated demand for electricity from oil powerplants This function is currently set to zero because there is no major oil generation activity in the California NG_CO2E The CO2E emitted by NG power plants in grams to supply the demand Coal CO2E The CO2E emitted by coal power plants in grams to supply the demand Oil CO2E The CO2E emitted by oil power plants in grams to supply the demand Currently set to zero in the code University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 68 Thrm CO2E The CO2E emitted by in building natural gas burning in grams to supply the demand CO2E the total CO2E emitted in grams Tons COE the total CO2E emitted converted to metric tons University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 69 Appendix A MODEL INPUT DATA Boundary grid The county boundary city boundary or region boundary is used as the research boundary The value of the grid cells must be 1 for Single County Model which is hard coded in t
6. geoid and the variant id number varientid emplanduse landuse avesqft far geoid varientid proportion stores information on how much land use is required by each employment type separated by variant including the land use abbreviation landuse average square feet avesqft the floor area ratio far geographic id geoid and the variant id number varientid employment geoid varientid ephh baseemp futureemp stores default values for employment variables separated by variant including the employees per household ephh base number of employees baseemp future number of employees futureemp geographic id geoid and variant id varientid excel path stores the full directory path to the excel exe file on the computer that uplan is running on generalplans name srcname geoid varientid stores information on available general plan layers separated by variant including their display name name source name srcname geographic id geoid and variant id varientid geoids geoid geoname geodescription active modeltype varientid stores information about the geographic ids separated by variant including the id number geoid the id name geoname which county or counties are included geodescription whether it is set to be available for selection University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 19 in the UPlan User interface avtive which model method within th
7. name of your new variant should be entered Once a name is entered click on the Add button and the name will now appear in the top list of model variants 5 3 3 Editing a Variant Model Buffer Classes After creating a new variant model you need to set the buffer classes Buffer classes are groups of land use types that will be assigned the same attraction and discouragement layers values and buffers Groups can contain one or more land use types For example in the default model schema the Industrial land use type has its own group because it has its own unique set of attraction and discouragement layers and buffers In the default model schema there are four buffer classes Residential High and Medium Residential Low Industrial Commercial High and Low Therefore in the default model schema the attraction and discouragement rasters for residential High and residential Medium are identical To set the buffer classes first highlight the model variant by clicking on it in the data loader Figure 5 1 and then clicking on the Edit Buffer Classes button You will now see a new form that allows you to add and edit buffer classes Figure 5 3 University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 44 Uplan Data Loader Buffer Classes Industrial Commercial High and Low Residential Medium Delete Class Add New Buffer Class Add Change Buffer Class Description Change Close Figure 5 3 Data Load
8. 15 Residential Medium Residential Low e Residential Very Low EUR C Custom Export Figure 6 1 Default TAZ Export Form Leaving the radio button set as Default and clicking the Export button will create the default export table University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 48 6 1 2 Custom Export The custom export function begins with the same form as the default export Switching the radio button from Default to Custom and then clicking the Export button will bring up the Custom TAZ Export Form If an existing DefTAZExport table is found you will be given the option of reusing it or forcing the computation of a new one This recalculation should only be necessary if the TAZ layer has changed in some way TranEX Custom TAZ Export FO Source TAZ Table Get TAZ Table Select TAZ Field TAZ Field Select Option Previous Export Configuration Destination TAZ Field Name Source Fields add Exception add Exception Delete Exception Clear 1 a NL constant Validate Validate and Save Save Config i Exit All Export Figure 6 2 Custom TAZ Export Form starting condition First you must specify the TAZ table you wish to use as a the template for the output The output will exist in the same table structure as exists in this table and may include the values that exist in the table Click the Get TAZ Table button and navigate to the table you
9. CO2E Tab 64 7 4 RUNNING THE GREEN HOUSE GAS MODULE 65 7 4 1 Settings 66 7 4 2 Final Configuration and Run 66 7 4 3 Output Table 67 APPENDIX A 69 MODEL INPUT DATA 69 APPENDIX B 73 CONVERSION FORMULAS IN UPLAN 73 University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 7 Introduction 1 1 1 2 1 2 1 1 22 OVERVIEW UPlan is an application that was developed to allow users to project future land use patterns Users can then overlay environmental data with the urban footprint to identify potential conflicts UPlan v1 2 was the original version and was designed by the University of California Davis in cooperation with the Merced County Association of Governments MCAG The new version is fully reprogrammed in Visual Basic Application VBA and runs in ArcGIS 9 x UPlan was originally designed for use in San Joaquin Valley California However UPlan has been modified for use in other areas numerous times CONCEPTS AND CONVENTIONS UPlan2 6 was designed to operate with ESRI s ArcGIS 9 x application Basic knowledge of ArcGIS 9 x along with fundamental knowledge of land use is assumed throughout the UPlan User s Manual While a detailed understanding of planning and development is not necessary to operate UPlan2 6 planning and zoning terminology is used throughout the User s Manual Target Users UPlan2 6 consists of three models and serves different planning purposes It was designed
10. View Insert Selection Tools Window Help oe i do 11288007 c amp dp R Spatial analyst v Editor v Z J um SP Uplan2 Model f Service Costs TE RunReport 4 Quick Summary Aggregate Runs X DataLoader 2 TAZ Export x Q S Ee amp ie Display Source Selection DrawWng v Kk 10 4BzulA o5 4 121317 09 28462 69 Meters University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 17 3 3 Figure 3 1 UPlan GUI DATA STRUCTURE The Uplan model is built to run as a self contained object with some flexibility but also some structure requirements The Uplan ArcMap Document MXD must be in a directory above the following other directories lt Uplan2_6Vdata gt lt Uplan2_6 ini gt lt Uplan2_6 runs gt Uplan2 6Nnfo The data directory stores the base layers and input grids for the various geographic regions to be modeled Each geographic region whether county or cluster has it s own sub directory within the data directory As an example Merced County whose FIPS code is 06047 has all the data necessary to run the Uplan model in Merced county in the data 06047 directory The ini directory stores the initialization personal geodatabase iGDB The iGDB contains all the variables needed to run Uplan s graphical user interface GUI as well as values needed by the Uplan model The following tables reside within the 1
11. allocated to its corresponding designations in the General Plan as follows University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN Land Use Type General Plan Category Industry Industry Urban Reserve High Density Commercial Downtown Commercial Mixed use Urban Reserve High Density Residential Multi Family Residential Planned Development Mixed use Urban Reserve Low Density Commercial Neighborhood Commercial Planned Development Mixed use Urban Reserve Medium Density Residential Single Family Residential Planned Development Mixed use Urban Reserve Low Density Residential Rural Residential Very Low Density Res Rural Residential This is called two way zoning legally Limited Compliance Each land use is allocated to its corresponding General Plan designation Land uses are listed in order of allocation Land Use Type General Plan Category Industry Industry Urban Reserve High Density Commercial Industry Downtown Commercial Mixed Use Urban Reserve High Density Residential Industrial Downtown Commercial Multi Family Residential Planned Development Mixed Use Urban Reserve Low Density Commercial Industry Downtown Commercial Neighborhood Commercial Multi Family Residential Planned Development Mixed use Urban Reserve Medium Density Residential Industrial Dow
12. basepop future population futurepop the number of people per household pphh geographic id geoid the redevelopment population redevpop and variant id varientid resilanduse geoid varientid landuse avelotsize proportion stores residential land use paramenters separated by variant id including the geographic id geoid variant id varientid land use category landuse the average lot size avelotsize and the percentage of the population assigned to the land use category proportion service name srcname geoid varientid stores the boundary layers that the service costs module uses as a baseline for calculating the distance from separated by variant id including the display name name source name srcname geographic id geoid and variant id variantid slope name srcname slopeid geoid variantid stores information on the slope rasters used in the model separated by variant id University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 20 subareaemployment landuse proportion subarea variantid geoid avgsqft far stores data in an identical format as the emplanduse table with the addition of the sub area 1d subareaid which separates the employment parameters by sub area Subarearesidential landuse proportion subareaid varientid geoid avglotsize stores data in an identical format as the resilanduse table with the addition of the sub area id subareaid which separa
13. e GovEmp SELF 0 2 cl emp o Makes the number of government employees equal to the current number plus 20 of the CL employees e OtrEmp SELF 1 2 o Makes the number of other employees equal 120 of the current number e TotEmp SELF cl emp ch emp in emp 0 2 OtrEmp o Calculates a total number of employees including the fixed increase from the other employee category ie a 2096 increase in the other employees University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 53 7 Greenhouse Gas Calculator 7 1 GREENHOUSE GAS CALCULATIONS The Greenhouse gas calculator is intended to provide a simple and rapid method for calculating the energy demand and resultant greenhouse gas GHG production by the newly built environment as predicted by UPlan Based on this goal we used data primarily derived from California Energy Commission CEC reports and maps and data published by the individual energy providers power content labels The carbon dioxide equivalent CO2E greenhouse gas emissions for the energy production methods are based on the Argonne Labs GREET model 7 2 CALCULATION METHOD The calculation method is a simple progression from calculating the demanded energy to determining the likely production method for the energy to calculating the CO2E generated 7 2 1 Spatial Segregation Three or in the case of a subarea model four spatial datasets are used to identify the
14. for doing this is explained in Section 4 1 3 of this manual and the interface is identical to Figure 4 9 Attractors This tab is used to assign attractor GRIDs to buffer classes After importing the GRID by clicking on the Get New Raster button you can change the display name of the attractor in the text box and then highlight which buffer class es this attractor will be available for in model runs After these two things are set click on the Add New University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 40 Attractor button to add the attractor to the list on the left hand side of this form Once the attractor is added you may still change which buffer classes it will be assigned to by highlighting the attractor and then clicking on the buffer classes to the right of the list highlighted means it will be available as an attractor in the model run unhighlighted means that it will not be available If you would like to change the display name of the attractor you need to remove the attractor and then add it again To remove an attractor highlight it in the list of attractors and then click on the Remove Attractor button on the bottom right corner of the form Discouragers This tab is used to assign discouragement GRIDs to buffer classes The layout and functionality is identical to the attractors tab described above Masks Here you can add Mask GRIDs which represent areas that are excluded from being assigned
