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WISE - Waikato Integrated Scenario Explorer: user manual

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1. Baseline 20 simulation runs Analysis TEF view files i Oo Remove Monte Carlo Composed probability maps Probability of urbanisation Remove Show probability map To perform a Monte Carlo run click the Start Monte Carlo run button and enter the settings in the dialog that pops up see the figure below For the name you ll probably want to use the name of the active integrated scenario The results folder will be used to store the probability map for each land use Make sure this is an empty folder Monte Carlo run settings Name Baseline Results Folder My Documents Geonamica WISE1Monte Carlo resultsiBaseline aad File Format Idrisi raster maps rst v Number of simulation runs to perform 100 While the Monte Carlo run is being performed you can view the progress in the Main window When the run is completed the results will be saved to disk and the run will be added to the Available Monte Carlo runs in the results section Save the project see the section Saving a project in order to store the entries in this list Otherwise you can still import the saved results by clicking the Import button To copy the results of a Monte Carlo run to another computer select the Monte Carlo run in the Available Monte Carlo runs list and click the View files button This will open a new window displaying the contents of the fold
2. Lx J come You can add a new network layer by clicking the Add button on the upper right side of the Add remove infrastructure layers window After entering a name and loading the map for the new network layer press the OK button The newly added network layer will be displayed on the list of the Infrastructure layers You can remove one existing network layer by selecting it and press the Remove button on the upper right side of the window Add remove infrastructure layers Infrastructure layers Network layer Initial network map Airports E RIKS Regional Futures W 113 Simulations InputMa Major processing sites E RIKS Regional FuturesV 113 Simulations InputMa E RIKS Regional Futures V 1131Simulations InputMa Transport network E RIKS Regional Futures V 113 Simulations InputMa Accessibility types AccType value Accessibility type name O Residential road 1 Collector route 2 Arterial route 3 Principal highway You can also add a new accessibility type by clicking the Add button on the lower right side The Add accessibility type window opens Enter the value and name for the accessibility type in the text boxes Acclype value and Accessibility type name respectively The newly added accessibility type will be displayed on the list of Accessibility types Add accessibility type Doc 2330707 Page 65 Add remove infrastructure layers Infrastructure layers Initial network map E RIKS Reg
3. Catchment_area CatchmentMap_map C Documents and Settings username M Climate RainfallTrend_1990 Jan 01 00 00 00_map C Documents and Settings username M RainfallTrend_2050 Jan 01 00 00 00_map C Documents and SettingslusernamelM Rainfallvariation 1990 Jan O1 00 00 00 map PotentialEvapotranspirationTrend 1990 Jan 0 C Documents and SettingslusernamelM 00 000800 PotentialEvapotranspirationTrend 2050 Jan 0 C Documents and SettingslusernamelM PotentialEvapotranspirationYariation 1990 Ja a TemperatureTrend_1990 Jan 01 00 00 00_map C Documents and Settings username M TemperatureTrend_2050 Jan 01 00 00 00_map C Documents and Settings username M li Mi The table on the dialog lists the file names of all external data files that are used by the project Each file name can be changed individually or you can copy paste the last column to a text editor or Excel to easily change all the files Select the last column in the table by clicking on the File name column header Copy the contents of the last column by pressing Ctrl C on the keyboard Paste the copied text to a new Excel workbook or your preferred text editor Select Replace from the Edit menu and replace the folder of the project file with a different folder e g you can replace C WISE with C WISE copy Click the Replace All button Copy the changed text from Excel Ctrl C Click on the File name colum
4. this is a value between 0 and 100 that indicates how well the classification will be able to distinguish the variety of values that occur in the map The available scaling methods are described in the table below Page 14 Doc 2330707 gt Click the OK button to update the lower and upper bounds in the legend editor window Note that the labels in the table will not be updated Linear Each class will have the same width i e difference between lower and upper bound Arithmetic The width of the second lowest class will be twice the width of the lowest class The width of the third lowest class will be three times the width of the lowest class Etc Geometric The ratio of upper bound divided by lower bound will be the same for each class Over geometric The ratio of upper bound divided by lower bound for the second lowest class will be twice that of the lowest class for the third lowest class three times that of the lowest class etc Harmonic This scale is useful for data that follows a factorial distribution Each class will cover an approximately equal amount of values Standardised The width of each class is set according to the standard discretisation deviation of the values in the map centred around the average value in the map Method of Bertin This scale applies two linear scales centred around the average value in the map Fifth order polynomial A fifth order polynomial is fitted through the sorted values of th
5. External factors For true integration of different disciplines WISE incorporates not only the economic model but also models related to climate change hydrology water quality Page 32 Doc 1737699 demography land use and terrestrial biodiversity In the economic model some parameters are external factors and some are policy measures Ihe external factors are accessible on the External factors page in the Main windows under the Drivers tab Main window 1 External factors Economy sub scenario International exports in sector Accommodation restaurants and bars v min 2007 External factors Interregional exports in sector Dairy cattle Farming min 2007 Gross fixed capital Formation in sector Construction 2 min 2007 Population External factors Population sub scenario Baseline Load sub scenario Save sub scenario Fertility lever ey Mortality lever 2 Policy measures Parameters Additional net in migration people District Time 2007 Jan 01 2008 Jan 01 2009 Jan 01 2010 Jan 01 2011 Jan 01 2012 Jan 01 Thames Coromandel Matamata Piako Hamilton City When you have the External factors in front of you you can carry out the following actions e View historic data and projections e Adapt historic data and projections e Load an existing sub scenario e Make changes to an existing sub scenario and save it as a n
6. Nodes Node width 3 Link color Lesi lo District boundaries a C Residential road A a Transport network 2010 Jan 01 C C Collector route C E Arterial route C C Principal highway C C Major highway iC C Railway El Dairy processing C C Timber processing C C Abattoir Color master field ACCTYPE Line width master field ACCTYPE C Show nodes Show links The figure below shows the network map window opened via the modeller user interface Only the expansion roads added for 2010 are displayed Page 68 Doc 1737699 Network changes for layer Transport network Nodes Node width e ei Link color Link width lo District boundaries a Residential road A e Raod Expansion 2010 C BI Collector route C E Arterial route e C E Principal highway C E Major highway ES E Railway C E Dairy processing C ll Timber processing C A Abattoir The title of the network map window indicates the descriptive name of the selected network and the selected year As depicted in the figure above besides the District boundaries layer there is only one layer Road expansion 2010 visible in the layer manager pane which shows the exact network changes for the selected time in the map pane The legend pane consists of 4 legend tabs which are used for editing the legend of network map The Link color and Link width tab are most useful For more information about how to edit le
7. loaded and verified in the model It is also possible to edit input maps in WISE by displaying them and using the Grid tools to change the map see the section Grid tools gt Goto Main window Drivers Parameters Land use Land use tab Doc 2330707 Page 17 2 3 gt Click the browse button inside the Initial land use map box A dialog will open that allows you to select a different file to import gt Click the Cancel button in the Select initial land use map window Click the Show Edit button for the initial land use map A map window will open where you can edit the initial land use map see the section Grid tools The changes you make in a map window will not be stored until you close the map window At that time you will be asked to save your changes If you click the Yes button you can select a file name where you want to store the altered map It is important that you do not overwrite any existing files as it could cause WISE to malfunction When you have selected a new file name the map will be saved and the new file name will be set in the Initial land use map box Saving changes The previous section Editing Input and displaying output describes how to edit the input in WISE This section describes how to save changes that you made in WISE Saving sub scenarios Sub scenarios can be defined for each driver in the Main window The name of the active sub scenario is displayed a
8. 081 274 951 216 559 721 908 4 270 548 279 13 232 606 735 492 All data inputs to the population model base population migration rates fertility rates and survivorship rates are contained in a Microsoft Excel workbook This Excel parameter file includes the data necessary required by the population model for a simulation e Survivorship rates by single year of age and gender per district Fertility rates by single year of age for all females aged 13 49 per district Base population by single year of age and gender per district Additional migration from Economic Development Assumptions EDA per district Migration rates by single year of age and gender per district In the Input part you can upload a new population parameter file by clicking the browse button next to Excel parameter file You can view and edit the first year and the last year of the data in the Excel parameter file in the text box next to First year and Last year respectively The column B of each sheet in the excel parameter file is interpreted as the year that you determined in the text box next to First year The year in the text box next to Last year just indicates the range of columns of each sheet that are available in the excel parameter file Page 54 Doc 1737699 In the Parameter part of the Population model dialog window first of all you can view and change the value for Birth gender bias towards boys The survivorship rates fertility rates and migrat
9. Enter a Name gt Click the browse button inside the Map box to open the zoning plan to import gt Select an existing legend or create a new one Click the Edit legend button to preview or change the legend see the section Legend editor gt Click the OK button The zoning plan will be added to the list in the Plans and categories tab of the zoning tool The categories in the zoning plan will be added to the bottom of the table on the Category precedence tab The default settings of these categories will be such that they have no influence on the zoning maps that are calculated by the system If you later change the legend of the zoning plan the settings for these categories will be reset to their defaults so make sure the legend you enter is correct before you click the OK button You can view the imported zoning plan by selecting it on the Plans and categories tab and clicking the Show button Import zoning plan Name District Reserves and Covenants Map namica WISE Simulations InputMaps Zoning distrescov rst kl Legend Use existing legend distrescov v Create new legend Edit legend To edit an existing Zoning plan gt Goto Main window Drivers Zoning Plans and categories gt Select the zoning plan you would like to edit gt Click the Edit button Change the settings in the window that pops up and click the OK button to confirm The info
10. Exotic Vegetation C E wetland gt C Residential Lifestyle Blo C E Residential Low Densit ES E Residential Medium to F C E Commercial C O Community Services C Horticulture Flood Inspect ect Copy region region _Copy value value Save Gria Grid Land use changes after the start year of the simulation can be incorporated as land use deltas These can be used to change the presence or location of the incorporated feature classes Since vacant and function classes are allocated by the model changes in these can not be made explicitly in the system It is recommended to prepare your land use deltas map in a GIS package before you import it into WISE The land use delta map should only include the information on the land use feature classes If you have a new land use map for a specific year you can extract the location of the land use feature classes in a GIS package into a new land use delta map This new extracted map will be used as one land use delta for specific year You can use the Add time or Remove time button to add or delete the land use changes When you move the mouse over a land use change on the map file list and click on it this land use change is highlighted with blue background Then press the Show current land use map and selected changes button at the bottom of Input section and a Land use changes map window opens which is an overlay of the land use map for t
11. Futures project www creatingfutures org nz a 4 year project 2006 2010 funded by the New Zealand Foundation for Research Science and Technology The project brings together a regional council Environment Waikato and several research partners in New Zealand and from overseas to provide better knowledge methods and tools to support long term integrated planning WISE uses knowledge models data and parameters obtained from several central and local government agencies and research organizations including the project partners Its principal purpose is to support policy planning and decision making IK i y Landcare Research E n Waikato Y ris ends 07 Massey University REGIONAL COUNCIL IN g research AA xs Ng SCIENCE amp AT Taihoro Nukurangi bet TECHNOLOGY RIKS Nm nl Y e mar k e t economics research institute for knowledge systems v Efiresearch EERNZ First WISE VERSIO UN Version number Page 6 Doc 2330707 1 6 1 Closing WISE You can close WISE by clicking Exit on the File menu If you have a project file open the application may ask whether you want to save your changes before closing 2 J Would you like to save the changes you have made Click the Yes button to save your changes click the No button to discard your changes and close WISE or click the Cancel button to keep WISE open More information on saving changes is available in the sec
12. My new zoning sub scenario The top part of this dialog provides settings for each driver If a driver has not been changed since the last time it was saved the disabled list will show No changes Otherwise the list will provide the option to discard the changes or to save them in the active or a new sub scenario By default the settings in the Save project window will be set to overwrite the last active sub scenario i e the one that was active before you made changes unless that sub scenario is read only gt Select the option Save as new sub scenario for the zoning driver Note that the Save as active integrated scenario option will become disabled This prevents you from accidentally overwriting an integrated scenario gt Click the More button to enter a name and description for the new sub scenario gt Enter the integrated scenario name and update the description gt Click the Save button to save the project Exporting a project When you save a project as explained in the section Saving a project you overwrite the project file This is no problem for the drivers since you can save different values in different sub scenarios But for all the other parameters accessible from the Page 20 Doc 2330707 Parameters page in the Main window you can only save one value in a project Therefore to save different values for these drivers e g while calibrating you need to save differen
13. Open project Open a project file stored on a disk Section Opening a project file Save project Save changes to the current project file Section Saving changes Save project as Save a project under a different name Section Saving changes Export project Save a project and all associated data files to Section Exporting a project a new location Close project Close the project Recent file list Display the names and the paths of the 4 most recently opened project files If you select one of the 4 files it will be opened Ext JoutGeonamica Simulation menu You can use the Simulation menu to control a simulation The commands Update Run Stop and Reset can also be invoked when pressing the respective buttons on the Toolbar Doc 2330707 Page 77 Recalculate variables that are affected by changes Section Update except for the initial values and initial maps via the user interface for the current simulation year This command will not change the simulation time Advance the simulation with one time step Section Step Run Advance the simulation till the next pause moment Section Run has been reached Section Stop Recalculate variables that are affected by changes Section Reset including the initial values and initial maps via the user interface for the start year of the simulation Switch the simulation clock back to the start year of simulation Pauses Set at which times a simulation run will be stopped automaticall
14. and corrected for the corresponding rate of change Doc 2330707 Page 53 Population model The population model in WISE system generates possible future populations referred to as population projections starting from a given base population and assumptions about the demographic processes of fertility mortality and migration To access the modeller user interface for the Population model gt Goto the Drivers tab of the Main window gt Click the Parameters icon in the navigation pane on the left side of the window The system diagram displays in the content pane on the right side of the window gt Click the Demography MBB box at the District level in the system diagram The Population model dialog window opens The Population model dialog window is composed of two tabs Population and Residential land use demand Population The Population tab on the Population model dialog window is structured so that the Input Parameters and Output parts are displayed from top to bottom Population model Population Residential land use demand Input Excel parameter file ionsInputMaps WOW Base Data xis First year 2007 Last year Parameters Birth gender bias towards boys 0 51338199513382 Garmen Direct 0 0 0 0 Population people Age District Franklin Thames Cor Hauraki Waikato 0 239 045 269 978 192 562 690 526 1 263 171 275 93 213 822 744 422 2 262 228 270 134 209 513 736 184 3 279
15. and give a descriptive name You can view and edit each network change in isolation in the modeller user interface via Main window Drivers Parameters Land use Accessibility Go to infrastructure layers button Infrastructure layers window for more information see the section Accessibility Displaying an infrastructure network gt Goto Main window Driver Policy measures Infrastructure Select Transport network from the Network list gt Click the Show Edit network at time button at the bottom of the window A window will open where you can select the simulation time for which you want to display the network gt Select a time from the list and click the OK button A map window will open displaying the selected infrastructure network at the selected time You can draw links in this network remove links or change the type of a link Therefore the nodes of each link are displayed as small circles You can hide these by clicking on the Network tools button in the tools pane in the bottom right of the map window and deselecting Show nodes For more information see the section Network tools Creating network changes gt Goto Main window Driver Policy measures Infrastructure gt Select Transport network from the Network list gt Click the Show Edit network at time button at the bottom of the window A window will open where you can select the s
16. assessment studies related to the impact of certain policies under a range of external conditions and the modeller who is responsible for the underlying scientific information of the system and needs to adapt underlying data and parameters when more information becomes available over time The Main window of WISE provides access for both types of users The structure of the Main window is available in the section Main Window This chapter explains how the policy user can use the system and the next chapter explains how the modeller can access the models The policy user finds access to all policy relevant information in the Main window This information is organised in such a way that the user can carry out a structured analysis It follows the steps Drivers Scenarios Indicators and Analysis each of which is explained in more detail below Overview of the policy interface This section gives a brief overview of the steps you can take to carry out a policy impact assessment with WISE In the following sections each step will be explained in detail When clicking on the Drivers tab in the Main window you get access to the different types of drivers External factors Policy measures and Parameters The first two are part of the policy interface of the system the last provides access to the details of the underlying models for scientists or modellers Clicking on each of the icons opens the settings for this driver or set of drivers in the co
17. background otherwise a red background will be displayed This is an indication that the total residential area in a district will be over or underrepresented in the simulation given the simulated population in that district Economic indicators All economic indicators are displayed as graphs that show the evolution of an indicator over the course of a simulation You can open these graphs by clicking the graph buttons The lists before the graph buttons display the sectors for which the indicator is relevant as well as an entry for All sectors This will display a total value over all sectors in the economic model The unit of each indicator is displayed to the right of the graph buttons Environmental indicators The environmental indicators in WISE include maps and graphs The graphs work the same way as for the economic indicators The maps can be opened by clicking the Show map button for an indicator These all display the value of the indicator for the current simulation time To save maps for different moments during a simulation run see the section Log maps Land use indicators Land use indicators display a dual graph for each land use function that can be opened by clicking the Show button The upper graph displays the demand for land as calculated by the population model for residential land uses or the economic model for all other land uses The lower graph displays the amount of land that was allocated by t