15. in the structure for heating and cooking Green House Gas Calculator Demo variant fet Greenhouse Gas Variant Configuration Settings Edit Service Provider Edit Climate Zones CO2E Variants Generation Method g KWH or g therm 6458 33 Therm 6458 38 grams of CO2E KWH or Therm 7 4 Running the Green House Gas Module University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 66 7 4 1 Settings Click on the Settings tab Green House Gas Calculator Demo Variant zm eect Greenhouse Gas Variant Configuration Settings Edit Service Provider Edit Climate Zones CO2E Variants 1 0 Electricty Consumption Factor 1 0 Gas Consumption Factor LU LUType GHG Mode Square Footage Res Only Employment Employment SF Employment Employment SF Residential Residential SF Employment Employment SF Residential Residential SF Residential Residential SF Residential Square footage The Electricity and Gas Consumption factors can be used to scale the consumption of energy A factor of 1 uses exactly the settings that you have entered in the configuration A factor of 0 9 results in 10 less energy used by of that form This is intended to allow coarse simulation of efficiency improvements 7 4 2 Final Configuration and Run Click on the Configuration tab Green House Gas Calculator Demo Variant c eect Greenhouse Gas Variant Configuration Settings Edit Servi
16. is no limit to the number of land use types The user may assign each land use type in the general plan a unique value or different land use types the same value The values will be refreshed automatically after the user selects a general plan Uplan 2 General Plans Merced General Plan Selection and Land Use General Plan Value Mapping General Plan Raster Layer General Plan Uplan Land Use Categories General Plan Raster Value Industrial Residential High Commercial Low Residential Medium Residential Low Residential Very Low Next gt Cancel Figure 4 13 Mask Selection Dialog To allocate the growth the user has to re designate the land use types in general plan into UPlan land use categories Click a UPlan Land Use Categories in the left window Figure 4 13 and then click one or more than one raster value in the right window For example in Figure 4 13 raster values 12 and 10 are coupled with Commercial High It means that the allocation for high density commercial can go into the land use types that are represented by 12 and 10 in the county general plan Repeat this step until all UPlan Land Use Categories are re designated When all the categories are designated click Next gt Following general plan designations the final window will appear From here the user can either choose to run the model or step backwards through the dialog boxes to modify settings University of California Davis Inf
17. recognized The rasters also need to be in the same projection as the boundary grid for the GeoID Select your service provider raster from the drop down menu The display window below will be populated with the values from the raster If values have already been entered they will be displayed and can be edited If there are no previously entered data you will see the numeric values followed by a set of Zeros Green House Gas Calculator Demo variant fet Greenhouse Gas Variant Configuration Settings Edit Service Provider Edit Climate Zones COZE Variants sj sa q3 Select Service Provider Layer Add sp Value SP Name NG Coal Delete SP Pct NG Pct Coal Select each row and enter the appropriate values in the windows below University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 62 Green House Gas Calculator Demo variant filet Greenhouse Gas Variant Configuration Settings Edit Service Provider Edit Climate Zones COE Variants Select Service Provider Layer sjq sa 93 Rd n Add SP Value SP Name MID PGE Expansion Delete SP Service Provider Name Pct NG Pct Coal The Delete SP button can be used to delete the currently selected service provider layer from the GHG Variant All configuration for this layer will be removed Note that you can have multiple service provider layers in the same GHG Variant We don t expect this function to be used very frequently T
18. t make the buffers too large gt 300m or user will be masking a large percentage of user lands depending on the number of features such as streams It is also important to note that buffers apply to all sides of a feature Therefore if a stream is buffered by 100 meters the final buffer distance is 200 meters wide 100 meters radiating from each side of the stream Uplan 2 Masks Merced Mask Selection Available Mask Layers Selected Mask Layers Impaired Rivers Existing Urban Prime Farmland TNC Farm Easements Public Land WCB Farm Easements Rivers Radius 100 lt Back Next gt Cancel Figure 4 12 Mask Selection Dialog GENERAL PLAN UPlan runs are based on county general plans This graphical user interface GUI allows the user to choose an alternative general plan and combine the land use types to test the impacts of different land use policies Click the name of a general plan to choose it for a run in the General Plan Raster Layer list UPlan land use types are listed in the left window The labels for each land use type cannot be changed at University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 33 this point If you would like to use other types than the default ones listed you need to set up and use a variant model schema For more information about variant models see section 5 3 The raster values that represent each land use type in the general plan are listed in right window There
19. the Model tab Return to the Sub Areas tab and click on the Get Sub Areas button A subarea will now be displayed in the list of Sub Areas With the subarea highlighted set the values in the text boxes These values represent the percentage of the total population and employment that will be allocated to the sub area Sub Area Residential Set the residential parameters for the subarea The layout and functionality are the same as the Residential tab University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 41 Sub Area Employment Set the employment parameters for the subarea The layout and functionality are the same as the Employment tab Base Layers This tab allows the user to add layer files to the model that are not used in the allocation of land use types but rather are used as visual aids in the model output Begin by symbolizing the base layers outside of a UPlan session and save the symbology to a Layer File with the extension of lyr in the correct county cluster folder Now use the Base Layers tab to add the layer files by clicking on the Get New Base button and then the Add New Base button The display name will be the same as the name of the layer file Once you have added all of your base layers they will appear in a list on the right hand side of the form You can then change the order of the layers using the Move Up and Move Down buttons The order of the layers in the list represents the order
20. type XX in the referenced TAZ o This is calculated by multiplying the number of households by the average people per household e XX SqFt the number of square feet of land use XX in buildings in the referenced TAZ o This is calculated by converting the acres into square feet of building space using the FAR used as an input to UPlan and a unit conversion e XX Emp the number of employees in land use XX in the referenced TAZ o This is calculated by dividing the square feet of the land use in the TAZ by the average square feet per employee used as an input to UPlan University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 52 e SELF The self keyword indicates that the value that currently existists in that field of the TAZ s record in the template TAZ table will be used In many cases this template document will be a starting point e Field name gt The other field names permit the use of values that exist in another field within the same TAZ in a calculation The following arithmetic operators are available for your use while manipulating values into TAZs t Plus Minus Times Division and Open and close parenthesis Constant To insert a constant for use within an operation These elements can be assembled in many ways to produce a desired result Some examples are e SF DUJ SELF rm hh rl hh rvl hh o Adds the SELF to the total number of households from RM RL and RVL
21. wish to use Next select the field that contains the TAZ number in that table And finally select a previous export configuration if you ve created one You will be able to choose from any saved configurations stored in this UPlan mxd that use both the same variant and the same TAZ Table If you are creating a new configuration select the New TAZ Specification option instead of an existing saved configuration University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 49 TranEX Custom TAZ Export i Source TAZ Table TAZ Field Previous Export Configuration Destination TAZ Field Name Set Source Fields DEFAULT Add Exception Ep er SELF ATYPE UPlan Souri ATYPE STR in Acres Delete Exception EU Nit RETAIL_EMP SERVICE EM Tig aie l OTHER_EMP ch_SqFt TOTAL_EMP rh_Acres TOTAL_DU 4 gt gt gt w es ee ee ee Validate Validate and Save Save Config Exit Exit All Export Figure 6 3 Custom TAZ Export Form ready to begin specification setup Click on the DEFAULT in the Destination TAZ list box You will first be specifying the mapping and any transformations that will be applied to all of the TAZs that are not specified independently as exceptions Now click on a field in the Field Name list box to begin setting that field You will notice that the long text box below the mathematic operators now says Field name S
22. 4 8 These parameters are used to calculate the total number of acres needed for residential uses out to the horizon year To change a parameter click on the row you would like to change and use the text boxes on the bottom to update the value Land Use This column displays the residential land use types The ones listed in the default model schema are e rh High Density Attached multifamily dwellings e rm Medium Density Mostly detached single family dwellings e rl Low Density Rural dwellings with own well and septic e rvl Very low density Rural dwellings with own well and septic If you would like other types then the default ones listed you need to set up and use a variant model schema For more information about variant models see section 5 3 Residential Ratio The proportion of households in each of the four density categories The total should be 10095 Ave Lot Size These settings are used to specify the average size of a lot in acres for each of the density classes The number of units per acre are typically specified in a general plan or zoning ordinance University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 27 Averages across a geographic analysis unit for each density class will need to be estimated by the user Uplan 2 Residential Variables San Joaquin Residential Parameters Land Use Residential Ratio Avg Lot Size acres 0 05 0 25 5 Residential Ratio 2
23. 6 are not included in the study zones 6 14 15 and 16 For these Zones we used an average of the surrounding zones or as in the case of zone 15 only the surrounding zones with similar climates Using data disaggregated by climate zone and utility permits the projections to be more accurate than if we used statewide averages 7 3 3 Service Provider Data University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 58 Each service provider must have its percent of total electrical generation specified for natural gas power plants and coal power plants Oil may be included but is not currently in large use in California so it is not explicitly calculated at present The percentages do not need to add up to 100 It is very likely that the service provider will have a significant percentage of its generation coming from a source that does not directly emit CO2E to generate electricity Hydropower nuclear solar and wind generation are not included as GHG sources within this GHG Calculator Service provider maps are available through the CEC In addition all service providers are required to make their energy mix available to the public Senate Bill 1305 Statutes of 1997c in the form of Power Content Labels so that in the competitive market consumers are able to make informed decisions as to which electricity products or company they desire The label lists the different energy resources that can be used to generate electr
24. Avg Lot Size 20 Control Total Residential Ratio 100 lt Back Next gt Cancel Figure 4 8 Residential Variables Employment Parameters Figure 4 9 These parameters are used to set the proportion of employees in each of the broad economic sectors To change a parameter click on the row you would like to change and use the text boxes on the bottom to update the value Land Use This column displays the employment land use types The ones listed in the default model schema are e in Industry light and heavy industry e ch High density Commercial FAR gt 2 0 or defined by the user e cl Low density Commercial FAR lt 2 0 or defined by the user If you would like other types then the default ones listed you need to set up and use a variant model schema For more information about variant models see section 5 3 Employment Proportion The proportion of employees in each of the three categories The total should be less than or equal to 100 Ave Sq Footage These parameters allow the user to define the average amount of building space per employee for each of the employment categories These estimates might be found in publications by business labor or real estate organizations The typical square feet per employee is 333 for office 400 for retail and University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 28 4 2 667 for warehousing distribution http www fhwa dot gov scalds ful
25. ELF This means that at present the field you ve selected will have the value in the output for the set TAZ or all of them in this case will equal the value that currently exists within the template TAZ table as symbolized by SELF SELF will always be used to indicate that it is using the value from the same field in the input for the TAZ currently being processed In the example the field chosen is SF DUJ so SF DU SELF means that currently the output value for each TAZ in the field SF DU will equal the current contents of that same field and TAZ in the template table If we click on the button the will be added to the text box Now in the source fields find a field that you want to add to the existing value In this case we will be adding the rm hhb rl hh and rvl_hh values to the currently existing value Add the fields by double clicking on them in the Source Fields list box to add them to the end of the text box University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 50 When you have completed the function you can click the Validate button to check if the function validates correctly and Validate and Save to validate the function and if validates to save it Repeat this process for all of the fields in the Field Name list box TranEX Custom TAZ Export Source TAZ Table TAZ Field Previous Export Configuration Destination TAZ Field Name Set S
26. GDB attracters baselayers bufferclasses discouragers emplanduse employment excel generalplans geoids janduses masks modelparams residential resilanduse Service slope Ssubareaemployment Subarearesidential subareas variant University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 18 Here is a brief explanation of each table attracters name srcname classid geoid variantid stores information on all attraction layers separated by variant including their display name name source name srcname which attraction class it belongs to classid which geographic region it belong to geoid and the variant id number varientid baselayers layerfile geoid draworder variantid stores information on the base layers displayed with the model run separated by variant including the display layers layerfile geographic id geoid the order they are shown in the table of contents draworder and the variant id number varientid bufferclasses classid class varientid stores the landuse classes class the class id number classid and the variant id number varidnetid discouragers name srcname classid geoid varientid stores information on all discouragement layers separated by variant including their display name name source name srcname which attraction class it belongs to classid which geographic region it belong to
27. If you select a county in the upper box and click the down arrow the county will be moved from the Active to the Inactive list Note that doing this does not remove any dataset entries for the University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 38 county and that if the county is reactivated it will still contain any entries for the county Making a county active or inactive controls whether the county will be available for use during UPlan model runs Conversely selecting a county in the lower box or Geolds list and clicking the up arrow makes the county available for use Again note that making a county active does not create the directory for it in the Data folder or provide any datasets for use within UPlan if they have not already been set up 5 1 4 Layer Type Tabs Across the top of the Data Loader is a series of tabs These tabs select the type of data that you wish to add edit or delete from the specified county cluster Please refer to the next section Section 5 1 5 for specifics on the types of data for each type The tabs directly correlate to the table of the same name in the initialization database 5 1 5 Operational Area Below the Layer Type Tabs you will find the operational area This is where you make any changes to the datasets or values stored within the tables All of the tables function in one of two ways The first used in the Demographics Residential Employm
28. ULTS OUTPUT 4 5 1 Maps 4 5 2 Reporting 4 5 3 Aggregate Runs 4 5 4 Service Costs 5 DATA MANAGEMENT 5 1 DATA LOADER 5 1 1 Data Loader Overview 5 1 2 User Interface 5 1 3 Geolds Chooser 5 2 MODIFYING INITIALIZATION TABLES 5 2 1 A General Note on Editing Initialization Tables 5 2 2 Base Layer 5 2 3 Attraction and Discouragement Layer 5 2 4 General Plan Layer 5 2 5 Mask Layer 5 3 VARIANT MODELS 5 3 1 Variant Model Overview iii ONIN N ANAAYN Un University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN iv 6 TAZ EXPORT 47 6 1 TRANSPORTATION ANALYSIS ZONES 47 6 1 1 Default Export 47 6 1 2 Custom Export 46 6 1 3 Functions 51 7 GREENHOUSE GAS CALCULATOR 53 7 1 GREENHOUSE GAS CALCULATIONS 53 7 2 CALCULATION METHODOLOGY 53 7 2 1 Spatial Segregation 53 7 2 2 Demand Calculation Residential 54 7 2 3 Demand Calculation Employment by Square Foot 54 7 2 4 Demand Calculation Employment by Number of Employees 54 7 2 5 Conversion of Electrical Demand to Carbon Dioxide Equivalent Emissions 55 7 3 CONFIGURING THE GREEN HOUSE GAS MODULE 55 7 3 1 Spatial Data 56 7 3 2 Demand Data 56 7 3 3 Service Provider Data 57 7 3 4 GHG Variants 58 7 3 5 Setting up a new GHG Variant 58 7 3 6 Copying GHG Variant 59 7 3 7 Deleting a GHG Variant 59 7 3 8 Setting the GHG Variant 59 7 3 9 Editing the Settings Tab 59 7 3 10 Editing the Service Providers Tab 60 7 3 11 Editing the Climate Zone Tab 62 7 3 12 Editing the
29. UPlan Land Use Allocation Model 2 6 User s Manual Developed for California Department of Transportation Developed by Department of Environmental Science amp Policy University of California Davis Davis CA 95616 November 2007 Prof Bob Johnston rajohnston ucdavis edu Phone 530 582 0700 Eric Lehmer elehmer ucdavis edu Phone 530 754 6212 Shengyi Gao sgao ucdavis edu Phone 530 752 6303 Nathaniel Roth neroth ucdavis edu Phone 530 752 1331 Michael McCoy mcmccoy ucdavis edu Phone 530 754 9171 UPLAN ii INSTALLATION OF UPLAN Installation of UPlan requires a Microsoft Windows operating system Other requirements are licensed versions of ESRI s ArcGIS 9 x application and the Spatial Analyst Extension We recommend that UPlan be installed on a hard drive with at least 2GB of available space to accommodate data and runs Installing UPlan 1 Download the most recent version of the UPlan distribution zip file from http ice ucdavis edu doc uplan 2 Unzip the zip file into the desired installation location We recommend that the path not include any spaces i e not like C Documents and Settings Username 3 The unzip process will create a new folder called UPlan2 6 that will contain the program files needed for running UPlan but does not necessarily include any data 4 Confirm that the unzipping process has created at least the following three folders inside UPlan2_6 data i
30. able acres are smaller than the total acres needed for the projection year a warning message will appear to catch the user s attention when a model run ends Figure 1 is a simplified flow chart of UPlan model The formulas that convert the population into acres needed are listed in the Appendix B For the cluster model the total population base year or projection year is the sum of the population of the counties within the cluster The other parameters take the averages of those parameters in each county within the cluster The allocation results will be reported by land use type and by county For the county sub area model each sub area is allowed to have its total population which is controlled by its population share in the county total population and demographic parameters The employment parameters are those used by county UPlan model University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 11 Population in Population in projection year base year Net population growth Housing by type Employment by RH RM RL RVL type Ind CH CL Available areas for Available RH RM RL RVL areas for in general plan Ind CH CL in general Attractiveness Attractiveness assessment for assessment for RH RM RL Ind CH CL Allocation for Allocation for RH RM RL RVL Ind CH CL Generating maps and tables by land use type Figure 3 1 UPlan model flow chart University of California Davis Information Center for
31. ard model lt Back i Cancel Figure 4 3 Uplan Wizard Choose Model Type The ways to run the three sub models are similar In this manual Single County Model is used as an example to demonstrate the manipulation of the UPlan Wizard After choosing the sub model you want to run click Next gt University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 23 4 1 2 Naming the Model Run In the textbox next to Model Run Name insert a name for the run Any symbols can be used to name the run and there are no limitations in length of the run However as it can be seen in Figure 4 4 the length of the run name is limited in the Use Previous Model Run Parameters as Template list You can view the first 30 characters of a previous run s name before being cut off in this list Uplan 2 Setup Variables Model Run Setup Variables Model Run Name Use Previous Model Run Parameters as Template Liplan Kern2030 Uplan Kern2050 Uplan Merced2050 Uplan Merced2030 Uplan Fresno2030 Uplan Fresno2050 Uplan Tulare2030 Uplan Tulare2050 Uplan Stanislaus2030 Uplan Stanislaus2050 Uplan SanJoaquin2030 Uplan SanJoaquin2050 Uplan Kings2030 Uplan kings2050 Uplan Madera2030 Uplan Madera2050 Figure 4 4 UPlan Wizard Using a Previous Run To use a previous run as a template select the run from the list that appears in the text box under Use Previous Model Run Parameters as Template Figur
32. as a tool to be used by a group of planning and management professionals in San Joaquin Valley California It is generalizable and can be applied to other areas for land use planning and environmental planning Document Conventions Italicized text identifies file folders and file directories University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 6 Bold text identifies software menus menu commands and the names of tools located in the ArcGIS tool menu bar Bold Italicized text identifies important messages The word model refers to UPlan2 6 and is used for a general discussion of the common properties shared by the three sub models in UPlan2 6 In the discussion on a specific sub model of UPlan2 6 the true name of the sub model will be used 1 2 3 Warnings Before running the model make sure the datasets are ready to use All layers should be raster GRIDs If this is not the case the model will need to be set up again Occasionally ArcGIS error messages will appear If error messages appear repeatedly when trying to perform the same task simply restart the ArcGIS project In most cases this problem is caused by ArcGIS memory management issues Restarting the application typically solves the problem If you encounter general runtime errors check the properties of the UPlan directories and files They should all be set to NOT be read only Also check to make sure you have the most recent pa
33. be included in the attraction list add the attractions through the data manager DISCOURAGEMENTS Public lands and open space Public lands and open space are marked in most general plans Sometimes different names are used Parks and watershed management areas etc that will not be used for new development can be classified into public lands and open space MataN pubgn public lands and open space Wet lands floodplains and NDDB data _vpoolg vernal pools This layer is not used in the current model data _nwires g wetlands in national wetland directory It is used in the current model data femagn 100 year floodplain Farmlands Farmlands are split from farmland 2000 Department of Conservation CA based on their significance data _prime g prime farmland data _us g unique farmland and statewide important farmland data _graze g grazing land data _local g locally important farmland MASKS Lakes and streams Lakes and streams are generally not developable in terms of employment and housing Considering the requirements for environmental protection buffers are necessary for lakes and streams University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 71 MataN strm g all rivers and streams data _riv303d g impaired rivers MataN lakesg all lakes Existing urban MataN urb g existing urban GENERAL PLAN AND FARMLAND The model allocates new developm
34. buffer class see the previous section Section 5 3 3 University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 46 Maximum Slope Set the maximum slope that this land use category can be assigned to The units for this are dependant on your method for calculating slope Either percent or degrees can work but you must pick one or the other Historically percent slope has been used Land Use Draw Color Set the Hue Saturation and Value parameters for this land use type This is the color that the land use type will be in the final allocation raster Allocation Method Use this drop down box to select how the land use will be allocated o Normal Attraction Based The land use type will be allocated based on an attraction raster o Non Attraction Based The land use type will not be allocated based on an attraction raster it will be randomly assigned The land use categories are displayed in the upper left hand corner of this form The order of the categories is important and represents the priority in which the land use types will be assigned The first land use category will be allocated first the second will be allocated second etc The Increase Priority and Decrease Priority buttons on the bottom of the list are used to change the order of the land uses Highlight a land use category and click on one of these buttons to move it either higher or lower in the list To delete a land use category high