18. box at the Local level in the system diagram The Land use change model dialog window opens Land use classes Land use is classified in categories some of which are modelled dynamically while others remain static Dynamic land uses are called Functions or Vacant land uses e Vacant states are classes that are only changing as a result of other land use dynamics Computationally at least one vacant state is required Typically abandoned land or natural land use types are modelled as vacant state since they are literally vacant for other land uses or the result of the disappearance of other land use functions e Functions are land use classes that are actively modelled like residential or industry Functions change dynamically as the result of the local and the regional dynamics The non dynamic land uses are called Features Features are land use classes that are not supposed to change in the simulation like water bodies or airports However they do influence the dynamics of the Function land uses and thus influence their location For example a Function Tourism would be influenced expressed by a spatial interaction rule by the occurrence of the Feature Beach due to the simple fact that tourists tend to recreate near the sea at the beach In WISE the following land uses are modelled Page 58 Doc 1737699 Bare Surfaces Indigenous Vegetation Other Exotic Vegetation Wat Residential Lifestyle Blocks Function Res
19. e Residential Low density e Residential Medium to high density In the Parameters part of the dialog window the proportion of people that live in each residential class is displayed per district and for the selected year You can view and edit these values by clicking the cell of interest and entering a new value The sum of the proportions of people for each district should be exactly 1 If this is true the Sum column in the table is highlighted with green background otherwise it will be highlighted with red background That means you should change the values for that district to meet the condition that the sum of the three residential classes should be 1 The values of the proportions of people for the start year of the simulation are given by default You can specify the values of proportion of people for a specific year To do so click the Add time button in the Parameters part The Enter date and time dialog window opens In the text box you can enter a new year for which you want to specify the values Once you press the OK button the newly added year will be displayed on the dropdown list next to Time on the Residential land use demand tab Enter date and time 2010 Jan 01 00 00 00 Lox J cms By default the system takes the values for the previous specified year as the values for the newly added year Select the newly added year from the dropdown list next to Time You can now view and specify the values for this
20. gt Goto Main window Drivers Parameters gt Land use Land use tab gt Click the Add time button A window will pop up where you can enter the time you want to add to the time series Times are displayed and entered in WISE in the format yyyy mmm dd hh mm ss Months are represented by the first three letters of the month s name Note that everything after the first part is optional For example if you enter 2015 in the Enter date and time window an click the OK button the time 2015 Jan 01 00 00 00 will be added to the time series Table The table editor enables you to enter a series of numerical values You can select cells by clicking or dragging in the table Click a row or column heading to select an entire row or column Click the top left header to select the entire table Press Ctrl C to copy the contents of the table or press Ctrl V to paste copied values into the table This way you can easily exchange data between WISE and Excel or a text editor Note that the values are copied as text so if you copy data from Excel to WISE you will loose precision if the number of displayed decimals in Excel is not set to a high enough value Input maps Input maps are represented in the user interface by their file name There is also a button that you can click to display the map You can import a different map by simply changing the file name You may have to reset the simulation for the map to be actually
21. implementation of population model Updated population model parameters Changed formula to compute average life expectancy Changed allocation of residential land use functions from regional to district level Added population density model Added decay coefficient to economic supply model Fixed drawing of output graphs Display infrastructure networks on top of accessibility maps Updated About box Adopted WISE as the name of the system Version 1 0 4 17 August 2009 e Changed marine land use from vacant to feature e Changed aquaculture land use from function to feature e Updated data for land use model and biodiversity model Version 1 0 3 24 July 2009 e Replaced catchment map with catchment area lookup table water quality model Version 1 0 2 17 July 2009 e Incorporated hydrology model e Added social indicators e Updated About box Version 1 0 0 10 July 2009 e Incorporated various sub models o Climate o Water quality o Population o Terrestrial biodiversity Version 0 5 1 1 December 2008 e Added suitability maps Page 82 Doc 1737699 Version 0 5 0 30 November 2008 e First prototype including land use and economic models Doc 2330707 Page 83
22. in WISE is stored as a file on disk the file name is displayed at the top of the Legend editor window You can click the Import button to copy the properties of another legend into the legend you are editing Note that this does not change the file name of the legend you are editing You can choose whether a legend represents categorical or numerical data by selecting the appropriate entry from the Legend type list The other controls in the window will update accordingly The following sections explain how to use them Categorical legends When the Legend type in the legend editor is set to Categorical the window will look similar to the image depicted below You can set the number of classes manually or click the Derive from map button to set the number of classes to the highest value found in the map plus one Note that this button is disabled for the legends of a network layer Legend editor File Settings User My Documents Geonamica wISE Legends Land use tik Legend type Categoric w Number of classes 27 Colour Label Bare Surfaces Indigenous Vegetation Other Exotic Vegetation Wetland Residential Lifestyle Blocks _ Residential Low Density_ Residential Medium to High Density _ Commercial Community Services Horticulture iael sol Pai Generate colours The table displays the categories in the order they will appear in the legend pane Double click on a label to change it
23. not assodated with this version of WISE Would you like to assodate these files such that you can open them by double dicking Doontaskme san Raster map cache folder Some projects use maps that are larger than what can be safely stored in working memory In these cases the system needs to store calculated maps on the hard drive while a project is open You can control where these maps are stored by changing the Raster map cache folder setting on the Preferences window By default this is set to the Windows temporary files folder When you open a project that has support for large raster maps enabled you need to make sure that the selected folder is located on a hard disk with ample free space Window menu You can use the Window menu to arrange or activate one of the opened windows in WISE Cascade Arrange multiple opened windows in an overlapped fashion Tile horizontal Arrange multiple opened windows one above another in a non overlapped fashion Tile vertical Arrange multiple opened windows side by side in a non overlapped fashion Arrange icons Arrange the icons for minimized windows at the bottom of the screen List of Windows Active the selected window on the list of opened windows Help menu You can use the Help menu to open the integrated help functionality of WISE or to access troubleshooting information Doc 2330707 Page 79 Option Function Link 000 Open the integrated help functionality Section
24. replaces the previous network in a simulation run or you can import a network that only indicates which network elements should be added or removed In the latter case the network needs to have a property column called Delta Type case insensitive with value 1 for all elements that should be deleted If the property is missing all elements in the file will be added to the network gt Goto Main window Driver Policy measures Infrastructure Select type of infrastructure network that you want to import from the Network list Click the Import network change button A window will open where you can enter the information reguired to import a network gt Click on the browse button inside the File box to open the file to import Select the Incremental check box if the network to import only contains the elements to be added or removed Clear the check box if the network should replace the existing network at the specified simulation time gt Click the OK button when you have entered all information The network change will be added to the in the Main window Visualising indicators The integrated model in WISE contains several components that calculate policy relevant indicators In order to calculate these the model also calculates various other results which are not useful for scenario analysis but can be used by modellers to calibrate or validate the models The Indicators tab in the Main window provides
25. risk critically under protected under protected and not threat category Doc 2330707 Page 75 Threatened environments map m Acutely threatened Chronically threatened O At risk O Critically underprotected Ml Underprotected Y No threat category District boundaries je Threatened environments map LayerManager Nameg vVeWports Grid tools Pen Flood Inspect Copy regior Lo py Y ah Je Page76 Doc 1737699 The WISE menu system This section explains the different functions that are available from the WISE menu system Some Geonamica functions are not available in WISE These are greyed out they are visible in the menu in a light grey colour but they do not result in further actions when invoked Consequently these functions are not described in detail in this section Other functions are only accessible when they are relevant For instance the Stop command in the Simulation menu is only accessible when the simulation is running The menus are treated as they appear in the Menu bar from left to right and per menu from the top to the bottom Most commands in this section have already been described in other sections You can find more detailed information for these commands through the links in the table File menu You can use the File menu to open and save project files and to exit WISE The WISE system saves project files with a geoproj extension attached to the file name
26. section Generate class bounds Double click on a label to change it You can also copy paste the labels from a text editor or Excel Click the Generate labels button to set the labels according to the values in the lower and upper bound columns see the section Generate labels Click on an entry in the Colour column to change the colour of a category A dialog will pop up where you can select the desired colour You can also set the colour of all the categories by clicking the Generate colours button see the section Generate colours Generate class bounds Generate class bounds Order Ascending Display interval choose automatically Minimum value Maximum value Scale f A al Linear Y Find best scale Estimated effectiveness 100 o gt Click the Generate class bounds button in the legend editor to open the Generate class bounds window see the image above gt Click on the Order list to choose the order of legend entries gt Enter a Minimum value and a Maximum value or select Choose automatically to set these values to the minimum and maximum value in the map The lower bound of the lowest class will be set to the Minimum value The upper bound of the highest class will be set to the Maximum value gt Select a scaling method from the Scale list or click the Find best scale button to select the scaling method that yields the highest Estimated effectiveness
27. sites and Residential attractants Land use is influence by the infrastructure driver through accessibility which is a function of the distance to different types of infrastructure elements e g local roads or Doc 2330707 Page 39 highways Policy decisions that influence accessibility are mainly the construction of roads railways or processing sites In this exercise you will learn how to adapt the road network m Main window j Driver Infrastructure hg Se Policy measures Infrastructure sub scenario Baseline Network Transport network External factors y Time Network change Import network change 2007 Jan 01 Addition 2007 Remove selected changes 2008 Jan 01 Addition 2008 Bale OARA 2011 Jan 01 Addition 2011 2012 Jan 01 Addition 2012 Parameters LO Indicators O Show Edit network at time The figure above shows the policy user interface for the Infrastructure driver The changes to the network are listed in the table with time and descriptive names It is allowed to have several changes in the same year You can use the Show Edit network at time button to open a window with a single network map displaying the network at the chosen time incorporating all specified network changes up to that time You can add or remove elements from this network or change the accessibility type of an element You can store the changes you made as a new network change
28. the Socio economic measures from the Driver list Select the economic sector of your interest from the Rates of change in eco efficiency in sector list Enter a new value in the text box to the right Press the Tab key on your keyboard VV VVV You have now changed the value of the rates of change coefficient for a certain sector You will see that the active sub scenario has changed to modified Click the Save sub scenario button to save your changes as a new sub scenario or click the Load sub scenario button to load an existing sub scenario and discard your changes How to adapt values of population measures gt Go to the Drivers tab of the Main window and click the Policy measures icon in the navigation pane gt Select the Socio economic measures from the Driver list gt Select the district of your interest from the District list The proportion of people living in each residential land use category for the selected districted are displayed in the table The value in the last row is automatically updated to make the column total 100 If the values for residential classes sum to more than 100 the values in that column are highlighted with red background These values are invalid and will not be transferred to the model until a valid set of values is entered The values for the start year of the simulation are given and cannot be changed Some columns are empty meaning the values in that year will be determ
29. the input map of interest In the Parameters part of the Hydrology model dialog window you can view and edit the Canopy storage capacity for each land use by clicking on the cell of interest and entering a new value In the hydrology model the changes in climate affect the rain and potential evaporation whereas changes in vegetation affect mainly the water holding capacity of the plant canopy In the Output part of the Hydrology model dialog window you can view the annual runoff map and the summer flow yield map for the current simulation year by clicking the corresponding button at the bottom Water quality model The water quality model in WISE system is aimed at explaining and predicting average annual loads of nutrients from present and future distributions of point sources climate soil types land slope drainage characteristics and land uses Doc 2330707 Page 49 Water quality model Input Catchment area look up table aterOuality katchment area lookup dat J River network C Documents and Settings User My doo Delivery type Mean delivery variable Drainage 4 21 Rain 1 62 Parameters Land use parameter Source coeff Source coeff Drainage ex Drainage e Bare Surfaces 0 062 0 07 Indigenous Vegetation 0 062 0 227 Other Exotic Vegetation 0 062 Wetland 0 062 Residential Lifestyle Blocks 0 062 Residential Low Density 0 062 v Nanidantial Madi ama be Linbh Mamnits A Acn no n
30. the suitability maps select the location where you stored all suitability maps generated by Overlay tool check the check box next to Vacant land uses are included in Overlay Tool project You need to verify if the suitability maps in the File column are corresponding to the land uses in the Land use column by switching on or off the check box mentioned above Check the check boxes for each land use in the Import column to import the suitability maps for the checked land uses If you generated suitability maps using other tools for example the ArcGIS package you need to import the suitability map one by one for the selected land use by clicking the browse button in the path edit box Doc 2330707 Page 71 Land use change model Land use Bare Surfaces vw Land use type Vacant Land use Neighbourhood Accessibility Suitability Zoning Input Maximum suitability for all land uses 10 j Import from Overlay Tool Time Map 2006 Jan 01 E RIKS Regional Futures V 113 Simulations InputMa Import Overlay Tool maps Time Folder Vacant land uses are induded in Overlay Tool project Select the maps you would like to import Land use Bare Surfaces Indigenous Vegetation Other Exotic Vegetation Wetland Residential Lifestyle Blocks a a x 2 a J The system provides you the opportunity to set up the maximum suitability for all land uses by entering a value
31. year in the table The system takes the values for undefined years on the basis of linear interpolation of the values for its two closest defined years Doc 2330707 Page 57 Parameters Time 2010 Jan 01 each dass District land Residential Lif Residential L Residential M Sum A Franklin eA 0 4508493567 0 1170593059 1 Thames Coro 0 1310883646 0 7579293936 0 1109822417 1 Hauraki 0 1936770689 0 7502242968 0 0560986342 1 an n A rr You can remove the added year s from the dropdown list next to Time by clicking on the Remove time button on the top of the table The start year of the simulation is not removable In the Output part of the Residential land use demand tab the table shows the land use demand in cells per residential land use class and per district for the current simulation year Output Land use demand cells District land use Residential Lifesty Residential Low D Residential Mediu Franklin 2084 113 1 Thames Coromandel 1585 647 yA Hauraki 927 229 4 Waikato 4044 371 Matamata Piako 1078 305 7 M Land use change model To access the modeller user interface for the Land use change model gt Goto the Drivers tab of the Main window gt Click the Parameters icon in the navigation pane on the left side of the window The system diagram is displayed in the content pane on the right side of the window Click the Land use MBB
32. 10 which is only considered in the land use allocation on the first day of 2011 The end time indicates the simulation time from which a category no longer has an influence If this is set to 1 1 2020 the category will not influence zoning on the first day of 2020 which is used for the land use allocation on the first day of 2021 But the category will still have an influence on Zoning on the first day of 2019 which is used for the land use allocation on the first day of 2020 In contrast to the other settings the zoning status of a category is specified for each land use function individually You can view or change the zoning status for a particular land use by selecting it from the Land use type list above the table You can change the zoning status of a category by double clicking in the table and selecting a different zoning status from the dropdown list When the zoning status is set to Unspecified the category will not be considered in calculating the zoning map for the selected land use function Viewing zoning maps You can view how all the settings in the zoning tool are combined into a zoning map for each land use by clicking the Preview zoning map button on the Category precedence tab in the zoning tool This will open a map window that displays the zoning map for the selected land use In the layer manager pane on the top right of the opened map window you can see a list of times These are the simulation time
33. 297 58 251 576 718 12 453 709 323 932 234 241 766 5 459 522 300 609 330 131 243 59 750 478 492 6 AI Ana Ann OA Aer o fA FEF i r E 779 AD Uh UN tas O MN Residential land use demand The Residential land use demand tab on the Population model dialog window is structured so that the Input Parameters and Output parts are displayed from top to bottom Page 56 Doc 1737699 8 Population model Population Residential land use demand Input Residential Lifest Residential Low D Residential Mediu 4 344306 192383 67 886741638 109 290 26408996573 2 205758 160322 31 242622762954 128 69114731554 3 6928 17900068 57 904866580996 247 88583989719 4 5303978802697 69 021408414295 292 42569009715 5 9976424690648 74 503961130657 289 40475335678 Y Parameters Time 2006 Jan 01 v Proportion of people living in each dass District land Residential Lif Residential L Residential M Sum Franklin 0 5320913373 0 4508493567 0 0170593059 Thames Coro 0 1310883646 0 7579293936 0 1109822417 0 1936770689 0 7502242968 0 0560986342 aran areal Residential Lifest Residential Low D Residential Mediu 113 1 647 235 4 The table in the Input part shows the population density per residential land use class and per district You can view and edit the density in this table The residential land use classes include e Residential Lifestyle blocks
34. Click the Reset button on the toolbar When the simulation is reset click the Run button to run the simulation till the end year The animated GIF files are stored in the folder you have selected You can view them with any descent browser or image viewer Note that the simulation time is printed in the top left corner of the image To turn map animations off click Animate maps on the Options menu again Then deselect all Maps to animate and click the OK button You will see that Animate maps on the Options menu is no longer checked Doc 2330707 Page 25 2 6 Tools for analysing results Monte Carlo tool The Monte Carlo page in the Main window under the Analysis tab allows you to run a simulation repeatedly for a specified number of times The stochastic nature of the land use model will yield slightly different results for each simulation run The Monte Carlo tool counts the frequency of occurrence of each land use class in the land use map at the end of the simulation period lt also provides the ability to combine and display this information comprehensibly in a composed probability map However before you can display these maps you will need to perform a Monte Carlo run or import the results of a Monte Carlo run from another computer see below Main window P Start Monte Carlo run e Number of simulation runs performed 0 out of O Im 1 Results U S Ss Available Monte Carlo runs
35. Help Licence Open the Licence window Check for updates Check if a newer version of WISE is Section Checking for available updates About Open the About window Section About Page80 Doc 1737699 Annex 1 WISE release history Version 1 3 0 5 October 2012 Added the Monte Carlo tool Improved the user interface for the scenario manager to make it easier to use Updated the district maps to show post 2010 boundaries Updated the parameters of the population model Allow part of the population to reside in non residential areas population densities have been adjusted accordingly Added a sub scenario with planned infrastructure improvements till 2020 Added Carbon Farming and Future Proof scenarios Added functionality to export a project Added support for GeoTIFF raster file format Added inertia for vacant states Various improvements to the way accessibility is calculated Added zonal accessibility Various minor user interface enhancements Version 1 2 0 30 June 2011 Improved the performance of the zoning too Changed the hydrology model to account for changes in land use Fixed hydrology model parameters Changed the link between the economic and land use model Incorporated carbon forestry sectors in the economic model Revised the user interface of the legend editor Added scenario support to log maps functionality Added download link for the Map Comparison Kit in the analysis section Added an online version check Cha
36. M Ms MM Ms O A A a ea ia 000000 MS EN NS CY NS CN 55555550050005005000000005000505000000050005000500500500505005005005050095 3 3 AR AR GG EE SEES ESE EEE NN Naa Er bE Ss amp EE amp Ef 3 Ang AG 5 35 53 33333 3B SR 3 53333 S33 SSSSaSRSaSS SASS SSS SERS SRS SSBSS SR SSB 2 35 AG DO 00 1 1 00 1 00 0 1 09 0 1 00 0 1 09 0 1 00 1 0 00 1 00 00 01 00 00 1 00 0 1 00 0 1 00 0 1 00 0 GO Click Log maps on the Options menu to save maps that are calculated by WISE to disk for further analysis The logged maps are automatically added to a log file that can be opened with the Map Comparison Kit see the section Map comparison The maps themselves are saved in subfolders of the log file You can store the maps for different simulation runs in different subfolders This way you can easily log the maps for different scenarios and then compare the scenario results in the Map Comparison Kit Note that network maps can be logged but are not added to the MCK log file and cannot be displayed in the MCK Make sure the Baseline integrated scenario is active by selecting it from the Integrated scenario list on the toolbar gt Click Log maps on the Options menu The Log settings window will appear In the Maps to log select the land use map Entire model Land use model Land use Land use map gt Change the MCK log file if you want to store the maps in a different folder gt Enter a Sim
37. Shi e Jelle Hurkens Research Institute for Knowledge Systems BV P O Box 463 6200 AL Maastricht The Netherlands www riks nl research institute for knowledge systems Page ii Doc 2330707 Contents Ac Knowledge mena acia i INTOQUCION aa Naa E 1 User Manual An OVeGrview ivi AN E OES 2 La Getting Started ii a st 3 1 Computer tequifements Ke SNN SAN an da 3 1 2 Installing WISE and ACCOMPANYING tools oo oom 3 1 3 Staring AVI PA bia oki amin alan bana ian mona an asa aa an aan ama ana 4 14 Screen layOUt kb a a aeai 4 129 System Informan kn aman asa ena aan 6 16 Closing AVIS Bee ama hasan ena aan aai 7 1 7 f you eXperlence Problem asa enakan 7 2 RUnning the SIMUla NON kaka baka em mamak Kama aa 8 2 1 Opening a Project file online 8 2 2 Editing Input and displaying Output oo oma 9 2 3 Saving Change ii a aa aa aaa a a AAE 18 24 Running A SCCM AIO ii aiae aana a a ea 22 25 Saving eU a a a a aaa Ea 23 2 6 Tools for analysing results sfisicss ide ccdestesssassctieciswencdcnacetacetectesaresettaencveseaiceesssaccdssbeiecaiek 26 Sy PONY Inter Ce aa aa is 31 3 1 Overview Of the policy interface Kb laka Mamah ana 31 32 Seting Up the dn Ve is oo aaececa 32 9 9 VISUAMSINO Indicator idas 41 JA AMAIYV SING eU aa 42 Aa Modeler Inte nacer usen lio lA Ann Ban 45 41 Overview of the system diagram o oo oo oom 45 4 2 Model Building Blocks MBB Jaco oom um sisa amangaa 46 4 3 Connectors and
38. Terrestrial Economics biodiversity Local The WISE system has been implemented by means of the software framework Geonamica Geonamica models consist of Model Building Blocks MBBs that contain the code and or data required to calculate and execute mathematical operations varying from a single operation such as the sum of two numbers to a complex set of interlinked operations set of mathematical equations Model Building Blocks are graphically represented in the user interface by means of a rectangle with the name of the MBB in it They are connected to one another by means of MBB Connectors The WISE MBBs are structured by 4 spatial levels NZ amp World Region District and Local level The MBBs incorporated in WISE are e Climate change scenarios Climate model e Hydrology Hydrology model Doc 2330707 Page 45 4 2 4 3 Water quality Water quality model Economics Economic model Demography Population model Terrestrial biodiversity Terrestrial biodiversity model Land use Land use change model Spatial indicators not available in this version The representation of the system diagram in the Main window has been created with the help of the following basic elements MBBs MBB Connectors Connections and MBB Dialog windows Model Building Blocks MBB Model Building Blocks are represented in the system diagrams by means of a rectangle with the name of the MBB displayed in it An active MBB is represe
39. Waikato Regional Council Technical Report 2013 02 WISE Waikato Integrated Scenario Explorer User Manual Version 1 3 0 www waikatoregion govt nz ISSN 2230 4355 Print ISSN 2230 4363 Online Waikato andcare Researc h DY Y lt t Yg REGIONAL COUNCIL Se Manaaki Whenua BA ais aad A market economics Je NIWA g iii lus allan SCION NWEERNZ lathoro Nukurang WAIKATO w puros rara Prepared by Research Institute for Knowledge Systems RIKS BV Maastrichter Pastoorstraat 14 P O Box 463 6200 AL Maastricht The Netherlands http www riks nl e mail info riks nl ph 31 0 433501750 fax 31 0 433501751 For Creating Futures FRST Project ENVW0601 and the Waikato Regional Council Project team Waikato Regional Council Landcare Research AgResearch Environmental Economics Research Centre New Zealand Massey University NIWA Scion University of Waikato Market Economics Ltd RIKS and Universite de Versailles Saint Quentin en Yvelines Product information WISE Waikato Integrated Scenarios Explorer is an Integrated Spatial Decision Support System ISDSS developed as part of the Creating Futures project funded by the New Zealand Foundation for Research Science and Technology FRST WISE has been developed for the Waikato region to support Waikato Regional Council s long term integrated spatial planning and decision making Information about the Creating Futures project is availabl
40. You can also copy paste the labels from a text editor or Excel Click on an entry in the Colour column to change the colour of a category A dialog will pop up where you can select the desired colour You can also set the colour of all the categories by clicking the Generate colours button see the section Generate colours Numerical legends When the Legend type in the legend editor is set to Numerical the window will look similar to the image depicted below You can set the number of classes by typing the desired number or by clicking the up down arrow buttons Doc 2330707 Page 13 Legend editor File ingsWUservMy Documents GeonamicaWISE Legends Annual funoff tut Legend type Numeric Y Number of classes 4000 mm year 1000 mm year 650 mm year 250 400 mm year 0 250 mm year Generate colours Generate labels Generate class bounds The table displays the classes in the order they will appear in the legend pane You can change the lower and upper bound of each legend class by double clicking on the number in the table When you set the lower bound higher than the upper bound of a class the values will be given a red background to indicate the error You have to adjust the values before you will be able to save the legend by clicking the OK button Click the Generate class bounds button to set the lower and upper bounds of each class according to some scale see the
41. adapt values for external factors gt Goto the Drivers tab of the Main window gt Click the External factors icon gt Click the Fertility lever button The Fertility lever graph window will open There are several ways to enter new population figures in the system The first way is to drag the bubbles in the graph to the desired value You can also enter the precise values by right clicking on a bubble More bubbles can be added to the graph by double clicking with the mouse in the graph and bubbles can be removed by double clicking with the left mouse button on a bubble gt Remove all points bubbles for which you do not want to provide scenario information gt Add a point for years you would like to provide scenario information for gt Right click the bubbles to enter the exact values for the year and the fertility lever gt Press the OK button to save your results and close the graph You have now adapted the population scenario in the external factors section The active sub scenario at the top of the driver reflects this by showing the name modified You can create a new sub scenario with the values you just entered by clicking the Save sub scenario button gt Click the Save sub scenario button The Save external factors Population sub scenario window will pop up gt Enter the name Test population without quotes after the Save in new sub scenario option gt Enter a d
42. ager For more information see the section Managing sub scenarios A climate map rainfall map PET map or temperature map for a specific year is the sum of the climate trend map and the climate variation map for that specific year For instance the rainfall map for a specific year is the sum of the rainfall trend map and the rainfall variation map It holds true for the PET map and temperature map On the lower part of the Climate model dialog window you can view the climate maps for the current simulation year by clicking the Show button where represents the climate map of interest The values from the climate change scenarios will be used as input information for the Hydrology model Hydrology model The hydrology model is a simple hydrological simulation model for annual water runoff It includes the impacts of spatially varying climate soil and vegetation hydrological response The outputs of the model are the annual runoff for each year and the expected water yield in the driest summer month To access the modeller user interface for the Hydrology model gt Goto the Drivers tab of the Main window gt Click the Parameters icon in the navigation pane on the left side of the window The system diagram displays in the content pane on the right side of the window gt Click the Hydrology MBB box at the Region level in the system diagram The Hydrology model dialog window opens Page 48 Doc 1737699 Rainfall seaso
43. ample of the Probability of urbanisation map that we defined above is depicted below High probability of urbanisation Medium probability of urbanisation Low probability of urbanisation Existing urban Map comparison The Map Comparison Kit MCK is a stand alone software tool that includes a number of algorithms that you can use to analyse your results WISE can open the MCK to analyse results as follows gt Goto Main window Analysis Map Comparison gt Click the Start MCK button in the content pane of the Main window If you do not have the MCK installed on you computer You can click the link to download it for free Page 28 Doc 2330707 Main window Start MCK Analysis A wee eS A Don t have the Map Comparison Kit installed Download it for free here 39 Analysis Monte Carlo The MCK comes with its own dedicated manual which is delivered as an integral part of the WISE package It explains the use of the MCK and describes in detail how you can analyse and compare logged maps generated by WISE in an interactive manner All logged maps generated by WISE can be read in the MCK in a straightforward manner An example of how to use the Map Comparison Kit to compare scenarios is given in the section Analysing results Doc 2330707 Page 29 3 1 Policy interface The user interface of WISE provides access for two types of users policy users who carry out impact
44. and Residential ed e e e as pe pe ab pesas 1 1 1 1 1 Residential 1 Neighbourhood effect For Function land uses From To Re Re IRe Co Co Hor Bio Ve Ot Dai Sh amp Residential 5 Residential ua Ss Residential Influence of Residential Low Density on Residential Low Density Commercial E Distance Influence 620 ites AA 60 Maximum distance in neighbourhood cells n 6 4 725 1 526 0 6 0 5124 0 273 0 0 06 0 0 05335 Community Output Influence Show neighbourhood poten Distance m 0 0469 Y Display options The Neighbourhood effect for function land uses table displays the neighbourhood rules Click on a cell in this table to open a window in which you can change the influence rule gt You can drag one of the bubbles to change its value You can double click on a bubble to edit the value precisely You can right click on a bubble to remove it from the graph You can right click outside any bubbles to add a new bubble to the graph You can click the Display options button to change how the graph is displayed Here you can also switch the distance unit between meters and cells V V V WV The system provides atable with the coordinate pairs for all discrete cell distances on the right hand side of the window Influence values with a grey background repr
45. ate maps Click Animate maps on the Options menu to create animated images of maps that are calculated by WISE for use in a presentation or on a website Animations are stored as animated GIF files Each simulation step will be one frame in the file gt gt gt Click Animate maps on the Options menu The Animation settings window will appear In the Maps to animate select the land use map Entire model Land use model Land use Land use map Change the animation folder if you want to save the animated GIF files in a different folder For example you can use the name of the active integrated scenario as the last subfolder Under Animation size select the option Screen 800 x 600 if you want to generate an animation for a presentation or website Select the option Actual size if you want to assure that each pixel in the land use map corresponds to one pixel in the animated image Note that the exact size of the generated images can differ from the selected size because the aspect ratio of a map is preserved The selected option will limit the maximum size of the image so if you selected Screen 800 x 600 the generated image will be no wider than 800 pixels and no higher than 600 pixels gt Click the OK button in the Animation settings window Animate maps on the Options menu will now be checked to indicate that maps are animated when you run a simulation
46. ated according to your selection Select the first and second map to compare Click the 1 or 2 icons on the toolbar to display these maps The maps in the list are ordered by simulation name as entered in the Log settings window in WISE and by year Select a comparison algorithm by clicking the balance icon on the toolbar E For categorical maps such as land use zoning or threatened environments the Per category or Kappa algorithms will be most useful For numerical maps the b a or b divided by a algorithms will be most useful Click the 1 2 icon on the toolbar 42 to display the comparison map and click the table icon El to display overall comparison statistics Some comparison algorithms can be further refined with special settings For example the Per category comparison algorithm can be refined by selecting which category to compare Click the icon on the toolbar to adjust these settings lf a comparison algorithm has no settings this icon will be greyed out You can click the Apply button in the Algorithm settings window to update the comparison results directly Page 44 Doc 1737699 4 1 Modeller interface This section deals primarily with the interaction between the Modeller and the software The modeller can have more detailed access to the underlying models of the system diagram to update data and parameters and to check the output For details about the models we re
47. ble display the totals Contingency table Land use map and Districts map Kok Display values in km Jinclude cells outside modelling area Thames Cor Hauraki Waikato Matamat Bare Surfaces LIE 80 1 28 0 24 1 24 Indigenous 1387 08 308 00 681 96 Other Exotic 6 26 0 96 22 60 Wetland 8 04 59 84 99 58 Residential 63 40 38 52 236 00 Residential 25 00 9 56 17 20 Residential 0 92 0 16 0 24 Commercial 1 36 0 36 0 76 Community 0 64 0 40 1 76 1 96 2 64 4 72 Legend pane The legend pane is displayed in the upper left portion of the Map window It shows the legend of the map selected in the layer manager pane explained below For example if you select a land use map the legend pane shows the land use legend Double click in the legend pane to change the legend that is displayed see the section Legend editor Land uses are subdivided into 3 types Vacant Function Feature In the land use legend the Vacant land uses appear at the top of the list the Function land uses appear in the middle of the list and are underlined and the Feature land uses appear at the bottom of the list The 3 different land use types are explained in the section Land use Classes Layer manager pane The layer manager pane is displayed in the upper right portion of a map window You can select a layer by clicking on its name note that you cannot select the district boundaries layer This will display the lege
48. ble integrated scenarios will be displayed on the list Select an integrated scenario from the list for example the Baseline integrated scenario e When collapsed the list box shows the name of the active integrated scenario When you select a different integrated scenario it will be loaded and become the active integrated scenario However if the previously active integrated scenario was modified a message box will pop asking if you want to save your changes If you click the No button your changes will be discarded and the selected integrated scenario will be loaded If you click the Yes button the project will be saved as if you pressed the Save button on the toolbar see the section Saving a project Afterwards the selected integrated scenario will be loaded Note that loading an integrated scenario means loading the associated input data and parameter values to the user interface The results that are calculated by the model are not updated for the newly loaded scenario immediately You can use the Update Step Run and Reset commands to calculate the models Reset You can reset the simulation clock to the start year of the simulation by clicking the Reset button on the toolbar or by clicking Reset on the Simulation menu While the model is calculating a progress bar will be displayed in the status bar The progress bar will disappear when the calculations are finished Whenever you change initial values or initial ma
49. ces _ Horticulture C Biofuel Cropping Named viewports Grid tools Inspect Overview pane The overview pane displays the entire modelled region When the map is zoomed in a rectangle is displayed that indicates the area displayed in the map pane You can drag this rectangle to move the view of the map Map pane The map pane in the Land use map window displays the land use map for the current simulation year This is a raster map that displays the predominant land use for each Doc 2330707 Page 9 cell When a simulation is running the Land use map window will be updated after each time step Right clicking inside the map pane will display a context menu Click Cell information on this menu to list the land use and district in the exact cell you right clicked on You can also access the same information by using the Inspect tool see the section Grid tools Double clicking on the map pane of the Land use map window this does not work for other map windows opens the Contingency table Land use map and Districts map window that shows the surface area of each land use in each district see the image below You can select the unit for the surface area from the Display values in list If you select the Include cells outside modelling area checkbox the land use outside the modelling area will be displayed in the first column Otherwise these values will be zero The last row and column in the ta
50. ck the Climate change scenarios MBB box at the NZ amp world level in the system diagram The Climate model dialog window opens The Climate model dialog window is structured so that the Input and Output parts are displayed from top to bottom In WISE maps for six climate variables are required as the input in the climate change model They are e Rainfall trend the trend for mean annual rainfall e Rainfall variation the variation between the actual rainfall and the trend for rainfall e Potential evapotranspiration trend the trend for mean annual potential evapotranspiration PET e Potential evapotranspiration variation the variation between the actual PET and the trend for PET e Temperature trend the trend for mean annual temperature e Temperature variation the variation between the actual temperature and the trend for temperature Depending on the climate change scenario different maps and different combinations are used These maps are raster maps with spatial resolution of 0 05 lat long approximately 5km grid The values of each map represent the mean annual values for that type of map Climate model Input Time series Rainfall trend mm Potential evapotranspiration trend mm 7 Potential evapotranspiration variation mm aps CimateChange Rain 1 3 aps ClimateChange Rain 2 2 Show rainfall map Show potential evapotranspiration map On the top part of the Climate model dialog window you can s
51. connectiOnS Woo oo oom mom 46 AA Dialog WIN Sa aa aa an Banana 46 45 Individual model components oo oo oma 47 5 The WISE Menu Sy Ma aa desis an Nan aa aa 77 S1 MM nan 77 52 SIMULACION MA aa caus ceed a eau 77 95 3 Na sissa aa eee die ra need aa a a aa a a 78 nn Pn 78 D9 WINdOW Men Usada a 79 0 0 HIP Menu ic 79 Annex 1 WISE release ISON Y anus kaan 81 Version 1 3 0 5 October 2012 0 its 81 Version 1 2 0 130 June 2011 0 ria Lay danaa iaia 81 Version 1 1 11 3 November 2010 oia alo il aan 81 Version 1 10 17 AUGUST 2010 ses aa aka asia 81 Version 1 0 7 16 November 2009 000 aaa aaa aaaea daina aaa 82 Version 1 0 6 11 November 2009 000000000 a 82 Version 1 0 5 9 October 2009000 NENEK ORIO 82 Version 104 17 AUGUST 200 ic 82 Version 120 3 24 July 2009 se yan ana 82 Version 1 0 2 T7 July 2009 Las Na LI 82 Version 1 0 0110 July 2009 BN 82 Versi n 0 5 1 1 December 2008 Semok aa 82 Version 0 5 0 30 November 2008 oom aka 83 Doc 2330707 Page iii Introduction Creating Futures is a 4 year project funded by the New Zealand Foundation for Research Science and Technology FRST The project brings together an interdisciplinary team consisting of a key end user Waikato Regional Council WRC and social environmental and economic researchers The project aims to develop new methods and tools to support integrated long term planning by 1 developing processes to evaluate deliberate and choose futures t