35. by allocating employment growth on a county or regional basis University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 9 2 3 DATA CONSIDERATIONS UPlan was designed to run on raster GRID spatial data sets because they require less disc space and reduce model runtime compared to vector data Furthermore each grid cell can roughly represent average parcel size allowing detailed allocation results The model currently uses 50m raster data but runtime can be reduced with an increase in cell size data sets also become smaller There is a tradeoff however because larger cells mean less detailed allocation results NOTE Using larger cells may result in a less detailed general plan grid since small areas will drop out due to sampling at lower resolutions This is important because the general plan grid is used to guide allocations When building a database for the model the attributes associated with the GRID data should also be addressed GRID data sets typically have attribute tables that are limited to two fields cell values and a cell count of each of the values This becomes important when constructing grid data that represent study areas e g counties or other analysis units and the general plan that applies to the study areas For each of these grids the value field in the attribute table should consist of numbers that denote an analysis area or a land use type e g 5 high density residential
36. ce Provider Edit Climate Zones CO2E Variants 065077 2 Active UPlan Run GeoID sj sa 93 Select Service Provider Data sjq cz 93 Select Climate Zone Data University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 67 Select the Service Provider and Climate Zone datasets The configurations will be loaded based on the specifications that are entered for the dataset in the Edit Service Provider and Edit Climate Zones tabs Specify an output location by clicking on the Output button and navigating to your desired output location You will also need to specify an output name Both a GRID and a DBF file will be created with that name in that location Click Run to execute the model You will be asked whether you wish to view the output table or not 7 4 3 Output Table The table will be in dbf format And will have one row for each unique combination of land use climate zone service provider and subarea if it is a subarea run Each row will have the following fields OID A row ID Value A the VALUE from the combined dataset Count The number of raster cells in this category Service Provider grid name The value from the service provider grid Climate Zone grid name The value from the climate zone grid Finalalloc the numeric identifier of the land use LUName the name of the landuse SPName the name of the service provider Acres The number of acres in this category HH
37. d units click Next gt University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 25 4 1 3 Entering Model Parameters The UPlan model uses a variety of residential and employment inputs to make its decisions These are the assumptions that will be used in the overall model calculations The dialogs open with the default values that were set through the data loader but these can be changed as necessary If Use Previous Model Run Parameter as Template is selected the dialogs will display those values It is important to note that any of the parameters can be changed when using a previous model run as a template Area Demographics Figure 4 7 Base population This is the population in base year The current base year is 2000 Future Population This is the projected population in the horizon year The increment is calculated internally Be sure to use the total population in the horizon year and NOT the increment Persons Per Household This is the average number of people per household as determined by the Department of Finance or other agencies that deal with population estimates This and the future population figures are used to calculate the total number of new households added to each geographic unit of analysis out to the horizon year Employment Parameters There are two options for setting the number of employees in the horizon year explicit or calculated If you click on the Explicit bullet y
38. d use group are not necessarily the same as those for another group and the attractions for one land use group will have no impacts on the allocation of other land use types For cluster model an additional point attraction is added to represent the interaction between the cluster and the counties around the cluster TIP Any local data set can be used as an attraction Discouragements or Exclusions to Development In any scenario there are areas where development cannot occur called exclusions Exclusions include features such as lakes and rivers public open space existing built out urban areas and other such features The user can also specify the percentage of vacant parcels within urban areas that will not be used for industrial residential and commercial development Once the user decides which features are to be excluded the model adds the various exclusion grids to generate a University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 13 Mask Like the composite Attraction Grid the Mask Grid is a sum of the individual exclusion grids In this case however grid cell values are not important rather simply having a value makes a cell part of the Mask Some features such as habitats 100 year floodplains and farmland might be developable at a high price These features are called discouragements Any features which will discourage development can be used as discouragements The user can specify th
39. dential Inputs Residential inputs in Figure 4 5 Employment Inputs Employment inputs in Figure 4 6 Attractions Attraction layer names attraction classes buffer distance weights University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 35 4 5 3 4 5 4 4 5 5 4 5 6 Discouragements Discouragement layer name discouragement classes buffer distance weights Masks Mask layer names buffer distance for lakes and rivers General Plan Cross relations in Figure 4 10 All the tables are straightforward and easy to be interpreted except Discouragement Impact This table reports the acres that are allocated into the discouragement buffers by land use types For example 206 under RH Acres and Floodplains means 206 acres for High Density Residential are allocated into floodplains Aggregate Runs Aggregate Runs button allows the user to merge the grids by type for each county For example if there is a run for San Joaquin Stanislaus and Merced respectively Aggregate Runs will merge the Total Allocation grids of the three counties into one grid Service Costs Service Costs button initiates Service Costs module which allows the user to calculate the service costs based on the unit costs and the model allocation The default service costs are not available at this point It is suggested that the users use the local service costs and input the values from the GUI In this module the servic
40. djacent counties As a whole the cluster will interact with the counties surrounding it The second sub model is county UPlan model This sub model is designed to project the spatial allocation of residential and employment growth The algorithm of this model is the same as those in UPlan v1 2 The model according to the attractiveness of the grid cells allocates the population growth and employment growth within the county to the land use types that are designated in the county general plan The areas with higher attractiveness values will have more growth of residential and employment than those with lower attractiveness values given the same amount of available land Therefore the cities with higher attractiveness and big amount of available land will have higher shares of population growth and employment growth The third sub model is county sub area model It is a share shift model and is designed to project the spatial allocation of residential and employment at county sub area level The total population for each county sub area is controlled by its share in the total population growth of the county Each sub area is allowed to have its own input parameters for residential growth The share of population growth for each sub area is pre determined before the model is run The employment growth for each county sub area is independent of its population growth The spatial competition for employment growth is allowed between the sub areas
41. e 4 4 After a template has been selected click Next gt If you would not like to use a previous run as a template do not select anything from the list Simply click Next gt after naming your current run If the Single County Model was selected the user will be asked to choose a county from the county names list Figure 4 5 by clicking the county name Once the county is selected click Next to open a form where resolution and units can be set Figure 4 6 University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 24 Uplan 2 Select County County Selection Select County Fresno Kern Kings Madera San Joaquin Stanislaus Tulare Cancel Figure 4 5 UPlan Wizard Choose a county Uplan 2 Set Resolution and Units Model Output Resolution and Report Display Units Model Cell Size Meter v Use Default Cell Size Report Display Area Units Acres x Next gt Cancel Figure 4 6 UPlan Wizard Choose resolution Here the user can select a cell size for the output Maintaining a 50m cell size as the default is recommended but under some circumstances a larger cell size could be used to speed up processing times at the expense of accuracy The user may also select the units that areas will be displayed in using this form Acres are the default units but the user can choose hectors square feet square meters square miles or square kilometers After setting the resolution an
42. e Environment UPLAN 16 3 2 development such as hobby farms Because the allocation is random very low density residential does not use the Attraction Grid to find the best locations however the Mask Grid does apply The very low density residential allocation routine starts by making a generic grid of random values It then makes a list of the values and allocates in descending order to the random cells until all acres of very low density residential land are used While all other land uses are allocated in 50 meter grid cells acre 300 meter grid cells are used for low density residential to represent average parcel size 22 acres After a land use is allocated the model makes a new grid of that allocation This grid is saved in the working directory but also added to the Mask Grid so that the next land use being allocated does not overlap the previous allocations Once the model has allocated all the land uses it merges all of the allocation grids it has created to make the final Allocation Grid a grid that has the allocation of all land use types in all zones counties or the region as projected out to the year tested GRAPHICAL USER INTERFACE On the data frame window there are six new buttons Uplan 2 Model Service Costs Run Report Quick Summary Aggregate Runs Data Loader and TAZ Export Figure 3 1 displays the GUI that is appears when UPlan2 6 is started uplan2_6c_91 mxd ArcMap ArcInfo File Edit
43. e User interface the id is associated with modeltype and variant id varientid landuses landuse classid priority slopeid slopevalue landid allocmethod hue sat val landusename varientid landusetype stores information on the Uplan landuses separated by variant id including land use abbreviation landuse what group of landuses does this landuse belong classid in what order will the land use be allocated in the model priority which slope layer is to be used with this landuse slopeid what value in the slope grid is too steep slopevalue land use grid value landid the allocation method to be used in the model allocmethod the symbol color used to render the allocation grid land use name landusename variant id varientid and if the land use is for residential or industrial commercial landusetype masks name srcname buffer geoid varientid stores information on masks separated by variant id including the name name source name srcname whether the layer can be buffered buffer the geographic id geoid and the variant id varientid modelparams modelparam modelvalue geoid varientid stores various needed name value pairs for model separated by variant id including the extent raster vacant masks taz etc residential basepop futurepop pphh geoid redevpop vacantinner vacantouter varientid stores default values for the residential variables separated by variant id including the base population
44. e costs refer to all costs invested on the residential development and employment development which costs include public investment and private investment The projected costs are presented by land use types as an Excel worksheet Quick Summary Displays the quick summary that opens after a run has finished Here you can see the name location type start time and end time of the model along with the needed and allocated cells for each land use type It also shows you if there were more cells needed for a land type than were available TAZ Report A summary report of the new land uses developed within each TAZ Tabulations include number of acres of each land use by TAZ A more feature rich TAX Export and manipulation tool exists and is documented in Section 6 University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 36 5 DATA MANAGEMENT 5 1 DATA LOADER 5 1 1 Data Loader Overview The Data Loader is intended to ease the process of bringing new data into UPlan for use In prior versions manual entry of layer information into the initialization tables determined the addition and configuration of new datasets While this was an effective method it was not entirely satisfactory particularly for inexperienced GIS users or the addition of large numbers of layers 5 1 2 User Interface To open the data loader click on the Data Loader button located on the far right of the data frame viewer Figure 3 1 The