52. display the created workbook gt Click Write to Excel on the Options menu The Write to Excel settings window will appear gt Select all of the model block names and press Ctrl C to copy the names gt Select the cell just below the Excel sheet name column heading and press Ctrl V to paste the copied names The values in the Excel sheet name column should now match the values in the Model block name column gt Click the Generate button The Generate moments window will appear The default settings in this window will generate a list of moments for each year of the simulation period gt Click the OK button The list of Writing moments in the Write to Excel settings window will be filled gt Click the Start writing button WISE will open a new Excel workbook in the background gt Take one or more simulation steps by clicking the Step button on the toolbar gt Click Write to Excel on the Options menu again gt Click the Open Excel workbook button The Excel workbook that WISE has written the model results to will open Doc 2330707 Page 23 Model results are written to Excel in a format that is suitable for making pivot tables This way you can easily arrange the values in Excel in the way you want to present them Select the Population sheet in the open Excel workbook gt Click PivotTable and PivotChart report on the Data menu A wizard will appear wher
53. e default total potential algorithm is displayed in the text box under Total potential formula There are two kinds of output maps on the Land use tab the total potential map and the current land use map You can view the total potential map of the current simulation year for the selected vacant or function land use by pressing the Show total potential map button in the Output part A potential map displays the transition potential of a cell to allocate to the land use specified On the basis of the transition potentials the model decides which land use will be allocated to each cell in the next simulation step Colours in the total potential map range from red to green Cells in red are not attractive for the indicated land use In contrast the green cells are In the legend of the potential map you find next to the colour symbol two numbers The figure to the right is the upper limit of the category The figure to the left is the lower limit Since the total potential map is only calculated for each vacant and function land use the Show total potential map button in the Output part is not available for feature land uses Total potential map Commercial E 2 100 lo Total potential map Commercial Ho 30 Jo 0 fj 10 0 IMEI 50 10 E 100 50 Named viewports You can view the land use map of the current simulation year by pressing the Show current land use map button in the Output part Neighbour
54. e influence of your changes on the zoning map Note though that the system needs to recalculate the zoning map after every change you make in the Category precedence tab so the system may become somewhat slower to respond You can close the Preview zoning map window at any time and open it again later It is not possible to preview zoning maps for multiple land uses at the same time As soon as you change the selected Land use type in the Category precedence tab the Preview zoning map window will be closed automatically For more information about working with a map window see the section Map window Policy measures Infrastructure The relationship between land use and transport systems is generally recognized by planning professionals as well as scientists Also and importantly it is recognized that the relationship is reciprocal which means that developments in land use are in part a consequence of the transport system and at the same time developments in the transport system are by large the effect of land use changes The current version of WISE only incorporates a one way influence of transport on land use In future versions a transport model could be incorporated with which the impact of land use on transport can also be simulated Currently the transport network roads and railways is incorporated in the infrastructure driver Other infrastructure layers incorporated in WISE are Major processing
55. e is not allowed at that location You can set the zoning state values for each land use function and each zoning state category in the Zoning state value table The zoning state values will be used to calculate the numerical zoning map You can view the numerical zoning map by clicking the Show numerical zoning map button on the Zoning tab Terrestrial biodiversity model The terrestrial biodiversity model in WISE performs an analysis to identify unique combinations of land environments protected areas and land use It combines information on all land uses including vegetation state with information from two other primary data sources to produce an indicator of ecosystem representativeness To access the modeller user interface for the Terrestrial biodiversity model gt Goto the Drivers tab of the Main window gt Click the Parameters icon in the navigation pane on the left side of the window The system diagram displays in the content pane on the right side of the window gt Click the Terrestrial biodiversity MBB box at the Local level in the system diagram The Terrestrial biodiversity model dialog window opens The Terrestrial biodiversity model dialog window is structured so that the Input Parameters and Output parts are displayed from top to bottom Page 74 Doc 1737699 Terrestrial biodiversity model Input LENZ map utMaps Biodiversity Lenz_Ivi_2_NZMG100m rst Protected areas Time Map Show threatened e
56. e map using a least squares regression Class bounds are then set to the value of the polynomial at equally sized intervals Generate labels gt Click on the Generate labels button in the legend editor to open the Generate labels window see the image below Select the desired format from the Format list Enter the number of decimals with which values should be displayed in the labels If you want to display a unit in the label select Add unit to labels and enter the unit in the text box Press the OK button to update the labels in the legend editor Vv VV WV Generate labels Format lt lower bound gt lt upper bound gt Y Decimals 0 Add unit to labels mm year a Css Generate colours gt Click on the Generate colours button in the legend editor to open the Generate colours dialog window see the image below gt Select an option from the dropdown list just below the Predefined option The Top and Bottom labels indicate how the colours will be arranged in the table gt Press the OK button to update the colours in the legend editor Doc 2330707 Page 15 Generate colours You can also set the colours in the legend according to a custom gradient The Custom part of the Generate colours window allows you to easily make a smooth palette that blends from one colour to the next gt Click on one of the boxes just below the gradient bar to select it The dropdown l
57. e network on the selected land use function and it s Weight The distance decay is the number of cells after which the effect is halved for positive decays or doubled for negative decays The weight determines the relative importance of the infrastructure element for the particular land use function The distance decay can be positive for example industries like to be near highways or negative for example natural areas are preferably not located close to highways With positive decays this is then the maximum value and with negative decays the minimum value To turn off the accessibility effect of a specific land use function you can set its weight to zero In order to visualize the accessibility map of a function land use it is imperative that the simulation has been initialised see the section Reset or the accessibility has been computed see the section Step Use the Step command to compute the new accessibility maps after the network has been changed or when accessibility parameters have been changed You can view the accessibility map of the selected land use function for the current simulation year by pressing the Show accessibility map button The Accessibility for the selected land use function map window opens Accessibility is expressed in the range O to 1 and is displayed in colours varying from red to green red meaning low accessibility 0 and green meaning high accessibility 1 All the network layers incorporated i
58. e on the Internet including an electronic copy of this report http www creatingfutures org nz Suggested Citation Hedwig van Delden Yu e Shi Jelle Hurkens 2012 WISE Waikato Integrated Scenario Explorer User Manual Version 1 3 Report produced for Waikato Regional Council on behalf of the Creating Futures project Hamilton October 2012 Technical Report No 2013 02 October 2012 Word Document WRC Doc 2330707 PDF Document WRC Doc 2331006 Approved for release by Dr Beat Huser Date January 2013 Disclaimer This technical report has been prepared for the use of Waikato Regional Council as a reference document and as such does not constitute Council s policy Council requests that if excerpts or inferences are drawn from this document for further use by individuals or organisations due care should be taken to ensure that the appropriate context has been preserved and is accurately reflected and referenced in any subsequent spoken or written communication While Waikato Regional Council has exercised all reasonable skill and care in controlling the contents of this report Council accepts no liability in contract tort or otherwise for any loss damage injury or expense whether direct indirect or consequential arising out of the provision of this information or its use by you or any other party Doc 2330707 Doc 2330707 Acknowledgement The New Zealand Foundation for Research Science amp T
59. e pen or flood tool you will be asked if you want to save or discard your changes when you close the map window Your changes will not be processed in the model until you close the map window and choose to save your change If you choose to save your changes make sure you save them in a new file and do not overwrite an existing file or otherwise the system may not process your changes correctly From the current land use map accessible via Drivers Parameters Land use Land use tab gt Show current land use map button you can derive more information by using the Inspect tool In the Potential figures dialog window that will open the table lists the values for total potential neighbourhood potential suitability numerical zoning and accessibility for each land use function for the selected location The row and column index of the location are displayed in the caption of the window This functionality is very useful during calibration Doc 2330707 Page 11 Potential figures 787 456 Total Neighbourhood Suitability Numerical Accessibility Land use potential potential zonin Residential Lifestyle Blacks 56 2634 90 3904 0 9 i 0 491585 Residential Low Density 19 6942 100 485 0 9 i 0 38829 Residential Medium to High Density 40 7746 150 582 0 9 i 0 387004 Commercial 65 3272 95 7351 0 9 0 257074 Community Services 48 9116 90 9189 0 9 0 253909 Horticulture 1 15255 0 6 1 0 748593 Biofuel Cropping 1 75981 0 8 0 8 1 V
60. e you can configure a PivotTable or PivotChart gt Select the option PivotChart report in the wizard and click the Finish button A PivotT able and PivotChart will be created in new sheets gt Drag items from the PivotTable Field List window onto the chart to configure the graph the way you want For more information advice the Excel help function arable Porvaton peope JO Hawai AGS casos Work force age 15 65 5000 E OS 4000 Gender 7 Female 3000 a Male 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 00 e e e e e e e a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a a e a el e e e e e e e e e 2008 Jan 0 2009 Jan 0 2021 Jan 0 2022 Jan 0 2023 Jan 0 2024 Jan 0 2025 Jan 0 2026 Jan 0 2027 Jan 0 2028 Jan 0 2029 Jan 0 2030 Jan 0 2031 Jan 0 2032 Jan 0 2033 Jan 0 2034 Jan 0 2035 Jan 0 2036 Jan 0 2037 Jan 0 2038 Jan 0 2039 Jan 0 2040 Jan 0 2041 Jan 0 2042 Jan 0 2043 Jan 0 2044 Jan 0 2045 Jan 0 2046 Jan 0 2047 Jan 0 2048 Jan 0 2049 Jan 0 2050 Jan 0 ss ss ss ss Ms M
61. echnology FRST funded the Creating Futures project under contract ENVW0601 to Waikato Regional Council from 2006 to 2010 The regional council provided additional funding and administrative support for the project with some early co funding also provided by Landcare Research Since 2011 WISE is solely funded by the Waikato Regional Council WRC Disclaimer This report has been prepared for the Creating Futures project administered by the Waikato Regional Council as a reference document and as such does not constitute Council s policy Council requests that if excerpts or inferences are drawn from this document for further use by individuals or organisations due care should be taken to ensure that the appropriate context has been preserved and is accurately reflected and referenced in any subsequent spoken or written communication While Waikato Regional Council and contributing project contractors have exercised all reasonable skill and care in controlling the contents of this report Council and those contractors accept no liability in contract tort or otherwise for any loss damage injury or expense whether direct indirect or consequential arising out of the provision of this information or its use by you or any other party Doc 2330707 Page i WISE Waikato Integrated Scenario Explorer User Manual Version 1 3 0 RIKS BV October 2012 RIKS Team leader e Hedwig van Delden Contributing researchers e Yu e
62. ect Copy region region Copy value value _Save Grid J Grid Zoning The zoning or institutional suitability is characterized by one map for each land use function It is a composite measure based planning documents available from the national or regional planning authorities and can contains information from among others ecologically valuable and protected natural areas protected cultural landscapes buffer areas etc Click the Zoning tab to access the contents depicted as the figure below 8 Land use change model Land use Commercial w Land use type Function Land use Neighbourhood Accessibility Suitability Zoning Input Go to zoning tool Parameters Land use function Residential Residential Residential Commercial Comm E E E E S E B E a E 5 E rT R 7 al Zoning state function Residential Residential Residential Commercial Actively stimulated L2 1 2 1 2 1 2 Permitted 1 1 1 1 Controlled 0 8 0 8 0 8 0 8 Restricted discretion 0 6 0 6 0 6 0 6 Discretionary 0 4 0 4 0 4 0 4 The input to the Zoning part of the land use model are the Zoning maps which are generated with the help of the zoning tool in WISE A zoning map is a categorical map with the zoning state values No data values are depicted on the map as white You can access the zoning tool via the user interface of the land use model by clicking the Go to zoning tool butto
63. egetable Cropping 3 10764 2 06863 0 8 0 836977 Other Cropping 1 48258 0 8 0 8 1 Dairy Farming 151 532 112 904 1 0 899138 Sheep Beef or Deer Farming 1 22538 0 7 0 9 0 856725 Other Agriculture 2 44769 2 06863 0 9 0 616855 Forestry 0 779539 0 8 0 3 0 8809 Manufacturing 61 0192 100 683 0 9 0 296955 Network tools The Network tools become enabled only when a network layer is selected in the layer manager pane In WISE there are several ways to open a network map window through the Maps menu through the policy user interface or through the modeller user interface For more details we refer to the section Creating network changes and the section Network map window opened via the modeller user interface respectively You can use the Network tools to view or edit the infrastructure network Left click on a node or link in the map pane to select it Double click on a node or link to edit the properties Change the location of a node by dragging it to a new location Add link Drag in the map pane to draw a new link the link will be drawn as a straight line from the start point to the end point This button will be disabled for the non editable maps Add node Left click in the map pane to add a new node This button will be disabled for the non editable maps Shownodes Select this check box to display nodes of a network in the map pane Clear this check box to not show nodes on the network map Show links Select thi
64. elect the climate variable of interest from the dropdown list next to Time series For all the variables you can change the map of interest by clicking on the browse button next to the specific time and upload a new map Doc 2330707 Page 47 e For the trend type variables such as rainfall trend PET trend and temperature trend you can add a map for a specific year by using the Add time button on the right top of the dialog window The system calculates the interpolated values for the year that are not explicitly defined You can also delete a map for a specific year by using the Remove time button the right top of the dialog window e For the variation type variables such as rainfall variation PET variation and temperature variation the maps of 36 year period from 1972 to 2007 are used repeatedly for the period 1972 2007 2008 2043 and 2044 2079 These data will be used to superimpose the natural year to year variations of these variables upon the climate change trends for each emission scenario to 2050 You can add a map for a specific year by using the Add time button on the right top of the dialog window You can also delete a map for a specific year by using the Remove time button the right top of the dialog window If there is no variation map for a specific year then the system takes value O as the variation for this map and for this year In WISE several predefined climate change sub scenarios are available in the scenario man
65. ellow background You can specify the values for the newly added time as well Once you give a specific value for a parameter and for the newly added time this cell is displayed with a normal white background again Parameters Birth gender bias towards boys 0 51338199513382 Eme son tepat vaes 2006 Jan 01 2010 Jan 01 2050 Jan 01 s Fertility lever Mortality lever Net migration lever for Franklin Net migration lever for Thames Coro Net migration lever for Hauraki Net migration lever for Waikato Net migration lever for Matamata Piak Net migration lever for Hamilton City 0 0 0 0 0 0 Oo eie ie igcgigcictis s lt In the Output part of the Population tab you can view the output for total population male population and female population by single year of age and per district for the current year of the simulation You can also view the average life expectancy by gender per district and the natural increase in people and in percentage per district for the current year of simulation Click the dropdown list under Output and select the variable of interest The results for this variable are displayed in the table Output Hauraki Waikato Matamata Pi Han 0 0 0 o E P3 214 568 742 832 444 893 270 394 208 228 727 465 413 764 Average life expectancy years Natural increase 271 866 273 294 217 465 705 428 434 842 266 591 279 501 233 163 721 155 432 787 267 484
66. ened in Word You can use the same mechanism for Geonamica project files However if you have multiple versions of WISE installed or you have more than one Geonamica based system installed on your computer all of them will use the file Page 78 Doc 1737699 5 5 5 6 extension geoproj for their project files When you double click on such a file only one of these programs can be opened When you open WISE it checks whether Geonamica project files with file extension geoproj are associated with this application and not another version or another Geonamica based application If this is not the case WISE will do one of three things controlled by the setting in the Preferences window e If the Do nothing option is selected the file association will be left as it is e If the Automatically associate option is selected the file association will be changed to open this application next time you double click on a Geonamica project file e If the Ask me what to do option is selected a message window similar to the one depicted below will be displayed to indicate the possibly erroneous file association In this window you can select what to do by clicking one of the available buttons If you select the Don t ask me again check box before clicking one of the buttons the option in the Preferences window will be updated to reflect your choice Associate project files Geonamica project files geoproj are
67. ents of final demand International exports Interregional exports Gross fixed capital formation and Changes in inventories Different values can be entered for different times The Time list shows for which simulation times a value has been specified In between these times values will be linearly interpolated according to the previous and next specified time You can add or remove times to the list using the corresponding buttons The total of these four components and household consumption is the Final demand displayed in the Output section These values are multiplied with the Inverse Leontief matrix of the Parameters section to calculate the Unconstrained output displayed in the Output section These values will be used to calculate land use demands in the next tab Land use constraint After the Unconstrained output is calculated the values are converted from a monetary value per sector to a surface area per land use function This is done using the Sector to land use correspondence and the Land productivity On the top of the Land use constraint tab you can view and edit the Land use productivity per sector The Land use productivity is used to convert between monetary values and surface area On the bottom part of the Land use constraint tab two tables with two columns each are displayed The columns have the following meaning e The Unconstrained land use demand ha per land use function is the demand from
68. er farming other agriculture forestry and manufacturing The vacant land uses do not have a specific zoning map since we assume that this type of land use is allowed everywhere but that there are no areas where it is specifically planned In general vacant land uses are the land uses that appear when agricultural land is abandoned and also the land use that can easily be taken over when socio economic functions expand Zoning tool The Zoning toolin WISE allows you to incorporate your spatial planning in the land use change model You can enter spatial plans in the zoning tool and interpret their meaning for different land use classes in a comprehensible way Plans can be ordered hierarchically such that one overrules the other in case of conflict When more information or new zoning plans become available this can be incorporated in the zoning tool either by the project team or by the users themselves Before we will start to use the zoning tool let s go over the most important terminology that will be used in the explanation Plan A plan is a map that represents any spatial zoning plan It contains source data which is not interpreted in terms of its effect on land use yet A plan can contain one or more categories such as protected forests flood prone areas or residential Any number of plans can be entered in the zoning tool for example the spatial plans of each district as well as regional plans can all be i
69. er category Other agriculture SEE Other agriculture a e MA Y Ya oF rati a Pa E Result statistics Past y A E D Da L aii i a Y o PN C and Settings yshi My Docu Land use map_2030 rst _ Arable land at EEr od f Pe eee o ya a S 4 z E Greenhouses TA ai att ale 38925 Only in map 1 1275 Ha 4053 Onlyin map E Housing low density Other agriculture Pastures Arable land _Greenhouses_ ance Housing low density Housing high densit Apply Socio cult ral uses _ Extensive grassland Recreation areas _ em mah Dox Other agriculture a 3 os t ae A 4 E Pastures IA f P ET LA El in both maps _ Arable land aft gt 5 ane 2 k 1 a only in map 1 not in map 2 E Greenhouses a i F ee A x O only in map 2 not in map 1 O in none of the maps El Housing low density v The Map Comparison Kit application window consists of the Menu bar the Toolbar and the Work pane You can simultaneously open different windows for maps and statistics Furthermore it is possible to keep the Comparison Settings dialog window opened while working with the tool e The 1st Map window contains the first map to compare analyse You can open it by clicking the 1 icon on the toolbar E The list next to the toolbar displays which map is selected You can select a different map from the dropdown list and the map displayed in the 1st map window as wel
70. er in which the results have been saved Copy all the files in this folder to another computer and on that computer click the Import button to import the copied files After you have performed or imported a Monte Carlo run you can view the probability map for each land use class by clicking the Show probability map button This will open a dialog similar to the one depicted below Select the Monte Carlo run and the land use for which you want to display the map and click the OK button The map will Page 26 Doc 2330707 display values between 0 and 1 that indicate the fraction of simulation runs in which the selected land use occurred in the land use map at the end of the simulation period Show probability map Monte Carlo run Baseline Show probability map For single land use Land use Residential Lifestyle Blocks Map j Cancel It is also possible to display more comprehensive maps in which the probability map for different land uses can be combined with information from the initial land use map These are called composed probability maps in the system You can create one by clicking the Add button next to the list of composed probability maps in the Monte Carlo tool This will open a dialog similar to the one depicted below Composed probability map settings Name Probability of urbanisation Combined probabilities Land use Probability o a Bare Surfaces 3 Indigenous D Other Exotic We
71. escription and click the OK button You have now created a new sub scenario Test_population for the external factors population scenario Policy measures socio economic measures Besides external factors WISE also incorporates socio economic policy measures These measures can be found by clicking on the Policy Measures icon under the Drivers tab in the Main window and selecting Socio economic measures from the Driver list Page 34 Doc 1737699 Main window Drivers Driver Socio economic measures Socio economic measures External factors Rate of change in as g i v 3 9 eco efficiency in sector Accommodation restaurants and bars lo year Rate of change in multi Factor productivity in sector Accommodation restaurants and bars v 0 year Population Policy measures Population sub scenario Baseline Load sub scenario Save sub scenario District Thames Coromandel v Proportion of people living in each land use category 3 Parameters 5 Land use Time 2006 Jan 01 2007 Jan 01 2008 Jan 01 2009 Jan 01 2010 Jan 01 20 Residential Lifestyle Blocks 3 4 Residential Low Density 55 3 Residential Medium to High Density 10 2 Other 31 1 Red background means the values in a column don t add to 100 How to adapt values of economic measures Go to the Drivers tab in the Main window and click the Policy measures icon Select
72. esent interpolated values and cannot be changed Influence values with a white background correspond to bubbles in the graph These values can be edited in the table as well as in the graph The neighbourhood influence rules describe the effect of one land use on another at each distance in the neighbourhood These influences are accumulated to produce the neighbourhood potential in each cell for each land use function Click the Show neighbourhood potential map button to display the neighbourhood potential map for Doc 2330707 Page 63 the land use selected in the Land use list at the top of the Land use change model window Accessibility Click the Accessibility tab to access the contents depicted in the figure below 8 Land use change model Sees Land use Commercial v Land use type Function Land use Neighbourhood Accessibility Suitability Zoning Go to infrastructure layers Go to zonal accessibility Parameters Land use is built up Land use is impassable Implicit accessibility of built up areas 1 Implicit accessibility of non built up areas 0 5 Infrastructure type Distance decay cells Weight Residential road 6 000 Collector route 8 000 Arterial route 8 000 Principal highway 8 000 Major highway 8 000 Railway 3 000 Dairy processing 1 000 Timber processing 1 000 Abattoir 1 000 Residential attractants 80 000 Output Show accessib
73. ew sub scenario Since the steps are very similar for all external factors we take Population as an example to explain how you can work with the external factors How to view data and projections for the Baseline sub scenario gt Goto the Drivers tab in the Main window gt Click the External factors icon gt If the Population sub scenario is not set to Baseline click the Load sub scenario button and load the Baseline sub scenario gt Click the Fertility lever button The Fertility lever graph window will open This graph shows the fertility lever as a percentage on the vertical axis and the year on the horizontal axis You can click the Cancel button to go back to the Main window Doc 2330707 Page 33 P Main window 1 External Factors Economy sub scenario Baseline International exports in sector Accommodation restaurants and bars v min 2007 External factors Interregional exports in sector Dairy cattle Farming v min 2007 E Gross fixed capital Formation in sector Construction v min 2007 Population Policy measures External factors Population sub scenario A Fertility lever Fertility lever 8 Mortality lever Parameters Additional net in migrati District Time Thames Coromandel Matamata Piako tos SE Hamilton City j m 5 2006 Options JT Grid Year 2050 How to
74. fer to the accompanying Model descriptions of WISE Only a global overview of the model itself and the features which are not directly linked to the model description will be described in this user manual Detailed information about how to update data and parameters through the modeller user interface is given per individual model in the section Individual model components Notice that setting the parameters is part of the calibration of the system Changing the parameter settings can have a major impact on the behaviour of the system If you do not have a good understanding of the individual models we suggest you to use the default settings Overview of the system diagram To access the modeller user interface gt Goto the Drivers tab of the Main window gt Click the Parameters icon in the navigation pane The system diagram of the integrated models becomes visible in the content pane on the right hand side of the Main window The system diagram in the content pane is the most essential feature of the user interface for the modeller It shows an overview of the structure of the integrated models at the most abstract level and enables access to the details of the model at this level but also at lower levels You should learn to use it as a graphical explorer of the model You can change neither the model structure nor its graphical representation Main window Climate Spatial change Ae saran scenarios Hydrology Demography i
75. g a new value MM Edit moments 12006 Jan 01 2010 Jan 01 2050 Jan 01 You can specify values for these parameters for a specific year To add or remove a year click on the Edit time button on the top of the table The Edit moments dialog window opens Press the Add button to add a specific year Press Generates to create a series of years Click the Delete button to remove the selected year on the list The system enables you to undo changes in moments you have made to its last applied state by means of the Reset button in the Edit moments dialog window Click the OK button to confirm the changes that you made and close the Edit moments dialog window Doc 2330707 Page 55 Parameters Birth gender bias towards boys 0 51338199513382 Ishon eres abe 2006 Jan 01 2010 Jan 01 2050 Jan 01 2 EDA population effect for Rotorua p Mortality lever Net migration lever for Franklin Net migration lever for Thames Coro Net migration lever for Hauraki Net migration lever for Waikato Net migration lever for Matamata Piak Net migration lever for Hamilton City 0 OO OOO 2 GB o 0 O OOO Oo Oo lt An empty column for the newly added year is displayed in the table Select the check box next to Interpolate The system takes the interpolated value for the newly added time on the basis of the values for its closest defined years in the table The interpolated values are highlighted with y
76. gend see the section Legend editor For all the networks the categories of Acctype are used as the legend The ratio buttons in the legend pane indicate that this network map is editable You can view edit the link properties or add new links on the selected network layer Select the network of interest from the dropdown list next to Network layer Select the network change for the time of interest to open the network change map window Double click on the link of interest on the network changes map window The Properties dialog window opens All the available link properties of the selected network are displayed in the Properties dialog window You can edit the link properties for the selected link from here gt If you want to add the selected link enter value 0 in the cell for DeltaType gt If you want to delete the selected link enter value 1 in the cell for DeltaType Doc 2330707 Page 69 Network changes for layer Transport network Node width e A A je Raod Expansion 2010 Properties LayerManager Named viewports Grid tools gt Click Cancel to close the Properties dialog window Or click OK to confirm the change that you made A message window appears to ask you whether you want to save the changes you have made or not Save network change Raod Expansion 2010 Stations_linesNodes shp test shp test_roadexpansion_2010 shp Network Roads networkNodes shp Waterwa
77. general the dialog window that pops up is organised in such a way that the external input parameters and output are displayed from top to bottom For some MBBs the structure of the dialog window might be different according to the features of the MBBs such as the Economic model In WISE the input and output are organised by map map file graph single value and table The user can find the detailed description about how to edit input and display output by the categories of map map file graph single value and table in the section Editing Input and displaying output Page 46 Doc 1737699 4 9 Information on all of the underlying models and their data and parameters can be found in the Model description reports of WISE For each individual model component see the section Individual model components Individual model components Climate model Projected changes to 2050 of New Zealand annual rainfall temperature and potential evapotranspiration PET corresponding to three Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change IPCC global greenhouses gases emissions scenarios low medium and high have been produced as input for the climate model in WISE To access the modeller user interface for the Climate model gt Goto the Drivers tab of the Main window gt Click the Parameters icon in the navigation pane on the left side of the window The system diagram displays in the content pane on the right side of the window gt Cli
78. gging it You cannot move a point beyond its left or right neighbour gt You can precisely edit the value of a point by right clicking on it This will open a dialog where you can enter exact values gt You can change the display range of the graph by clicking the Options button Single value Single values in WISE are displayed in text boxes Normally the displayed value is rounded However when you click on the text box the exact value will be displayed You can change the value directly in the text box press the Tab key to commit your change gt Goto Main window Drivers Policy Measures Socio economic measures gt The value for Rate of change in multi factor productivity is displayed in a text box with two decimals precision gt Click inside the text box The value will be displayed with full precision Change the value in the text box Press the Tab key to commit your change You will see that the Policy measures Economy sub scenario will change to modified gt Click the Load sub scenario button to reload the previous sub scenario and undo your change Time series Some time series are displayed as graphs in WISE Others for example time series of maps are displayed as a list of time value pairs in a table In this case you can add or remove values for specific times in the time series by clicking the Add time or Remove time buttons next to the table
79. gt Nutrient parameter Reservoir decay per year Stream attenuation low fow Stream attenuai Phosphorous 22 9 0 162 Nitrogen 13 9 lt Output Show phosphorous load map Show nitrogen load map To access the modeller user interface for the Water guality model gt Goto the Drivers tab of the Main window gt Click the Parameters icon in the navigation pane on the left side of the window The system diagram displays in the content pane on the right side of the window gt Click the Water quality MBB box at the Region level in the system diagram The Water quality model dialog window opens The Water quality model dialog window is structured so that the Input Parameters and Output parts are displayed from top to bottom In WISE besides the information on climate and land use two kinds of input are required in the water quality model They are e Catchment area look up table e River network map You can upload a new catchment area look up table by clicking the browse button next to Catchment area look up table on the top of the window and double clicking on the new file The catchment area look up table is a binary file containing the following information e A list of entries with for each entry e Unsigned integer 32 bit with row index in higher 16 bits and column index in lower 16 bits e Unsigned integer 32 bit with index of catchment where the index is the link ID in the river network e Unsigned sho
80. he current simulation and the selected land use changes The Parameters part is in the middle of the dialog window You can edit and view the general parameters for the land use change model here Random coefficient and Total potential formula These parameters work for all the land uses In this version of software the total potential formula is not editable The random coefficient controls the stochastic perturbation effect to simulate the effect of unpredictable occurrences The system enables you to enter the Random coefficient in the Parameters part on the Land use tab The value of this parameter must be not less than 0 According to our experience range of 0 2 is recommended A value of 0 means no random effects You can determine the Random seed to run the simulation e Select the radio button next to Variable to run the simulation in full random mode e Select the radio button next to Fixed to run the simulation in a pseudo random mode You can enter the number of random seed in the text box next to Fixed to Doc 2330707 Page 61 Parameters Random coefficient 0 7 Random seed O Variable Fixed to 5489 Total potential formula Vacants TP S Functions TP 1 random N if N gt 0 A S Z 2 A S Z2 The total potential for function states combines the effect of the neighbourhood suitability zoning and accessibility The total potential for vacant states is a function of its suitability only Th
81. he Main window provides access to the policy user interface and the modeller interface The section Policy interface and the section Modeller interface provide detailed descriptions of interface for these two types of users Page 8 Doc 2330707 2 2 Editing Input and displaying output The models incorporated in WISE use and compute various forms of input and output data spatial temporal and tabular These are represented in the graphical user interface in different ways to best fit the nature of the data You will be able to find the following elements in the user interface e Maps e Graphs e Time series e Tables The following sub sections describe how to edit input and display output for each of these elements Map window Since all map windows in WISE work the same way we will use the Land use map window that is opened when you open a project in WISE as an example A Map window is split into 5 areas called panes as depicted below Panes are separated from each other by means of splitter bars You can move the splitter bars to change the size of a pane Legend pane Laver visibility button Layer manager pane Land use riap EJ x AS District boundaries A Indigenous Vegetation 9 Network layer Residential attr q II Other Exotic Vegetation I Wetiand Network layer Major processing E Residential Lifestyle Blocks LJ Residential Low Density E Residential Medium to High E Commercial CJ Community Servi
82. he changes you made Le Jl In the water guality model the point sources of nutrients are delivered from land to water by two ways drainage and rain You can view and edit the mean delivery value over river network for each deliver type in the table in the Input part Delivery type Mean delivery variable Drainage 4 21 Rain 1 62 In the Parameters part of the Water quality model dialog window you can view and edit the source coefficient phosphorus source coefficient nitrogen drainage exponent phosphorus drainage exponent nitrogen rain exponent phosphorus and rain exponent nitrogen for each land use in the Land use parameter table You can view and edit the reservoir decay stream attenuation low flow and stream attenuation high flow per nutrient type in the Nutrient parameter table In the Output part of the Water quality model dialog window you can view the annual phosphorous load map and the nitrogen load map for the current simulation year by clicking the corresponding button at the bottom of the Water quality model dialog window Economic model The economic model in WISE is designed to simulate the combined environmental and economic implications of economic change in the Waikato Region The model is driven by scenarios of economic growth To access the modeller user interface for the Economic model gt Goto the Drivers tab of the Main window Doc 2330707 Page 51 gt Click the Parameters icon in the navigatio
83. he land use change model When the graphs coincide all demanded land could be allocated When the graphs deviate from each other this means that less land is available for a land use than what is demanded based on the projected growth of population and the economy The competition between land uses is taken into account in this respect Hence you will likely see land scarcity affect agricultural land uses but not residential or commercial land uses Analysing results The final step of the impact assessment study is to analyse results within an integrated scenario e g the temporal evolution of an integrated scenario or to compare a set of integrated scenarios In order to analyse spatial results maps more carefully it is often helpful to analyse them pixel by pixel or to compare only the land use type you are interested in You have run the simulation with different integrated scenarios and saved result maps using Log maps command on the Options menu To investigate these maps you will use the Map Comparison Kit MCK This is a tool that contains a multitude of algorithms to compare maps on a pixel by pixel basis For more information we refer to the user manual that comes with the MCK Short overview of the MCK The MCK looks as depicted below Page 42 Doc 1737699 Menu bar Toolbar Work pane Map Comparison Kit 3 2 MCK log Cox Land_use Land use map 2030 rst ta BF 25 2a EH Result statistics P
84. help on You can also use the Search tab to find the relevant section in the user manual If these tabs are not displayed click the Show button at the top of the WISE User Manual window Licence Click Licence on the Help menu to get the licence information in the Installed licenses window All licences for the Geonamica based software installed on your computer will be listed in the table You can import a licence file with extension lic by clicking the Read a licence file button To remove a license click the Open license folder button and remove the files with the license name you want to remove from the folder You need to restart the application for the changes to take effect There is no need to remove existing licenses before installing a new one Checking for updates Click Check for updates on the Help menu to check if you are using the latest version of WISE If a newer version is available the system will tell you how to get it About Click About on the Help menu to open the About window Here you can find the copyright notice and version number of WISE The latter is important if you need assistance with the software see the section If you experience problems or when you request an update of the software Creating Futures WISE is an Integrated Spatial Decision Support System ISDSS designed specifically for New Zealand focusing on the Waikato region It is developed as part of the Creating
85. highway Iv E RIKS Regional Futures V 113 Simulations UnputMaps Unfrastru 2010 Jan 01 Remove the newly added major highway Iv E RIKS Regional Futures V 113 Simulations InputMaps Infrastru 2011 Jan 01 Addition 2011 E E RIKS Regional Futures V 113 Simulations InputMaps Infrastru mm 0 Sana m somo tmm omia a Baa aan Man ama t e a Page 64 Doc 1737699 On the top of the dialog window the default file names and file paths for the initial network layers are listed in the table by Network layer name You can adapt an initial network layer for the specific layer by clicking on the browse button next of the specific layer and selecting the file that you want to upload You can also view and edit the selected initial network map by clicking the Show Edit selected button Clicking the Add remove infrastructure layers button to open the Add remove infrastructure layers window You can change the name of the network layers by entering a new name in the text box in the Network layer column You can adapt the initial network layer by clicking on the browse button and uploading a new file Add remove infrastructure layers Infrastructure layers Network layer Initial network map Major processing sites E RIKS Regional Futures W 113 SimulationsY G Residential attractants E RIKS Regional Futures W 113 SimulationsY Ga Add network layer Airports RIKS Regional Futures V 113 Simulations UnputMaps infre