45. e range of buffers and weights indicating to what extent the development will be discouraged The weight should be a positive number the program changes it to a negative attraction The discouragements will be combined with attractions to form a final attraction grid The values of cells in the final attraction grid will be smaller because of the discouragements Because the discouragements are subtracted from attractions the user simply enters positive weights Similar to attractions the discouragements are also buffered and weighted by land use groups TIP Any local data set can be used as an exclusion or discouragement to development Allocation of Future Growth Once the Attraction Grid and the Mask Grid are generated the model overlays the two grids and attraction cells that fall within the mask are converted to no data cells thereby removing them from possible development allocations This process creates the Suitability Grid which becomes the template for the allocation of projected land consumed in the future The Suitability Grid is overlaid with a grid of the General Plan land use map for the region enabling the model to further isolate areas which are suitable for each of the land use categories that are allocated The model is then ready to allocate projected acres of land consumed in the future There are four ways in which local land use plans restrict the allocations Strict Compliance Each land use can only be
46. ed in the dwelling or commercial or industrial building is 6458 38 g Therm 7 3 Configuring the Green House Gas Module University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 56 7 3 1 Spatial Data Two spatial datasets are needed to run the Green House Gas Calculator The first is the Climate Zone The California Energy Commission CEC has produced a map with the climate zones identified ICE has adopted and converted this map for use within the GHG Calculator This dataset is not explicitly distributed with the model at this point as it has not been formally vetted by the CEC The second dataset is the service provider dataset ICE has also created this dataset and it may be made available In both cases we recommend investigating better local data These data do not include small utilities instead they are assigned statewide average generation mixtures In the case of both datasets each unique feature whether it is the climate zone or service provider must be assigned a unique numeric identifier The dataset should then be converted into a raster format such that the numeric identifier becomes the value of the raster We recommend that the data be converted to raster using the county region boundary as both the mask analysis extent and cell size provider The final service provider and climate zone rasters must be placed in the data GHG folder 7 3 2 Demand Data Each climate zone assigns demand f
47. ent according to the designations in the script that match those in the general plan The seven UPlan land use categories in the script can be allocated as many general plan categories as the general plan requires The general plans used in the UPlan model are re classified and represented by the following codes Unclassified Agriculture Industry High density commercial Low density commercial High density residential Medium density residential Low density residential Public lands amp open space Water bodies Urban reserve 10 Planned development 11 Mixed uses 12 Very low density residential 13 co d1o0o tA i2 t6ofl2 c No This re classification was done for UPlan v1 2 As discussed in 4 4 this re classification is not necessary in UPlan2 21 Other data layers Note These classified slopes have been retired from active use but may still exist in some datasets data _slope r1 slope which is resampled from DEM It is used for industrial high density residential high density commercial and low density commercial MataN slope r2 slope which is resampled from DEM It is used for medium density residential University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 72 data _slope r3 slope which is resampled from DEM It is used for low density residential and very low density residential University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 73 Appendix B
48. ents and SubArea tabs is the editing of values within text boxes As soon as you ve edited those fields they are submitted to the database There is no need to save your changes The second and more complex mode is one in which datasets are selected and added to the tables This is used under the Model Attractors Discouragers Masks General Plans Slope Service and Base Layers tabs All of these work in generally the same way To add a new dataset click on the Get New Raster button It will automatically open the dataset picker in the correct folder The dataset must exist in this folder to be added Then select the dataset and click Open The dataset will be opened and its full name and path will be displayed You may then make some specific settings for the dataset before adding it to the database using the Add New button These specific settings vary depending on the layer type University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 39 To remove a layer from the list select it in the window on the left side of the operational area and click the Remove button Specific settings Model This is the first tab in the data loader and is used to set the model parameters It is shown in Figure 5 2 e Adding and removing model parameters is done in the boxes on the lower right hand corner of the form To add a model parameter use the drop down menu within the Add Model Parameter box to
49. er Add Buffer Classes To add a buffer class type in the name of the buffer class in the text box below Add New Buffer Class and click on the Add button You will now see the buffer class in the list on top of the form To edit a buffer class highlight the buffer class you would like to change in the list of buffer classes by clicking on it Now type the name of the buffer class in the text box below Change Buffer Class Description and click Change The name of the buffer class will now be the name you just assigned it Once you have added all your buffer classes click on the Close button located on the bottom of the form 5 3 4 Editing a Variant Model Land Uses After creating the buffer classes you need to create land use categories Land use categories can be added or changed using the Edit Land Uses interface Figure 5 4 To edit the land use categories first highlight the model variant by clicking on it in the data loader Figure 5 1 and then clicking on the Edit Land Uses button You will now see the Edit Land Uses interface Figure 5 4 University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 45 Uplan Data Loader Land Use Category Edit Land Use Values Industrial Land Use Land Use Draw Color Commercial High Hue Sat Val Residential Very High Residential High 0 0 0 Commercial Low Buffer Class Residential Medium Hiah Residential Medium v Residential Medium Residential Low A
50. first form allows the user to select which model variant they would like to edit Figure 5 1 The Default Uplan Model Schema is the default schema and includes 7 land use types If you would like other types than the default ones you need to set up and use a variant model schema For more information about variant models see section 5 3 Uplan Data Loader Select Model Variant to Edit Default Uplan Model Schema Experimental Uplan Model Schema test Edit Model Variables Edit Buffer Classes Edit Land Uses Delete Copy Variation Copy New Variation Add Close Figure 5 1 Data Loader Select Model Variant Once you have chosen a model variant by highlighting it click on the Edit Model Variables button You will then see the data loader s primary user interface Figure 5 2 This interface is broken into four primary components e The Active Geolds chooser University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 37 o Inthe upper left hand corner are two boxes separated by two buttons with arrows These boxes and arrows let you choose the county cluster you want to edit and make a new county active or deactivate existing ones e The Layer Type Tabs o The layer type tabs can be found along the top of the window The multiple tabs correspond to the tables in the initialization database e The Operational Area o The operational area is the area below the layer type tabs in which you make cha
51. he configuration that you enter on this tab will be used when you select the layer in the configuration tab when you are starting the analysis 7 3 11 Editing the Climate Zone Tab University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 63 Click on the Edit Climate Zones tab Green House Gas Calculator Demo Variant Peec Greenhouse Gas Variant Configuration Settings Edit Service Provider Edit Climate Zones coze variants Select Climate Zone Layer Hi Add CZ i Res Res Gas Emp Emp Emp Elec Emp Gas value Elec SF SF Elec SF Gas SF Emp Emp L8 32 32 321 a Res ResGas Emp Emp Emp Elec Emp Gas ElecSF SF Elec SF GasSF Emp Emp If there are no entries in the dropdown menu on the left click Add CZ Then select your climate zone raster Note that the rasters need to be stored in the data GHG folder to be recognized Green House Gas Calculator Demo Variant Erect Greenhouse Gas Variant Configuration Settings Edit Service Provider Edit Climate Zones CozE variants sjq cz 93 c Select Climate Zone Layer Add cz i Res Res Gas Emp Emp Emp Elec Emp Gas value Elec SF SF Elec SF Gas SF Emp Emp 0 0 0 0 0 0 Delete CZ Res ResGas Emp Emp Emp Elec Emp Gas ElecSF SF Elec SF GasSF Emp Emp Edit the Values for the Climate Zone by selecting the climate zone and entering the numeric values in the text boxes below The columns are presented in the same order belo
52. he script data _bound g County boundary ATTRACTIONS General rules of data preparation Those data layers that will be given different weights should be independent For instance the city development boundary has been split into many different attractions and each of them will have a weight All data should be grids Freeway ramps Derive a ramps shapefile and then convert it to grid The values of grid cells don t matter MataN ramp g freeway ramps Highway major arterial and minor arterial The volumes of highways major arterials and minor arterials are different and their attractions to land use are different Therefore they are used as different attraction layers The values of grid cells do not matter They may be split further based on special needs data hwy g highways data _maj g major arterials data _min g minor arterials City sphere of influence data _sudp g Specific urban development plan boundary in Merced County data _soi g City sphere of influence UC Merced campus The UC Merced campus is a special attraction data campus_g UCMerced campus University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 70 Lakes and streams Lakes and streams are generally attractions to single family residential MataN lakesg lakes data _strms all rivers and streams This layer is not used in the current model New attractions If more attractions are to
53. icity coal large hydroelectric natural gas nuclear renewable and other and the percentage of each type that contributes to the company s mix of power 7 3 4 GHG Variants A GHG Variant is a set of configuration settings for the location of your UPlan run Each GHG Variant applies only to one GeoID configured for UPlan The GHG Variant also applies specifically to a UPlan Variant Landuse set This means that for each geographic area and each UPlan Variant a GHG Variant will need to be created The GHG Variant contains the links to the climate zone and service provider spatial datasets as well as the specifics that apply to each such as the demand per square foot of residential space and the analogous employment parameters The variant also includes the details regarding the energy mixture of the service providers and the CO2E emissions for each electrical generation type The variant also includes When you start the GHG Calculator the UPlan Variant and GeoID are automatically determined by the active UPlan run in the table of contents To specify a GHG Variant for another GeoID or UPlan Variant you must select a completed run for that GeoID and UPlan Variant 7 3 5 Setting up a new GHG Variant To set up a new variant for the GHG Calculator open the GHG Calculator through the tools button on the UPlan tool bar and select GHG Calculator Then select the Variants Tab Make sure that the New Variant subTab is selected U
54. itive weights as the program will make them into negative attractions Uplan 2 Discouragers San Joaquin Discouragement Layers Selection and Buffering Land Use Group Residential High and Medium X Available Layers Selected Layers Redevelopment Areas Floodplains gt Natural Diversity Database lt lt Buffer Parameters For Selected Layer Meter Buffer From To Weight Imm i Eenove From 0 To 0 Weight 10 Copy Buffer to Another Land Use Group Residential High and Medium hoy lt Back Next gt Cancel University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 31 4 3 4 3 Figure 4 11 Discouragement Buffers It is important to note that for a polygon attraction layer if the From is set as 0 and the To is also set as 0 the buffer distance is 0 The 0 buffer is actually the extent of the polygons in the original layer with no additional buffer If the From is 0 and the To is 50 or more then the 0 to 0 buffer which is the original extent of the polygons is included in the 0 to 50 buffer For example if you want the source cells to have a different value than the first 0 100m buffer then you use the 0 0 buffer From To Weight 0 0 100 0 1000 10 This would give you the source original polygon cells at weight 100 and from the polygon boundary out to 1000m a weight of 10 As another example if you did no
55. land use categories After importing the GRID by clicking on the Get New Raster button the display name of the mask is set in the text box and the Buffer box should be checked if you would like to be able to create a buffer around the extent of the mask After these two things are set click on the Add New Mask button to add the mask to the list on the left hand side of the form After adding the buffer GRID you may change whether or not you want to be able to buffer the mask by highlighting the display name and then clicking the Buffer box to the right of the list a check mark signifies that a buffer may be added to the extent of the mask in the model run General Plans General Plan GRIDs are added using this tab The layout and functionality is identical to the masks tab described above except for the check box is now used to signify whether or not you want to be able to use the redevelopment function during a model run Slope The slope GRID is added using this tab After importing the GRID by clicking on the Get New Raster button set the display name of the slope and then click on the Add New Slope button Service The service GRID is added using this tab After importing the GRID by clicking on the Get New Raster button set the display name of the service and then click on the Add New Service button Sub Areas This tab allows the user to set the population and employment proportions for the subarea Begin by adding a subarea GRID in
56. light it and then click on the Delete Land Use button located at the bottom left hand corner of this form University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 47 6 TAZ Export 6 1 TRANSPORTATION ANALYSIS ZONES The Transportation Analysis Zone Export TAZExport function was created to provide support for the conversion of UPlan output into the existing structure of a Transportation Analysis Zone TAZ table TAZExport makes the simple export of UPlan outputs into a TAZ both simple and repeatable The TAZExport module makes mapping UPlan output values to the TAZ available and enables the mathematical manipulation and splitting of outputs between fields in the TAZ possible 6 1 1 Default Export The default export provides a simple export based entirely on computations made using the input values for the UPlan run being exported A table called DefTAZExport is created within the collection of stand alone tables in the run s data frame You will probably have to switch the table of contents into Source view to see the table This table can then be exported to dbf for further conversion to excel or for import into another procedure Transportation Model Exporter Variant Default Uplan Model Schema Model Type Single County GeolD 06077 Region Mame San Joaquin County LU Land Use Lot Size Sq Foot FAR Industrial 500 0 23 Commercial High 200 0 35 Residential High Commercial Low 300 0
57. llocation Method Residential Very Low Normal Attraction Based Maximum Slope Increase Priority Decrease Priority Land Use Name Ee Land Use Type Residential v Add Land U Delete Land Use UN Use ade T Add New Land Use Category Close Figure 5 4 Data Loader Edit Land Uses Adding a new land use category is done in the bottom right of this form in the box labeled Add New Land Use Category First type in the name of the new land use category in the first text box Now assign this land use a code in the second box The code can be up to 5 characters long and will be used in the model s user interface to reference the land use type Under Land Use Type select the type of land use this category falls under either Residential or Business which represent the two different ways total area is calculated by UPlan Click on the Add Land Use button to add the land use to the list on the upper left hand corner of the form Editing land use categories is done in the upper right of this form in the box labeled Edit Land Use Values There are several values that need to be set in this box Land Use This displays the land use code and is grayed out because it cannot be changed If you would like a different code you need to delete the land use type and add it again with the new code Buffer Class Use the drop down box to select the buffer class this land use category belongs to To add or edit a
58. location of all households and employment locations and the energy demanded by each The first dataset is the final allocation of a UPlan run This provides the spatial location of each cell of each land use type allocated by UPlan The second dataset is the CEC Climate zone map that determines the demand for electricity by square footage for residential land uses or by employee for non residential land uses A map of the locations serviced by each electrical service provider is the third dataset This permits us to determine what percentage of the consumed electricity comes from each production method Within this section of the document we will refer to the unique combination of each climate zone and service provider as the CZSP University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 54 7 2 2 Demand Calculation Residential Every residential land use type in UPlan is assigned an average number of square feet per dwelling unit Then each household is assigned to a CEC defined climate zone that sets the amount of electricity and gas needed per square foot of residential space Demand LU SF HH ESF Demand LU is the total electricity demand for the residential category by CZSP HH is the number of households of this residential type in the CZSP SF is the average number of square feet in a dwelling unit of this residential land use type ESF is the average KWH consumed per square foot of dwelling u
59. lrpt98 pdf Floor Area Ratio This is the Floor Area Ratio for each of the employment categories FAR is calculated by dividing the total square footage of a building by the square footage of its lot The figures used here should be estimates of average FAR across the geographic analysis unit FARs are usually regulated by zoning Uplan 2 Employment Variables San Joaquin Employment Parameters Land Use Employment Proportion Avg Sq Footage Floor Area Ratio Proportion 9 5 60 E Avg Sq Footage 300 FAR 015 lt Back Next gt Cancel Figure 4 9 Employment Variables i ATTRACTIONS DISCOURAGMENTS 4 2 1 Choosing Attractions and Discouragements Attractions and Discouragements each have their own dialogs but the parameters are selected in the same manner To select Discouragements follow the same steps outlined below for the Choose Attractions dialog Figure 4 10 In UPlan the default land uses are grouped as industrial high density commercial low density commercial high medium density residential and low density residential The buffers of attractions and discouragements can be set separately for each group Click the pull down button under Land Use Group to choose a land use group After a land use group is chosen the Available Layers list University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 29 will be refreshed automatically Highlight the layers to be selec
60. medium density residential low density residential and very low density residential This order is chosen to represent the way in which the land market typically operates higher valued land uses are more competitive in acquiring the most desired properties thereby outbidding the less valuable uses The allocation sequence matters when Mixed Use and Urban Reserve are designated in General Plan The allocation routine converts future acres consumed to the number of cells needed It then determines how many cells are available in the highest valued category and if this is less than what is needed simply converts all those cells to the designation of the land use it is allocating at that time It then subtracts the number of cells it just allocated and moves on to the next highest cell value and again determines how many cells are available When the model reaches a point where the cells available are greater than needed the model completes its allocation of that particular land use by randomly allocating the remaining development to cells within the current value class As mentioned above the allocation only occurs in the land use categories that are designated in General Plan cross table This allocation method does not apply to very low density residential which is randomly allocated throughout rural areas to represent the prevalent noncontiguous patterns of exurban rural residential University of California Davis Information Center for th
61. nd make it easy to use and informative for planners and citizen groups The UPlan model works based on the following assumptions The population growth can be converted into demand for land use by applying conversion factors to employment and households The new urban expansion will conform to city and county general plans Cells have different attraction weights because of accessibility to transportation and infrastructure Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 8 Some cells such as lakes and streams will not be developed Other cells such as sensitive habitats and floodplains will discourage new development UPlan2 6 consists of three sub models The user will be asked in the first user interface to choose a sub model to run The first sub model is a cluster UPlan model and designed to test the impacts of improvement of regional transportation infrastructure and land use policies It treats the counties that have planning cooperation and strong economic interactions as a cluster Within the cluster there are no constraints on the allocations of total residential and employment among the counties In other words the impact of land use polices in one county may cross the county border and influence the land use patterns in other counties A significant improvement in transportation infrastructure such as the high speed rail may also cause a significant shift of residential and employment from one county to its a
62. nges to the contents of the tab e Miscellaneous other commands o The miscellaneous commands can be found below the operational area UPIan Data Loader Active Geolds Editing 06077 Model Demographics Residential Employment Attractors Discouragers Masks General Plans Slope Service Model Parameter Model Value 50 DISPLAYUNIT EXTENT TAZ VACANTINNER Add Model Parameter Calaveras Colusa Del Norte El Dorado Model Parameters CELLSIZE EXTENT AND DISPLAYUNIT Fresno need to be set for each Geol Remove Model Parameter Remove Model Model Type Filter County Model isi Add New Geold Validate oce Figure 5 2 Data Loader Primary Interface 5 1 3 Geolds Chooser The Geolds chooser controls the selection for which county or cluster you are adding removing or editing datasets At the very top is the Active Geolds text box In this box you will see a list of any counties or clusters available for editing If you click on an entry in the list it will be highlighted with a blue background as you see with San Joaquin above When a county cluster is selected in this manner any editing of datasets or values will apply to this county cluster New clusters can be added using the Add New Cluster button in the Miscellaneous tools section of the Data Loader The Up and Down arrows below the Active Geolds box control making a new county available for use within UPlan
63. ni and runs and that there is a UPlan2 6x mxd where the x in the name could vary depending on the specific edition of UPlan 5 Confirm that the ini folder contains initialization mdb report template xls and service template xls 6 Installation is complete start UPlan by double clicking on UPlan2 6x mxd IMPORTANT only open UPlan by double clicking on the mxd not by opening it from within AreMap or ArcCatalog Opening it from ArcCatalog or from the ArcMap pick list causes ArcMap to be unaware of proper directory It is strongly recommended that you do not run other programs on your computer while using UPlan University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN TABLE OF CONTENTS 1 INTRODUCTION 1 1 OVERVIEW 1 2 CONCEPTS AND CONVENTIONS 1 2 1 Target Users 1 2 2 Document Conventions 1 2 3 Warnings 2 UPLAN MODEL 2 1 BACKGROUND 2 2 DESIGN OBJECTIVES 2 3 DATA CONSIDERATIONS 3 UPLAN COMPONENTS 3 1 MODEL COMPONENTS 3 1 1 Demographic and Land Use Parameters 3 1 2 Attractions to Development 3 1 3 Discouragements or Exclusions to Development 3 1 4 Allocation of Future Growth 32 GRAPHICAL USER INTERFACE 3 3 DATA STRUCTURE 4 RUNNING UPLAN 4 1 MODEL SETUP 4 1 1 Starting UPlan 4 1 2 Naming the Model Run 4 1 5 Entering Model Parameters 4 2 ATTRACTIONS DISCOURAGMENTS 4 2 1 Choosing Attractions and Discouragements 4 3 MASKS 4 3 1 Selecting masks 4 4 GENERAL PLAN 4 5 RES