86. hood The neighbourhood rules table displays the influence land uses have on each other For example people do not like to live close to an industrial area so industry will have a negative influence on housing that decays as the distance between the two places increases The influence that a certain land use has on another land use or itself is described as a function of the distance between two cells which is represented as a piecewise linear Page 62 Doc 1737699 function An example of such a function is shown in the figure below where the points are connected by linear interpolation In this graph the distance runs along the horizontal axis and the vertical axis displays the influence that land use A has on land use B Click the Neighbourhood tab on the Land use change model window to access the neighbourhood rules The top table in this window displays the Intertia convertion effect for vacant land uses This can be altered to change how vacant land uses are allocated which only happens after all land use functions have been allocated 8 Land use change model Land use Commercial Y Land use type Function Land use Neighbourhood Accessibility Suitability Zoning Parameters For all land uses Inertia conversion effect for vacant land uses From 4 To Bare Surfaces Indigenous Other Exotic Wetland Bare Surfaces Indigenous Other Exotic Wetl
87. hrough scenario analysis and multi criteria deliberation frameworks and 2 develop an integrated spatial decision support system ISDSS to support the evaluation and deliberation processes Together these tools will help Waikato Regional Council and other councils evaluate links and trade offs between economic environmental and social cultural outcomes and the cumulative effects of many decisions over space and time An ISDSS is an Integrated Spatial Decision Support System designed to help examine weakly structured or unstructured problems characterised by many actors many possibilities and high uncertainty The Waikato Integrated Scenarios Explorer or WISE is being developed for the Waikato region to support evaluation and deliberation of strategies and scenarios related in the context of Waikato Regional Council s long term planning Doc 2330707 Page 1 User Manual An Overview This is an overview of the user manual for WISE an integrated spatial decision support system built with the GEONAMICA framework WISE is developed for the Waikato region to support Waikato Regional Council s long term council community planning process This manual contains five sections Section 1 Getting started explains how to install WISE on your computer and how to start the program It also describes the main features of the graphical user interface Section 2 Running the simulation contains a step by step description of how to run a s
88. ication window the Main window and the Land use map As you will need to use these windows most of the time you cannot close these windows to prevent doing so accidentally If they are in your way click the Minimize button on the window and it will move to the bottom of the application window Main Window The Main window is organised in tabs and pages which are displayed on the left side of the window The Main window has 4 tabs Drivers Scenarios Indicators and Analysis Each tab has one ore more pages which are displayed as icons when you click on a tab Click on an icon to display a page in the right side of the window called the content pane Content pane Main window Economy Y External Factors Economy sub scenario Baseline International exports in sector Accommodation restaurants and bars v min 2007 External factors Interregional exports in sector Dairy cattle Farming min 2007 E Gross fixed capital Formation in sector Construction min 2007 Population External Factors Population sub scenario Baseline Load sub scenario Save sub scenario Fertility lever Yo Mortality lever Yo Parameters Additional net in migration people Policy measures District Time 2007 Jan 01 2008 Jan 01 2009 Jan 01 2010 Jan 01 2011 Jan 01 2012 Jan 01 Tabs Thames Coromandel Matamata Piako Y seenarios N Hamilton city ees MANI T
89. icators e Environmental indicators e Land use indicators Each of these indicators is calculated on a yearly basis Depending on the type of indicator it is calculated at one or more spatial levels regional district and local You gain access to the indicators by clicking the Indicators tab in the Main window Steps to take in visualising indicators are described in the section Visualising indicators Step 5 Analysing results The final step of an impact assessment study is to analyse results within an integrated scenario e g the temporal evolution of an indicator or to compare a set of integrated scenarios In step 3 of the assessment you have selected which information you want to save for analysis In this step you carry out the analysis thereof Excel files that have been created can be analysed with Excel animations can be shown in a viewer and logged maps that have been saved in log files that can be compared in the Map Comparison Kit which is accessible from the Analysis tab in the Main Window Setting up the drivers In this section you will become familiar with the different drivers in the system and learn how to enter and change information related to these drivers There are 3 sections under the Drivers tab External factors Policy measures and Parameters Among them the Parameters section is relevant only to a modeller The detailed description about the Parameters section will be found in the section Modeller interface
90. ich integrated scenarios they are used in by clicking the Manage sub scenarios button on the Scenario manager page in the Main window under the Scenario tab This will open a dialog similar to the one depicted below Manage sub scenarios Driver Policy measures Zoning v Sub scenario Without LU2006 Zoning v Description Remove the existing land use 2006 from the zoning tool Integrated scenarios that use this sub scenario Name Description Baseline2706_DeFacto Remove the Existing land use 2006 from the zoning to gt Select one of the drivers from the list The Sub scenario list will be updated with the sub scenarios that are available for the selected driver gt Select a sub scenario from the list to view its description The Description and the list of Integrated scenarios that use this sub scenario will be updated gt Click the Rename button to rename a sub scenario Your change will not be committed until you click the OK button gt Click the Delete button to delete a sub scenario You cannot delete a sub scenario that is used in one or more integrated scenarios You will first have to Doc 2330707 Page 19 remove these integrated scenarios The sub scenario will not be deleted until you click the OK button Saving a project Click the Save button on the toolbar or select Save project from the File menu in order to save all the changes you have made thus far in
91. idential Low Density Function Residential Medium to High Density Function Commercial Function Community Services Function Horticulture Function Biofuel Cropping Function Vegetable Cropping Function Other Cropping Function Dairy Farming Function Sheep Beef or Deer Farming Function Forestry Function Manufacturing Function Marine Feature Aquaculture Feature Utilities Feature Mines and Quarries Feature Urban Parks and Recreation Feature Fresh Water Feature Airports Feature Land Outside Study Area Feature Marine Outside Study Area Feature Overview The Land use model dialog window has been grouped in so called Control pane and Content pane which are indicated in the red and in the green frame respectively in the figure depicted below Doc 2330707 Page 59 8 Land use change model and use Commercial V Landuse type Function Control pane Land use Neighbourhood Accessibility Suitability Zoning Initial land use map ps Land use Waik_luc_NZMG200m rst Gal Show Edi Land use changes Time Map 2006 Jan 01 2 r Show curent land use map and selected changes Parameters Random coefficient Content pane Total potential formula Vacants TP S Functions TP 1 random N if N gt 0 A S Z 2 A S Z Output Show total potential map Show current land use map In the control pane you can select a land use class of interest in the land use change model from
92. ience problems when installing WISE you can contact RIKS see the section If you experience problems Installing WISE and accompanying tools The following is a step by step description of the installation of WISE The installation uninstallation of WISE follows standard Windows procedures If you have a previous version of the WISE software installed on your machine you will be asked whether you want to uninstall it first We recommend uninstalling it If you want to keep it make sure to put the latest version of WISE in a separate folder During the installation you may encounter a message asking whether you want to keep or replace certain files We recommend replacing those files for use with WISE Keeping the old files may cause the software to malfunction To Install WISE gt Step 1 Start Microsoft Windows XP gt Step 2 Download or copy the WISE setup gt Step 3 Double click on the WISE_ _setup exe The refers to the version number of the software installation Yy Step 4 Follow the steps on the screen to install the software and data v Step 5 Optional Download the Map Comparison Kit from http www riks nl mck Install it by double clicking the downloaded file and follow the steps on the screen To uninstall WISE Step 1 Open the Control Panel this is normally available in the Windows Start menu Open Add or Remove Programs in the Control Panel Next click the change or remove programs b
93. ility map The accessibility for each function land use is calculated as a function of the distance to the nearest infrastructure network and the weight of this particular network It represents how easy a location can fulfil its needs for transportation for a particular land use The input of the Accessibility component of the land use change model is the Infrastructure layers in WISE You can access the detailed infrastructure information by clicking the Go to infrastructure layers button in the Input part The Infrastructure layers dialog window opens Infrastructure layers Input Add remove infrastructure layers Network layer Initial network map Transport network E RIKS Regional Futures V 113 Simulations UnputMaps Infrastructure Roads and Railway shp Major processing sites E RIKS Regional Futures W113 Simulations InputMaps Unfrastructure Major Processing shp Residential attractants E RIKS Regional Futures W113 Simulations InputMaps Infrastructure yesidentialaccesscentres 2006 shp Show Edit selected Parameters Network layer Transport network v Network changes Time Name Incremental File 2007 Jan 01 Addition 2007 E E RIKS Regional Futures V113 Simulations InputMaps Infrastru 2008 Jan 01 Addition 2008 E E RIKS Regional Futures V113WSimulations InputMaps Infrastru 2010 Jan 01 Road expansion 2010 iv E RIKS Regional Futures V 113 Simulations InputMaps Unfrastru 2010 Jan 01 Add a new major
94. imulation in WISE Section 3 Policy interface describes the steps that a policy user should follow to carry out an integrated impact assessment with WISE Section 4 Modeller interface describes the interface for a modeller to access the underlying models and to update data and parameter settings through the system diagram in WISE Section 5 The WISE menu system offers a systematic description of each option in the menu system Through this documentation for the convenience of the user a special arrow symbol is used in a step by step description of how to complete the action that you can follow along at your computer For example gt Click Open project on the File menu Page 2 Doc 2330707 1 1 1 2 Getting started This chapter explains how to install WISE on your computer and how to start the program It also describes the main features of the graphical user interface Computer requirements WISE runs on personal computers running Microsoft Windows XP and equipped with modern Intel or Intel compatible processors It may also run on Windows Vista and Windows 7 but has only been fully tested on Windows XP To use WISE your computer should have the following hardware components e Atleast 1GB of RAM e A hard disk with at least 10GB free space To use WISE you should have the following software packages installed on your computer e Microsoft Excel version 2003 or later required If you exper
95. imulation time for which you want to display the network Select a time from the list and click the OK button A map window will open displaying the selected infrastructure network at the selected time gt To add a link select which type of link to add from the Link color legend then click the Add link button on the Network tools and draw the link in the map by dragging Page 40 Doc 1737699 3 3 the mouse from the start point to the end point You may first want to zoom in on the area of interest Note that you can only draw straight lines gt To remove a link zoom in on it right click on it and select Delete from the context menu that will pop up gt To change the type of a link zoom in on it right click on it and select Properties from the context menu that will pop up A window will open where you can select the infrastructure type gt Close the map window to save your changes as a new network change You will be asked to enter a name for the change and a file name where the map will be saved It s best to save this in a subfolder of the project file Note that the system always creates incremental network change maps meaning only the nodes and links that have been added removed or changed are saved Importing a network When data on infrastructure developments is available or can be prepared in a GIS as an ESRI shape file you can import these directly in WISE You can either import a complete network that
96. in the range of 0 255 in the text box next to Maximum suitability on the top of the Suitability tab This maximum suitability value should be the highest value on any suitability map in WISE In general if the suitability map is created in the Overlay Tool with a maximum suitability value of 10 it can be used directly in WISE system The path of the suitability map file for the function land use for the first date is displayed by default when you open the system The system allows you to add or delete the suitability map for a selected land use at a specific time by clicking on the Add and Delete button You can view or edit the suitability map for the selected vacant or function land use and for the selected time by clicking on the Show Edit button at the bottom of the Suitability tab With the opened Suitability map window it is possible to change the suitability value of individual cells A higher value indicates a higher suitability Suitability is displayed in the map in colours varying from red to green representing values between O not suitable and 10 perfectly suitable Before you add the suitability map to the system you have to ensure that the values on the map are integer values For more information about how to work with an editable map see the section Grid tools Page 72 Doc 1737699 Suitability for Commercial lo District boundaries je Suitability Commercial 2006 Jan Flood _ Inspect__
97. ined from a linear interpolation of the previous and next defined values After the last year for which values are specified the values will be kept constant gt Double the proportion of people living in Residential Medium to High Density by 2015 You will see that the proportion of people living in non residential land uses is updated automatically gt You can reset a value to its linearly interpolated value by selecting the cell in the table and pressing the Delete key on your keyboard You have now changed the policy measure for population The active sub scenario will be displayed as modified Click the Save sub scenario button to save your changes Doc 2330707 Page 35 as a new sub scenario or click the Load sub scenario button to load an existing sub scenario and discard your changes Policy measures Zoning Zoning maps represent the policy part of the land use change model Different locations have different restrictions for particular land uses For any particular area the development of one set of land uses can be allowed while the development of another set of land uses can be prohibited For this reason there is a specific zoning map for each main land use function incorporated in the system residential lifestyle blocks low density and medium to high density commercial community services horticulture biofuel cropping vegetable cropping other cropping dairy farming sheep beef or de
98. ing Waipa Distri Controlled he Kota o Kita Ly Let a Ls Le Ll Oo Senaros tra S SE gt Go to the zoning driver in the Main window Change the zoning status for one of the categories The name of the active sub scenario will change to modified You can load an existing sub scenario by clicking the Load sub scenario button A dialog will pop up listing the available sub scenarios When you select one and click the OK buiton the values for the driver will be updated You can save the changes you have made to a driver in a new sub scenario by clicking the Save sub scenario button Provide a name and description in the dialog that will pop up and click the OK button You will see that the name of the active sub scenario will change to the name you just entered Page 18 Doc 2330707 Integrated scenarios Sub scenarios can be defined for each driver in the Main window The combination of one sub scenario for each driver is called an integrated scenario The active integrated scenario is always displayed in the toolbar Here you can also load a different integrated scenario by selecting it from the dropdown list When you do this the according sub scenarios will be loaded for each driver As is explained in the previous section you can change the active sub scenario for a driver in the Main window by clicking the Load sub scenario or Save sub scenario button When you do this the active integ
99. ion rates in the population model can all be altered in order to test the effect of different policies on the projected population Of course this would require some assumptions to be made about the impact of policies on the demographic variables These policy levers are displayed in the table of the Parameters part Fertility lever Mortality lever Net migration lever per district and EDA population effect per district in the start year and the end year of the simulation The system takes the interpolated values for other years e Fertility lever the percentage of increase or decrease for the fertility rate e Mortality lever the percentage of increase or decrease for the mortality rate e Net migration lever the percentage of increase or decrease for the net migration rate e EDA population effect the number of additional people that migrate to a region based on economic development assumptions Parameters Birth gender bias towards boys 0 51338199513382 Dow repeat 2006 Jan 01 2050 Jan 01 A Fertility lever Mortality lever Net migration lever for Franklin Net migration lever for Thames Coro Net migration lever for Hauraki Net migration lever for Waikato Net migration lever for Matamata Pi Net migration lever for Hamilton City Net minration lever for Waina 1 2 Oo coco oO Oo oo o iQoiegiegie eo seic s lt You can view or edit the value by clicking the cell of interest and enterin
100. ional Futures W113 Simulatio Major processing sites E RIKS Regional Futures V113 Simulatio Residential attractants E IKS Regional Futures W113Simulatio 9 Residential attractants 10 Airport Click the OK button at the bottom to confirm the changes and close the Add accessibility type window 2 Infrastructure layers Input Network layer Initial network map Airports E RIKS Regional Futures 113 Simulations InputMaps Infrastructure Test Airports shp Major processing sites RIKS Regional Futures V 113 Simulations InputMaps Infrastructure Major Processing shp Residential attractants E RIKS Regional Futures W 113 Simulations InputMaps Unfrastructure vesidentialaccessce la Transport network E RIKS Regional Futures 113 Simulations InputMaps Infrastructure Roads and Railwa Show Edit selected Parameters Network layer A A Network changes Time Name 2007 Jan 01 Addition 2007 E RIKS Regional Futures V113 Simulations UnputMaps In 2008 Jan 01 Addition 2008 E RIKS Regional FuturesV113Simulatio 2010 Jan 01 Road expansion 2010 E RIKS Regional Futures W113 Simulatio 2010 Jan 01 Add a new major highway ERIKS Regional Futures W113 Simulatio 2010 Jan 01 Remove the newly added major highway M E RIKS Regional Futures V 113 Simulatio 2011 Jan 01 Addition 2011 a E RIKS Regional Futures V 113 Simulatio Go to the Parameters part of the Infrastructure layers window You can select your netw
101. ist under Edit colour will display the colour of the selected box gt You can change the colour of the selected box using the dropdown list under Edit colour gt You can add extra boxes by clicking anywhere on the gradient bar gt You can delete an intermediate box by right clicking on it and selecting Delete from the context menu gt Press the OK button update the colours in the legend editor Generate colours Bottom Edit colour CA Sasana Other Graph The graph editor is used extensively in WISE to define two dimensional relations time series and distance decay functions The left part of the window displays a graph in which you can edit the values by moving adding or deleting points The right side of the window displays a list of the values in the graph You cannot edit this list but it is updated as you edit the graph Values between points in the graph are always linearly interpolated Values before the first point or after the last point are kept constant international exports in Horticulture and fruit growing 2006 90 8653 2011 83 5411 2016 83 5411 2021 93 5411 2026 83 5411 2031 83 5411 2050 83 5411 Graph display area Value list You can add points to the graph by double clicking on a location in the white part of the graph gt You can remove points by double clicking on the point you want to remove Page 16 Doc 2330707 gt You can move a point by dra