64. nit in this climate zone per year Similarly the number of natural gas Therms used within the households is calculated based on an average number of Therms used per square foot of dwelling unit 7 2 3 Demand Calculation Commercial Employment per Square Foot Each employee in each commercial land use type in UPlan can be assigned an average energy consumption per square foot Using the UPlan input values to computer the number of square feet inside buildings we calculate the demand for energy by square foot as follows Demand LU SF ESF Demand LU is the total electricity demand per employee for the non residential land use category by CZSP SF is the number of square feet in building space for this commercial employment category by CZSP ESF is the average number of KWH consumed per square foot of employment in this climate zone each year The number of natural gas Therms used within the employment is calculated based on an average number of Therms used per square foot of this employment type 7 2 4 Demand Calculation Industrial Employment by Number of Employees Each employee in UPlan industrial land uses can be also be assigned an average energy consumption per employee Using the UPlan input values to compute the University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 55 number of employees we calculate the demand for energy by employee as follows Demand LU EMP DEmp Demand LU is the t
65. niversity of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 59 and give your variant for the GHG Calculator a name and a short descriptive comment Then click Create Variant 7 3 6 Copying GHG Variant To copy an existing variant select the variant in the top variant selector Then choose the variant tab and the copy variant subtab Specify a variant name and provide a comment Then click Create Variant 7 3 7 Deleting a GHG Variant To delete a variant select the variant in the drop down box next to the delete variant button The click Delete Variant and confirm that you wish to delete the variant 7 3 8 Setting the GHG Variant To select the GHG Variant select it from the main GHG Variant dropdown menu at the top of the GHG Calculator Green House Gas Calculator Select a variant Select Greenhouse Gas Variant Select a variant Demo Variant Climate Zones CO2E Variants 06 Active UPlan Run GeoID w Select Service Provider Data Select Climate Zone Data Output 7 3 9 Editing the Settings Tab University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 60 Click on the Settings tab Green House Gas Calculator Demo variat fet Greenhouse Gas Variant Configuration Settings Edit Service Provider Edit Climate Zones CO2E variants 1 0 Electricty Consumption Factor 1 0 Gas Consumption Factor LU Type GHG Mode Square Footage Res Onl
66. ns University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 30 To add a new buffer click on Add The new buffer will be listed under the first buffer Repeat what is done for the first buffer to assign buffer distance and weights for the second buffer Repeat the steps to get as many buffers as needed There are no limitations in the number of buffers buffer distance and scale of attraction To remove a buffer select the buffer by clicking it then click on the Remove button Repeat the steps above until all buffer distances and weights are set for all attractions in the list of attractions This process now needs to be repeated for each of the land use groups Use the drop down box at the top of the form to switch between groups Buffers may be added to the new land use group or they can be copied from one group to another if the desired values are the same To copy the buffers to another land use group select the layer with the buffer values you want by clicking on it On the drop down menu next to Copy Buffer to Another Land Use Group select the land use group you would like to copy the buffer to and then click on the Copy button After the buffers are set for each land use group Click Next to proceed to the discouragement buffers interface Figure 4 11 Creating buffers for discouragements works in exactly the same way as it does for attractions Follow the above steps to set these buffers Use pos
67. ntown Commercial Neighborhood Commercial Multi Family Residential Single Family Residential Planned Development Mixed Use Urban Reserve Low Density Residential Industrial Downtown Commercial Neighborhood Commercial Multi Family Residential Single Family Residential Rural Residential Very Low Density Res Rural Residential University of California Davis 14 Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 15 This is called one way zoning legally Industrial Compliance Only Industry must go to industrially designated areas and all other land uses can go anywhere No Compliance All land uses are allowed to go into any land use designation There are no default allocation rules in UPlan2 6 Rather UPlan2 6 will ask the user to build the relations between UPlan land use categories and land use types in the county general plan The user may use any rules mentioned above Therefore the user may test the impacts of any land use changes such as upzoning or downzoning UPlan allocates future growth starting with the highest valued cells As the higher valued cells are consumed the model looks for incrementally lower valued cells until all acres of projected land consumption are allocated The model does this for each of the land use categories By default the model starts with industry then proceeds to high density commercial high density residential low density commercial
68. or electricity based on the local climate The GHG calculator uses the following values as inputs to the computation for each climate zone 1 Electrical demand per year per square foot of residential space in KWH 2 Natural gas demand per year per square foot of residential space in Therms 3 Electrical demand per year per square foot of commercial employment space in KWH 4 Natural gas demand per year per square foot of commercial employment space in Therms 5 Electrical demand per year per employee of industrial employment space in KWH 6 Natural gas demand per year per employee foot of industrial employment space in Therms Note that in terms 3 through 6 employment should not be counted in both 3 and 4 include only employment categories that will be calculated based on the business s square footage and 5 and 6 apply only to employment categories that will use the number of employees to determine demand University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 57 The residential study used California Statewide Residential Appliance Saturation Study RASS divided energy consumption by many factors but we utilized their separation by forecast climate zone almost exclusively The 16 zones were delineated by the California Energy Commission who provided their map online In the study the zones are matched with the major service providers in the state who participated in the study Four zones out of the 1
69. ormation Center for the Environment UPLAN 34 4 5 4 5 1 Uplan 2 Run Model Figure 4 12 Run Model Dialog RESULTS OUTPUT Maps UPlan creates an attraction map and a mask map for each land use group an allocation map for each land use type and an allocation map with all seven land use types All these maps are stored in uplan2 2 I runs Each run has its own name and will not be overwritten by subsequent runs These maps will be automatically loaded into the data frame which the user named earlier The displayed data layer names are different from the names that are exported To find the true name of a layer and where it is stored highlight the layer right click the mouse and check layer properties under the Source tab 4 5 2 Reporting When the model run completes the data frame of the run is activated Choose Run Report to generate a table reporting the model inputs and outputs The Excel file consists of eleven worksheets The names of the worksheets and the contents in the worksheets are listed in Table 4 1 Table 4 1 Worksheets in the Run Report Worksheet Name Contents of Worksheet General Info Model file location model type geographic region Results Model run predicted allocation and actual allocation Results by Sub area Actual allocation by county sub area Results by TAZ Actual allocation by TAZ Discouragement Impact Discouragements Demographic Inputs Demographics Resi
70. otal electricity demand for the employment category by CZSP EMP is the number of employees in this employment category by CZSP DEmp is the average number of KWH consumed per employee in this climate zone in one year And very similar to the calculation of electricity demand by employee the natural gas demand is calculated based on an average number of Therms used per employee per year for the employment type 7 2 5 Conversion of Electrical Demand to Carbon Dioxide Equivalent Emissions Each CZSP receives electrical delivery from only one electrical service provider California electrical service providers are supposed to disclose the percentage of their electrical generation from each source The total electricity demand for each CZSP is then divided by the proportion of the service provider s electrical supply from Coal power plants and from Natural Gas power plants This provides the amount of fossil fuel electricity supplied to that CZSP from each generation method The Argonne Labs GREET version 1 8a model provides the Carbon Dioxide Equivalent CO2E emissions per KWH generated for average natural gas and coal power plants These figures can then be multiplied by the electrical production to get the total CO2E emissions for the CZSP Average CO2E generation rates from the GREET model are as follows Natural gas power plant 597 12 g KWH of CO2E Coal power plant 1198 4 g KWH of CO2E The CO2E generated per Therm of natural gas burn
71. ou can then enter the numbers of employees in the base and horizon years Once again be sure to enter the total number of employees in the horizon year and not the increment If you click on the Calculated bullet you must enter the number of employees per household This number can be obtained from the Metropolitan Planning Organization for the region Employees in each geographic unit are then calculated internally by multiplying this number by the total number of households Vacant Land Here you can set the percentage of urban area you would like to remain vacant even though the land is developable You may set different numbers for the inner and outer areas Redevelopment If there is redevelopment within the county and the redevelopment area is designated in the county general plan then Perform Redevelopment should be checked and the total population should be added into the box beside Redevelopment Population University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 26 Uplan 2 Demographics San Joaquin Area Demographics Residential Parameters Employment Parameters Base Population Future Population 1707599 p 45 Persons Per Household 3 Employees Per Household 1 C Explicit Calculated Vacant Land Percent Vacant Inner Percent Vacant Outer 1 26836 Redevelopment Population lt Back Next gt Cancel Figure 4 7 Area Demographics Residential Parameters Figure
72. ource Fields Add Exception Lern rm Acres rm HH Delete Exception MF DU e RETAIL EMP SERVICE EM es OTHER_EMP TOTAL EMP TOTAL DU rv Acres w AAA Ao e E Validate Validate and Save Save Config Exit Exit All Export Figure 6 4 Custom TAZ Export Form SF DU set At any point in the custom TAZ Export configuration process you can click on the Save Config Button to open a menu to save the configuration Once you have saved the configuration you will be able to use it to bring in the settings for any other run using the same variant and TAZ template if the currently active data frame UPlan run exists within the map document Note that changes to the field mapping are automatically saved as you make them Saving the configuration only saves a listing that the configuration you re working on should be made available for future use Using the algebraic tools and the source fields it is possible to create some fairly complex mappings For example if you ve got a field with no direct input based on the new UPlan run a special attractor for example and you have expectations that it will have a 100 growth during that same time period you can set up the function to read Attractor SELF 2 The Source Fields also contains the University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 51 fields in the template table so you can use those as part of the function be
73. select a parameter and then click on the Add button The parameter will now be displayed on the left hand side of the form To remove a parameter highlight it in this list and then click on the Remove Model button located within the Remove Model Parameter box e Highlight a parameter in the list under the title Model Parameter to set the parameter Here is a brief explanation of the model parameters CELLSIZE Set the cell size of the output rasters in meters The default cell size is 50 DISPLAYUNIT Set the unit that area will be expressed in for the reports EXTENT Import the extent raster Note that the extent dataset is mandatory TAZ Import the Transportation Analysis Zones raster for your study area VACANTINNER Import a defined area to be considered as available for vacant inner calculations VACANTOUTER Import a defined area to be considered as available for vacant outer calculations SUBAREA Import the subarea GRID Only used if running the SubArea Model Demographics Here you can set the default values for the demographics of the study area All of the fields are explained in Section 4 1 3 of this manual Residential Here you can set the default values for the residential parameters The method for doing this is explained in Section 4 1 3 of this manual and the interface is identical to Figure 4 8 Employment Here you can set the default values for the employment parameters The method