102. l as the result map and results statistics will be updated immediately e The 2nd Map window contains the second map to compare analyse It works the same way as the 1st map window e The Result map window contains the result map It can be opened by clicking the 1 2 icon on the toolbar E This map shows the spatial result of the map comparison Depending on the selected comparison method the results are presented in a continuous scale or a nominal scale e The Result statistics window contains the numerical non spatial results of the last performed map comparison lt can be opened by clicking the table icon on the toolbar E e The Comparison settings dialog window allows you to change the settings of the current comparison algorithm lt can be opened by clicking the 4 button on the toolbar SF Doc 2330707 Page 43 Comparing maps in the MCK First we will analyse how the maps of the Baseline integrated scenario changes over time gt gt Go to the Analysis tab in the navigation pane on the left hand side of the Main window of WISE Click the Start MCK button The Open window of the MCK opens The MCK log file that has been generated by the Log maps functionality in WISE will be preselected in the Open window Click the Open button The MCK log file will be loaded Select which type of maps you want to compare from the left most list on the toolbar The lists for the first and second map will be upd
103. le to disk Displays the active integrated scenario The dropdown nn list shows all the available integrated scenarios You da beses _ i can load an integrated scenario by selecting it from the dropdown list Oni Displays the current simulation time whenever a project is open The Status baris displayed at the bottom of the application window It contains different sections that provide different kinds of information e The leftmost section provides general information When you navigate through the menu it describes the selected menu item e The second section from the left provides local information when you move the mouse over a map For a raster map it lists the cell index and the value in that cell For network maps it lists the x and y coordinates of the location e The third section from the left displays a progress bar while the model is calculating e The rightmost sections of the Status bar indicate which of the following keys are latched down the Caps Lock key CAP the Num Lock key NUM or the Scroll Lock key SCRL Doc 2330707 Page 5 1 5 System Information The different commands in the Help menu allow you to look up the system information about WISE For more information see the section Help menu Help Click Index on the Help menu or press the F1 key to open the on line help file of WISE Use the Contents tab on the left side of the WISE User Manual window to navigate to the topic that you want
104. n header in the Export project window Press Ctrl V to paste the changed file names into the table Check that all the file names in the table now refer to the same folder Change the Project file to the correct folder Change the Legend file folder to be a subfolder of the folder where you will save the project file All the files in the legend folder will be copied Click the Save button to export the project VV V WV VV VV V WV Yy Doc 2330707 Page 21 2 4 Running a scenario Once the Main window and the Land use map window have been opened the program has read the default values for all the parameters as well as the initial values for all the state variables of models The program is ready to run a scenario You can run a scenario with the control buttons on the toolbar or with the commands on the Simulation menu Active integrated scenario Simulation clock On the toolbar as depicted in the figure above the left most box displays the active integrated scenario The right most box displays the Simulation clock which indicates the current simulation time The initial year is 2006 in WISE Integrated scenario Ba Active integrated scenario Before you start running the simulation check which integrated scenario is active This determines which scenario will be calculated gt Expand the Integrated scenario dropdown list on the toolbar by clicking on the downward arrow The availa
105. n on the Zoning tab For more information about the zoning tool see the section Zoning tool Doc 2330707 Page 73 The categorical zoning maps need to be converted into numerical zoning maps which have numerical values to be used in the computation of the total potential You can set the parameters to interpret the categories in the Parameters part of the Zoning tab The conversion takes into account the De Facto zoning and the zoning state value for each land use function e If acheck box in the De Facto zoning table is selected for certain land use and for certain function each year the zoning status will be corrected for the De Facto land use For instance the check box for Agriculture land use and for the Agriculture function is checked if a location has agriculture on the calculated land use map you introduce a new zoning plan where the agriculture is not allowed to develop on this location The zoning status for agriculture function will still be allowed at this location e f a check box in the De Facto zoning table is unselected for certain land use and for certain function the zoning status will be corrected for the De Facto land use each year For instance when the check box for the Agriculture land use and the Agriculture function is checked a location that has agriculture on the calculated land use map cannot be removed as a consequence of introducing a new zoning plan Even though this new zoning plan indicates that agricultur
106. n pane on the left side of the window The system diagram displays in the content pane on the right side of the window gt Click the Economics MBB box at the Region level in the system diagram The Economic model dialog window opens The Economic model dialog window is divided over several tabs Sector filter Sector land use correspondence Consumption Demand Land use constraint Supply and Indicators Scrolling tabs Use the icons at the top left of the Economic model window to scroll the tabs when some of them are not visible Move to the left end tab Move tabs to left Move tabs to right Move to the right end tab The Economic model window mainly consists of tables Some of the headings of the tables are not displayed completely The complete heading is displayed when you hover the mouse cursor over it You can change the width of a column by dragging the right edge of the column heading Double click this edge to size the column to fit the contents Sector filter The Sector filter tab shows which sectors are displayed on various lists in the Main window You can adjust the selection by selecting or clearing the check boxes Sector land use correspondence On the top of the Sector land use correspondence tab the Sector to land use correspondence table is shown Here we specify the extent to which each land use function contributes to each sector The ratio coefficients in the Sector to land
107. n the system are displayed as well in this map window Since the accessibility map is only calculated for function land uses the contents in the Parameters part and the Show accessibility map button in the Output part are not available if the selected land use is vacant or feature Doc 2330707 Page 67 Accessibility map Commercial lo District boundaries x Network layer Transport netwo amp Network layer Residential attrad Network layer Major processing amp Network layer Airports je Accessibility map Commercial Zoom tools Named viewports Network map window opened via the modeller user interface The user interface of the network map window opened via the policy user interface is different from the one opened via the modeller user interface In this section we focus the one opened via the modeller user interface For the other one please refer to the section Creating network changes e You can view and edit the exact network changes for the selected network and for the specific year in the Network map window opened via the modeller user interface e You can view the high level overview of network layer for the selected network and for the specific year in the Creating network changes For instance the figure below shows the network map window opened via the policy user interface All the roads on the Transport network layer for 2010 are displayed Network layer Transport network 2010 Jan 01
108. nality map iydrology Weltap NZMG500m rst Show edit Potential evaporation seasonality map C Documents and Settings User Show edit Mean number of rain days map C Documents and Settings User Show edit Profile readily available water map C Documents and Settings User E Show edi Flow seasonality map C Documents and Settings User a Show edi Parameters Land use Canopy storage capacity mm Bare Surfaces Indigenous Vegetation Other Exotic Vegetation Wetland Residential Lifestyle Blocks Residential Low Density Residential Medium to High Density Commercial Community Services 2 O O m 2 24 N U O O Hartin dhire Output Show annual runoff map Show summer flow yield map The Hydrology model dialog window is structured so that the Input Parameters and Output parts are displayed from top to bottom In WISE besides the output from the climate change scenarios six kinds of maps are required as the input in hydrology model They are e Rainfall seasonality map Potential evaporation seasonality map Mean number of rain days map Profile readily available water map Flow seasonality map These maps are raster maps with a spatial resolution of 500 meter In the Input part of the Hydrology model dialog window you can view and edit the input maps for the hydrology model by clicking on the Show edit button next to
109. ncorporated as separate zoning plans Category plan can have one or more categories each of which is represented by a category in the map For example a plan that outlines the protected areas can have the categories protected forests protected natural area and non protected nature No data values in the map will not be interpreted in the zoning tool that is they cannot be assigned a zoning status Zoning status Each category in a plan needs to be interpreted in terms of their zoning status for each land use function separately The following zoning statuses are available in WISE Permitted Controlled Restricted discretionary Discretionary Non complying Prohibited and Actively stimulated see the specification report for more information Moreover a category can be interpreted as unspecified meaning that the specific category does not influence a specific land use function or that no information for that category is available Start time End time A category in a plan can start and stop at any given time in the simulation By default a plan is valid from the start year of the simulation until the end year of the simulation However the start year the end year or both can be set per category This time setting per category is assumed to be equal for all land use functions Zoning map The zoning map is the result of the interpretation and combination of all categories in all spatial plans It indicates the zo
110. nd for the layer and allow you to edit the layer if possible see the section Grid tools and Network tools You can show or hide a layer by clicking on the layer visibility button in the layer manager pane Layer is visible Tools pane The tools pane is displayed in the lower right portion of the Map window It shows the tools for viewing and editing maps and includes the Zoom tools Grid tools and Page 10 Doc 2330707 Network tools Click on the corresponding name to expand or collapse the section for either of these three Zoom tools Use the Zoom tools when you would like to see a location in more detail Click in the map pane to zoom in Click in the map pane to zoom out El Drag in the map pane to change the viewed area Oi Select an area in the map pane to zoom in me on Ei Zoom in out to fit the entire map in the window Grid tools Use Grid tools to edit and view the information of the editable raster or grid maps that you have selected Click in the map pane to change the value of a cell to the item selected in the legend pane This button will be disabled for non editable maps Click in the map pane to change the value of a patch to the item selected in the legend pane This button will be disabled for non editable maps Baman L Inspect Click in the map pane to list the value in a cell MENTON Save Grid Save the map to a file on disk If you have changed an editable map using th
111. nged license system old licenses cannot be used anymore Version 1 1 1 8 November 2010 Bug fixes Version 1 1 0 17 August 2010 Added zoning tool Fixed computation of adjusted rates in population model Password protected population parameter file Fixed computation of change in final demand in economic supply model Added support for addition and removal of infrastructure layers through the user interface Added land use indicators displaying the difference between land use demand and allocated land over time Support animation of river network maps and infrastructure network maps Added integrated help functionality Documented guidelines for best use of the scenario manager Various user interface enhancements o Added maps menu Added economic sector filter in policy user interface Display overview of total potential figures for a single cell Improved the log maps functionality Made infrastructure policy measures more user friendly Removed changes in inventories from external factors O O O O 1D Doc 2330707 Page 81 Version 1 0 7 16 November 2009 e Updated hydrology parameters maps e Renamed eco efficiency as land productivity Version 1 0 6 11 November 2009 e Updated land use model parameters e Updated colours of land use map Version 1 0 5 9 October 2009 Changed simulation start year from 2004 to 2006 Updated initial land use map Updated land use model parameters Fixed
112. ning status in each cell for a particular time span Zoning maps are specific for each land use function and have a timestamp since zoning regulations can change over time Page 36 Doc 1737699 Because multiple zoning plans can be introduced in the zoning tool it is possible that two plans will provide conflicting zoning information e g according to one plan residential development is allowed whereas it is prohibited in another plan To resolve such conflicts the set of all categories in all zoning plans is ordered hierarchically in the zoning tool Higher ordered categories overrule lower ordered categories This hierarchy among categories is assumed to be the same for all land use functions Importing or editing zoning plans Zoning plans are represented as raster maps with categorical data You can import a new zoning plan if the map that represents that plan fulfils the following criteria e The projection extents and cell size of the raster map match those of the land use map e The values in the map are subsequent integers starting from O first category up to but excluding the number the number of categories A maximum of 250 categories per zoning plan is allowed e The no data value in the map should be set to 255 Maps can be preprocessed in a GIS to fulfil these criteria To import a new zoning plan gt Goto Main window Drivers Zoning Plans and categories Click the Import plan button gt
113. nted in black When you move the mouse pointer over such a block its colours becomes inverted Next if you click on it a dialog window will be open This dialog window is the graphic user interface of the MBB It has the function to receive the user input and to display the model output Connectors and connections Variables and parameter values can be passed from one MBB to the other via Connections or Pipes MBBs will dispense variable or parameter values with the rest of the models via Out connectors and will take in information from other MBBs via In connectors The actual data exchange between MBBs is possible via a Connection between an Out connector of the issuing block and the In connector of the receiving block Once there is a variable or parameter value that is exchanged a connection is displayed in the diagram Symbols Connector In Connector Out Connector 4 4 Dialog windows Each MBB has a dialog window associated with it It is the vehicle that permits the interactive exchange of information between the user and the Model Building Block The MBB communicates the results output of its numerical operations to the user and it takes in the data entered input and parameter by the user that are required for the execution of the MBB It concerns data that are internal to the MBB which it does not get from other MBBs via its In Connectors Clicking on one of the model names gives you access to the underlying model In
114. ntent pane on the right Step 1 Setting up the drivers Drivers incorporated in the system are organised in two groups External factors and Policy measures When you click on one of these you get access to the underlying information This is also the entry point for adapting drivers and entering new data The result of this step is a set of sub scenarios for each of the drivers When developing a sub scenario you can build on existing sub scenarios For example you can load the baseline sub scenario change it and then save the changes as a new sub scenario Then you can load the baseline scenario again and made different changes Drivers for policy user that are included in WISE are the following e External factors Economy international exports interregional exports gross fixed capital formation Population fertility lever mortality lever additional net in migration for each district e Policy measures Economy rates of change in eco efficiency rates of change in multi factor productivity Population proportion of people living in each residential land use category for each district Zoning measures Infrastructure The steps required to view or change driver settings are described in the section Setting up the drivers Doc 2330707 Page 31 3 2 Step 2 Creating integrated scenarios In the second step integrated scenarios can be assembled from a selection of existing sub scenarios For each of the drivers yo
115. nvironments map Besides the land use map the LENZ map and Protected area map are required as input in the terrestrial biodiversity model e LENZ map the Land Environments of New Zealand map shows information on land environments that serve as surrogates for ecosystems and habitats e Protected area map Protected areas network of New Zealand map is a database of legally protected areas You can upload a new LENZ map by clicking the browse button next to LENZ map and double clicking the new map You can add a protected area map for a specific year by clicking the Add time button and importing a new map for the added year You can delete a protected area map for a specific year from the list by selecting the map and clicking the Remove time button You can view the protected area map by selecting it and clicking the Show Edit button on the middle right side of the Terrestrial biodiversity model dialog window In the Parameters part of the Terrestrial biodiversity model dialog window you can indicate whether a land use is a land use growing native vegetation by selecting the check box next to this land use In the Output part of the Terrestrial biodiversity model dialog window you can view the output map by clicking on the Show threatened environments map button at the bottom of the window The Threatened environments map window opens where 6 categories are assigned to each environment acutely threatened chronically threatened at
116. organised access to all policy relevant output calculated by the integrated model Indicators are organised in four groups in the user interface e Social indicators Economic indicators Environmental indicators Land use indicators Some of these indicators describe a state or a condition at the current simulation time e g the maps under the Environmental indicators section and the age cohort figure Other indicators show a change over time Note that these will be empty when you first open the simulation or after you have reset the simulation but are filled with data as the simulation progresses and display the full picture at the end of a simulation You can visualise the social economic environmental and land use indicators at any point in time during a simulation Social indicators On the Population tab of the social indicators you will find a population pyramid for the current simulation time and the district selected in the Population for district list You can click the graph buttons to display a graph window that shows the evolution of the Doc 2330707 Page 41 3 4 total male or female population for the selected district over the course of the simulation period On the Density tab you will find a table of average population densities for the current simulation time and for the residential land use selected on the Land use list Density values that lie within the upper and lower bound are indicated with a green
117. ork of interest on the dropdown list next to Network layer The detailed information for all the network changes for the selected layer are displayed in the table Click the Add button to import a network change at a specific time for the selected network gt Click the Remove button to delete a network change at a specific time for the selected network gt You can view and edit each network change in isolation by selecting the change of interest from the table and clicking the Show Edit selected button gt Click the Show Edit selected button to display a network change in isolation at a specific time for the selected network For more information about the network map window opened by pressing the Show Edit selected button see the section Network map window opened via the modeller user interface You can view the entire network at a specific simulation time via the policy user interface For more information see the section Displaying an infrastructure network The settings for network changes in the Infrastructure layers window links directly to the setting on the Policy measures page in the Main window Go to the Accessibility tab of the Land use change model window Accessibility parameters which describe the influence of certain land uses to be close to elements of the infrastructure network play an important role in the allocation of the land use Page 66 Doc 1737699 functions In the Parameters part the
118. pen is created with an older version of WISE a message window will appear to ask you whether to upgrade the project file to the current version of software gt Click the No button if you still want to be able to open the project with an earlier version of the software gt Click the Yes button to upgrade the project file automatically Then you can open it with the current version of WISE You will no longer be able to open the project with an earlier version of the software WISE will be started and you will see the WISE application window on your screen where HH is the name of the project file that you selected screen layout When you start WISE the application window opens immediately This is the window in which you will run your simulations You can arrange windows as you like in the application window Before a project file has been opened the window is empty except for its Status bar Toolbar and Menu bar The different components of this window will be described in the next paragraphs Page 4 Doc 2330707 Menu bar WISE CAP NUM SCRL Status bar Application Window The Menu Bar provides access to various functions in WISE Each menu item is described in detail in the section he WISE menu system The Toolbar gives fast access to some of the more frequently used functionality Each item on the toolbar is described in the table below Open a project file from the disk Save the opened project fi