74. t set a 0 to 0 buffer but instead entered From To Weight 0 1000 10 this would give the source cells original polygons and out to 1000m a weight of 10 It is usually best to set the buffer distance of the first buffer of polygon layers as From 0 To 0 NOTE The grid cell size is 50 m so the buffers must be in increments of 50 MASKS Selecting masks Certain land features such as lakes and streams are not developable in terms of employment and housing A mask grid ensures land uses of this kind are not allocated to future development Select the masks that will be used in the model from the Available Mask Layers Figure 4 12 list by clicking on the desired layer and clicking on gt gt to move the layer to the Selected Mask Layers list on the right University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 32 4 4 TIP To save time a layer can also be added or removed by double clicking on its name on either side of the dialog Layers can be removed from the Selected Mask Layers list by selecting the layer and clicking When adding layers to be used as masks in the data loader there was a check box to be used if you wanted to buffer the layer If this check box was selected an input box will appear on the form when the layer is selected to allow the input of a buffer distance in meters To enter buffer distances type a non negative integer into one of the input boxes Don
75. tches for ArcGIS University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 2 2 1 2 University of California Davis UPLAN Mode BACKGROUND UPlan has been developed over the last several years with funding from the University of California Transportation Center the California Energy Commission U S Department of Energy U S Department of Agriculture the Mineta Institute of California State University San Jose and California Department of Transportation DESIGN OBJECTIVES The objective of building UPlan was to create a model that projects urban growth by using several land uses as inputs Generally speaking at least three residential densities must be represented in addition to industrial and two densities of commercial land This helps to identify fiscal runoff water quality and habitat impacts more accurately The model need not be calibrated on historical data because its intended use 1s for long range scenario testing However it relies on fine grained grid data that represent existing urban local general land use plans and all other relevant natural and built features that define the model It must be deterministic and rule based so as to be transparent to the user The allocation rules must simulate land markets broadly Most importantly the model must be inexpensive and be applicable to counties metropolitan regions watersheds and bioregions These objectives have guided the design a
76. ted as attractions from Available Layers by clicking on the desired layers and clicking on gt gt to move the layers to the Selected Layers on the right Figure 4 7 TIP To save time a layer can also be added or removed by double clicking on its name on either side of the dialog Layers can be removed from the Selected Layers list by selecting the layer and clicking lt lt or double clicking Uplan 2 Attracters San Joaquin Attraction Layers Selection and Buffering Land Use Group Residential High and Medium Y Available Layers Selected Layers Existing Urban Blocks with Growth Minor Arterials Ramps Highways Major Arterials Sphere of Influence Buffer Parameters For Selected Layer Meter Buffer From To Weight 500 1000 1000 3000 3000 5000 5000 8000 From o re oo weight o Copy Buffer to Another Land Use Group Residential High and Medium m ur lt Back Next gt Cancel Figure 4 10 Attractions Dialog 4 2 2 Creating Buffers for Attractions and Discouragements Buffers are rings around attractions and discouragements with different weights To create buffers for an attraction click the attraction layer in the Selected Layers field The first buffer for this attraction will appear within Buffer Parameters for Selected Layer Figure 4 10 The default values can be changed by typing the desired values into the From To Weight text boxes directly or by clicking the 1 71 butto
77. tes the residential parameters by sub area subareas subareaid popweight geoid variantid empweight stores information used by the subarea portion of the model variant variantid variantname stores the display name variantname and unique id number variantid for the different variants Variants are used if you want to use different land use types The runs directory stores the arc info workspaces that are created when a model is run Each model will have its own directory that has a unique time stamp generated directory name User can find out which directory belongs to a model run by checking the data source of the final allocation raster layer The info directory stores extra tables that are associated with the grids stored in the data folder The contents in this folder should not be altered or removed University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 21 4 Running UPLAN 41 MODEL SETUP 4 1 Starting UPlan To start UPlan run c uplan2 2 INuplan2 2 1 mxd assuming uplan2 04 is on drive c Figure 3 1 shows the project GUI that should appear when ArcGIS project is run UPLAN Model Interface 2 6 Developed by the Information Center for the Environment Credits Primary Coding by Eric Lehmer Additional Coding by Nate Roth Model Concept by Prof Robert Johnston David Shabazian Shengyi Gao Eric Lehmer Mike McCoy and Nate Roth For more information please visit
78. that they will be drawn layers that are first in the list will draw on top of the others 5 1 6 Miscellaneous Controls At the bottom of the Data Loader are a couple buttons that do specific tasks Add New Geold Opens a new window for navigating to a new folder in the Data directory and specifying it as the data source for a new Geold You can also specify the name of the Geold and a longer descriptive text as well Validate The validate button does a very simple validation of the data entered through the data loader Close Closes the data loader University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 42 52 MODIFYING INITIALIZATION TABLES 5 2 1 A General Note on Editing Initialization Tables With the introduction of the Data Loader the manual editing of the initialization tables should be discouraged In almost all cases the functionality available through the manual editing of tables is replicated in the Data Loader 5 2 2 Base Layer Editing base layer symbology tables is no longer necessary 5 2 3 Attraction and Discouragement Layer To add an attraction or discouragement layer edit the attracters and discouragers tables Both have the same structure Edit the display name name the data source name srcname the attraction class the attracter belongs to classid the geographic region the attracter belong to geoid and which variant model the attractor belongs to variantid
79. the Environment UPLAN 12 3 1 2 Attractions to Development It is assumed that development occurs in areas that are attractive due to their proximity to existing urban areas and transportation facilities such as freeway ramps It is also assumed that the closer a vacant property is to an attraction the more likely it will be developed in the future For example a property that is a quarter mile away from existing development or any attraction for that matter is more desirable than one that is a mile away from the same location Following these assumptions each development attraction described below is surrounded by user specified buffers The user can designate the number and size of the buffer intervals and assign an attractiveness weight to each buffer Buffer specifications are applied to each of the attraction grids and then the grids are overlaid and added together to make a composite Attraction Grid The composite Attraction Grid is a single grid of the sum of the weights specified for each individual attraction grid Each cell in this grid has a value resulting from the summation Grid cells with the highest value are considered the most attractive areas for development The attractions are buffered and weighted by land use groups There are four groups industrial high density commercial and low density commercial high density residential and medium density residential and low density residential The attractions for one lan
80. w as they are in the main window University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 64 Green House Gas Calculator Demo Variant octet Greenhouse Gas Variant Configuration Settings Edit Service Provider Edit Climate Zones coze variants Select Climate Zone Layer sis cez e y Add Cz val Res Res Gas Emp Emp Emp Elec Emp Gas ES ElecSF SF Elec SF Gas SF Emp Emp 9480 33 323 25 1 33 0 28 12 95 0 29 180 33 323 25 Delete CZ Res ResGas Emp Emp Emp Elec Emp Gas ElecSF SF Elec SF GasSF Emp Emp 7 3 12 Editing the CO2E Tab University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 65 Click on the CO2E tab Green House Gas Calculator Demo variat filet Greenhouse Gas Variant Configuration Settings Edit Service Provider Edit Climate Zones COZE Variants Generation Method g KWH or g therm Below the main display window are two boxes The one on the left lets you edit the name of the generation type This is not recommended The Right box lets you enter the average number of grams of CO2E emitted per KWH generated by this technology As with the other tabs select the technology that you wish to edit and enter the CO2E generated for the technology The window will update when you move on to the next row or click anywhere else Note that the Therm identifies the average production of CO2E per Therm of natural gas burned
81. w density residential 100 Acres for high density residential Number of households in high density residential average lot size per household in high density residential University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 74 Acres for medium density residential Number of households in medium density residential average lot size per household in medium density residential Acres for low density residential Number of households in low density residential average lot size per household in low density residential Acres for very low density residential Number of households in very low density residential average lot size per household in very low density residential University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment
82. y Employment Employment SF Employment Employment SF Residential Residential SF Employment Employment SF Residential Residential SF Residential Residential SF x Residential Square footage Ignore the Electricity and Gas Consumption factors for the moment All of the land uses from the UPlan Variant are listed Select each land use and specify the GHG Mode and for residential types the square footage per dwelling unit The mode needs to be Residential SF for any residential type and employment types can be either Employment SF or Employment Emp Set the square footage by entering the square footage in the text box next to the mode selector The entries in the table will update automatically when you move on to the next land use or click anywhere else 7 3 10 Editing the Service Providers Tab University of California Davis Information Center for the Environment UPLAN 61 Click on the Edit Service Providers tab Green House Gas Calculator Demo variat filet Greenhouse Gas Variant Configuration Settings Edit Service Provider Edit Climate Zones COZE Variants Select Service Provider Layer bd 5 Add SP Value SP Name NG Coal Delete SP Service Provider Name Pct NG Pct Coal If there are no entries in the dropdown menu on the left click Add SP Then select your service provider raster Note that the rasters need to be stored in the data GHG folder to be
83. yond just the SELF function All Fields that you wish to contain a value other than SELF must be defined The DEFAULT TAZ specification applies to all TAZs in the template table unless an exception has been defined To define an exception click the Add Exception button A menu will be displayed that lets you select individual TAZs to be specified separately Select the TAZ you wish to add and click the Add button The TAZ should now have been added to the Destination TAZ list and is now available to specify a mapping When you select the new TAZ in the Destination TAZ you can specify the mapping of the UPlan output to that specific TAZ in exactly the same manner as you did with the DEFAULT This specification will only apply to the TAZ selected All Fields that you wish to contain a value other than SELF must be defined To remove a TAZ exception highlight it in the Destination TAZ list and click the Delete Exception 6 1 3 Functions In the Source Fields list box the UPlan inputs are found as follows e XX acres the number of acres of new land use type XX in the referenced TAZ o This is a direct calculation converting the number of cells into acres e XX hh the number of new households of land use type XX in the referenced TAZ o This is calculated by taking the number of acres and dividing by the average lot size used as an input to the model e XX Pop the number of new residents in land use

UPlan Land Use Allocation Model 2.6 User`s Manual

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