119. ps in WISE you need to reset to complete the changes Update Click Update on the Simulation menu to recomputed the model without changing the current simulation time Changes to initial values parameters that do not affect the current simulation time or time dependent variables in the model such as the land use map will not be recalculated when you update the simulation For this reason updating a simulation is mostly much quicker that resetting or running the simulation While the model is calculating a progress bar will be displayed in the status bar The progress bar will disappear when the calculations are finished Page 22 Doc 2330707 2 9 Step Click Step on the Simulation menu or click the Step button on the toolbar to advance the simulation clock by one time step mostly one year This option is useful to view the effect of the changes you have made on time dependent variables calculated by the model While the model is calculating a progress bar will be displayed in the status bar The progress bar will disappear when the calculations are finished Run Click Run on the Simulation menu or click the Run button on the toolbar to progressively advance the simulation clock till the end of the simulation period or the next simulation pause The simulation clock and the displayed results will be updated after each time step of the model While the model is calculating a progress bar will be displayed in the status bar The p
120. rated scenario displayed in the toolbar will be updated automatically If an integrated scenario already exists for the set of active sub scenarios it will be selected Otherwise the active integrated scenario will be displayed as modified Also when you change the value of a driver the active integrated scenario will change to modified just like the active sub scenario for the driver you have changed You can create new integrated scenarios by going to the Scenario manager page in the Main window under the Scenario tab Click the New button and enter the requested information in the dialog that will pop up Note that the new integrated scenario will not be activated automatically To do so select it from the Integrated scenario list You can also load sub scenarios on this page the effect will be the same as loading them on the page for the respective driver You can delete the active integrated scenario by clicking the Delete button on the Scenario manager page in the Main window This will not affect which sub scenarios are loaded for each driver Hence the active integrated scenario will change to modified as no integrated scenario exists anymore for the current set of active sub scenarios You can define a new integrated scenario by clicking the New button or by saving the project see section Saving a project Managing sub scenarios You can get an overview of all the available sub scenarios and wh
121. rmation in the zoning tool will be updated If you have changed the legend of the zoning plan or if you have selected a different legend the settings on the Category precedence tab of the zoning tool will be reset to the default values for the categories on the edited zoning plan You will find the categories at the bottom of the table Doc 2330707 Page 37 Interpreting zoning plans After you have imported all zoning plans you can interpret them to indicate the effect for each land use function On the Category precedence tab of the zoning tool the interpretation of all zoning plans is displayed in a table The order of the categories in the table indicates the precedence categories at the top overrule lower placed categories You can change the order by selecting a category i e a row in the table and clicking the buttons to the left of the table The order is the same for all land use functions The start and end time of each category can be set in the last two columns These settings are the same for all land use functions Double click the browser button l inside the cell to change the start or end time The displayed icons indicate the start of the simulation period 14 or the end of the simulation period PT When the start time of a category is set to 1 1 2010 that category will not influence the land use change model before that date This means that the category first has an effect on zoning on the first day of 20
122. rogress bar will disappear when the calculations are finished Stop Click Stop on the Simulation menu or click the Stop button on the toolbar while running a simulation to stop the simulation The simulation may not stop immediately because the calculations for the current simulation step are completed first in order to avoid corrupting the system Some functions in the user interface require you to stop the simulation first In this case click the Stop button on the toolbar and wait till the calculations are completed the progress bar in the status bar will disappear Saving results Write to Excel Click Write to Excel on the Options menu to open or close a link between WISE and a Microsoft Excel workbook The window that will appear will display a list of model blocks that allow their results to be written to Excel Enter a unique sheet name for each model block that you want to write to Excel you can copy paste the model block names Then enter a list of simulation times at which the model results should be written When you click the Start writing button a new Excel workbook is opened in the background and the model results will be written as you run the simulation While the link between WISE and the Excel workbook is open you can see that Write to Excel on the Options menu is checked Come back to the Write to Excel settings window and click the Open Excel workbook button to stop writing to Excel and
123. rt 16 bit with the area in m2 of the cell that lies in the catchment You can upload a new river network by clicking the browse button next to River network and double clicking on the new map The river network map is in shape format The reach network is a dendrite system of reaches and nodes Each reach has a single sub catchment associated with it A reach may also have a lake associated with it Information on a reach and its associated catchment characteristics are stored in the properties table for each reach You can view the river network by clicking the Show edit map button next to River network The Input river network map window opens You can zoom in the area of interest and right clicking on the reach of interest The selected reach becomes red Page 50 Doc 1737699 Click on the Properties on the context menu The Properties dialog window opens where you can edit the properties for the selected reach Input river network map AICA 7 a Ll 0 s lo Input river network map CH C E 4 576500000000000 5 423449999999995 0 071059999999995 Color master field RCHTYPE v Line width master field RCHTYPE v C Show nodes Show links After editing the river network map the system will ask you whether or not save the changes you made Click on the Yes button and giving a new file name to save the changed river network map GEONAMICA 2 Would you like to save t
124. s at which the zoning map for the selected land use will change Click on a time to display that zoning map Page 38 Doc 1737699 P Main window Drivers Se Policy measures Zoning sub scenario Baseline Load sub scenario Save sub scenario Plans and categories Category precedence External factors a ERE l Land use type Residential Lifestyle Blocks Driver Zoning v x Category Plan Zoning status Start time End time A F Department o Protected A Prohibited vd ed E Y Nga Whenua Protected A Prohibited K led P Auckland Regi Protected Prohibited 14 QEII Trust Co Protected A Prohibited hea Y Unprotected b Protected A Unspecified has vd E Policy measures vw v v v Pa LA LJ m 3 m Parameters E Actively stimulated H Permitted E Controlled C Restricted discretionary Discretionar 2015 Jan 01 N l Bl en comebing 201 lang BI Petites 2008 Jan 2006 an 01 arhi an anar lo District boundaries 2030 Jan 01 20294Jan 01 Named viewports You can change the settings on the Category precedence tab in the zoning tool while the Preview zoning map window is open The map will be updated interactively as you make changes to the settings This way you can immediately observe th
125. s check box to display links of a network in the map pane Clear this check box to not show links on the network map If you have changed an editable map you will be asked if you want to save or discard your changes when you close the map window Your changes will not be processed in the model until you close the map window and choose to save your change lf you choose to save your changes make sure you save them in a new file and do not overwrite an existing file or otherwise the system may not process your changes correctly Legend editor A legend assigns a label and a colour and possibly other characteristics such as line thickness to each value in a map Depending on what the values in a map represent we can either use a categorical or a numerical legend In a categorical legend the values in the map are assumed to represent category indices starting with the value O for the first category An example of a categorical map is the land use map where the land use classes form the categories The values in a numerical map can in principle take any value To limit the amount of entries in a numerical legend we associate each entry with a certain range of values An example of a numerical map is the annual amount of rainfall Page 12 Doc 2330707 Double click inside the legend pane of a map window to open the legend editor Here you can change the properties of the legend to control how the map is displayed Each distinct legend
126. sequent columns match the columns in the Combined probabilities table These columns specify a boundary condition within which each rule applies For example in the dialog depicted above the rule High probability of urbanisation only applies in those cells that have a probability of urbanisation larger than 0 75 Note that this rule does not apply to locations with an urban land use in the initial land use map as these location will be categorized as Doc 2330707 Page 27 Existing urban which is listed above the High probability of urbanisation rule in the Rules table The order in which the rules need to be defined thus depends on how they should be interpreted i e which rules should take precedence over which other rules This order may not be the most suitable order to list the categories of the composed map in its legend Therefore you can change the order of the legend categories in the Legend table by selecting one or more categories and clicking the Move up or Move down buttons You can view any composed probability map you have defined for any Monte Carlo run that you have performed or imported For example you can create Probability of urbanisation maps for the baseline scenario as well as an alternative scenario To view the maps click the Show probability map button in the Monte Carlo tool Select the desired Monte Carlo run and composed probability map and click the OK button An ex
127. system allows you to specify the parameters used for the accessibility maps for each function land use by following steps Select the land use of interest in the dropdown list Land use in the control pane Select the check box in front of Land use is build up if the selected land use in the model is contained in the set of urbanised land uses for example residential land Use You need to determine whether a land use is build up or not for all land uses Select the check box in front of Land use is impassable if the selected land use is impassable for example water You need to determine whether a land use is impassable or not for all land uses gt Set the implicit accessibility parameters for each land use function The mplicit accessibility values range from 0 to 1 Enter the Implicit accessibility parameter for the selected land use function on a build up area in the text box next to Implicit accessibility for build up areas Enter the Implicit accessibility parameter for the selected land use function on a non build up area in the text box next to Implicit accessibility for non build up areas The text boxes of Implicit accessibility parameters are only available when one of the land use functions in the model is currently selected on the dropdown list gt Specify the distance decay and weight parameters per land use function The parameter table allows you to set the Distance decay tor the effect of each Infrastructure type of th
128. t project files This is possible when you select Save project as from the File menu to save the project However caution is advised when using this option because different project files will share the same data stored in external files e g maps good guideline to follow in this situation is to always reset the simulation before saving the project WISE also provides the option to save a project together with all required external data files e g maps This option is convenient when you want to copy your project to a different computer Select Export project from the File menu If you have made any changes since the last save the Save project dialog will pop up asking you to save your changes This works the same as explained in the section Saving a project only when you click the Save button your project will not be saved immediately but first the Export project dialog will pop up If you did not make any changes the Export project dialog will pop up immediately when you export a project It looks similar to the image depicted below Export project Project File C Documents and SettingstusernamelMy Documents Geonamica WISEYWaikato geoproj Legend files folder C Documents and Settings username My Documents Geonamica WISE Legends Other files Description File name LENZMap_map C Documents and Settings username M Protected4reasMap_2006 Jan 01 00 00 00 map C Documents and Settings username M
129. t the top of the driver see the image below for an example When you hover the mouse cursor over this name a description of the sub scenario will be displayed as well The values that are displayed for the driver are the values that belong to the active scenario Whenever you change a value the name of the active sub scenario will change to modified to indicate that the currently displayed value does not belong to any existing sub scenario Active sub scenario Driver Zoning Main window Drivers Se Policy measures Zoning sub scenario Baseline ES Des Ea factors Plans and categories Category precedence Land use type Residential Lifestyle Blocks A Category Plan aa Community Fa Hamilton Cit Discretionary Zoning status Policy measures LY Major Facilities Hamilton Cit Discretionary Y Recreation En Hamilton Cit Non complying Y Recreation Ge Hamilton Cit Non complying F Recreation Ma Hamilton Cit Non complying vy Future Urban Hamilton Cit Controlled UY Overlay Hamilton Cit Controlled Y Rural Residential VY Deferred Resi Waipa Distri Non complying LY Overlay LY General Parameters Id 2014van 01 2015Jan 01 pl MM J M aj an EJ Id 2014ano1 Waipa Distri Controlled w 2015Jan 01 Waipa Distri Discretionary ho va Preview zoning map Waipa Distri Non comply
130. the dropdown list next to Land use The selected land use type is displayed on the right side of the control pane The content pane is structured by tabs Each tab has its own dialog window allowing you to set parameter values and view results The content of these dialog windows for the same tab can differ per land use type The content pane is structured by Land use tab Neighbourhood tab Accessibility tab Suitability tab and Zoning tab Most of the contents in the content pane are related to the selected land use in the control pane except that the Input and Parameters parts on the Land use tab Neighbourhood tab and Zoning tab are for all the land uses Land use Click the Land use tab to access the contents depicted as the figure above The Input part is on the top of the Land use tab The system allows you to view or edit the initial land use map here You can change the initial land use map by clicking on the browse button next to Initial land use map and selecting the file that you want to import A Map window of Initial land use map opens after pressing the Show Edit button on the left side of the text box You can view or edit the initial land use map via the map window For more information about how to edit a land use map see the section Grid tools Page 60 Doc 1737699 Initial land use map e Bare Surf a _ Bare Surfaces District boundaries e Indigenous Vegetation g Initial land use map CE Other
131. the economic model e The Allocated land use ha per land use function is the amount of land allocated by the land use change model e The Output corresponding to allocated land use per sector displays the amounts from the Allocated land use column after they have been converted back to monetary values e The Change in output due to land use constraint per sector is the difference between the Unconstrained output Demand tab and the Output corresponding to allocated land use Supply On the top part of the Supply tab the system allows you to view and edit the Ghosh matrix from sector to sector On the bottom part of the Supply tab you can observe the Change in final demand the Constrained final demand and the Constrained output per sector The last is used for the calculation of the indicators Indicators On the top of the Indicators tab it shows the Input table where you can view and edit the initial values of the indicators per sector It should be noted that the initial value must be non negative In the Parameters table you can view and edit the Hate of change in multi factor productivity and the Rate of change in eco efficiency per sector On the bottom you can see the output of the indicators per sector e The Current growth factor in the first column of the Output table shows the ratio of output in the current year to that of the previous year e Each year all the indicators are multiplied by the growth factor
132. the opened project When you save a project you have to save any changes you made to a driver or discard the changes and save the set of active sub scenarios in an integrated scenario Any changes made to other parameters accessible from the Parameters page in the Main window are also saved You cannot discard these changes and you cannot create scenarios for them Re open the Waikato project Discard any changes you made to an open project Go to Main window Drivers Policy measures Zoning Click on the Category precedence tab Change the zoning status for one of the categories in the table The active sub scenario will change to modified gt Click the Save button on the toolbar The Save project dialog will pop up It looks similar to the image depicted below Save project External Factors Climate Medium emission trend without variar External Factors Economy Baseline External Factors Population Baseline Policy measures Economy Baseline Policy measures Population Baseline Policy measures Zoning Save as new sub scenario Y My new zoning sub scenario l Discard changes Policy measures Infrastructure save in active sub scenario Baseline Save as new sub scenario Baseline Save as new integrated scenario Baseline with new zoning Integrated scenario description Baseline scenario For all drivers except zoning Uses
133. tion Saving changes If you experience problems If you experience problems installing or running WISE please contact RIKS with the version number of the application that you are using see the section About Research Institute for Knowledge Systems bv To the attention of Hedwig van Delden P O Box 463 6200 AL Maastricht The Netherlands Tel 31 43 3501750 Fax 31 43 3501751 E mail info riks nl Website www riks nl Doc 2330707 Page 7 2 1 Running the simulation This section describes the primary steps of running a simulation with WISE Opening a project file editing input and displaying output saving changes running a scenario saving results and analysing results Opening a project file In the section Getting started we explained how to install and start WISE We assume from now on that you have read this information that you have successfully installed WISE on your computer and that you have knowledge of the different terms introduced Opening an existing project file gt Open WISE ff it is not already open see the section Starting WISE Click the Open button on the toolbar if the Open project file window is not already open gt Navigate to the folder where you installed the WISE data and project files By default this is the folder GeonamicalWISE inside My Documents Select the Waikato file and click the Open button Once all files have been loaded two windows appear in the appl
134. tland Residential Residential Category Initial land use Probability of urbanisation Existing urban Residential Lifestyle Blocks Residential Low Densi any High proba any gt 0 75 Medium pro any gt 0 5 Low probab any gt 0 25 Nature Indigenous Vegetation Other Exotic Vegetation We any Water Marine Aquaculture Fresh Water Marine Outside 5 any Legend Colour Category High probability of urbanisation Medium probability of urbanisation Low probability of urbanisation Existing urban Nature Water Click the Add button in this dialog to add a column in the Combined probabilities table Each column represents the probability that one of the land uses selected in that column occurs in the simulated land use map For example to define the probability of urbanisation select all the urban land uses You can list the categories that will be displayed in the composed map in the Rules table Each row in this table represents one category in the composed map The rules are evaluated from top to bottom and the first rule that applies determines the value in the composed map If no rules apply the value in the composed map will be no data The first column in the Rules table specifies the name of each rule The second column specifies a selection of land use classes for each rule The rule only applies if the initial land use is one of the selected classes The third and sub
135. u need to select one sub scenario The steps required to create integrated scenarios are described in the section Integrated scenarios Step 3 Running the simulation In order to investigate the impact of certain scenarios you need to run the simulation for each integrated scenario of interest While you run simulations there are several ways to export intermediate and final results of the model for later use in step 5 e You can log maps which can be analysed afterwards in the Map Comparison Kit part of the WISE package or GIS packages see the section Log maps e You can make an animation of a map that shows how the map changes over time see the section Animate maps You can open the animation in a viewer but can also incorporate them in presentations or on a website e You can create a link to Excel through which all selected model results are directly written to Excel see the section Write to Excel This can be used for analyses and post processing afterwards Before running the simulation you can decide which results you would like to save to disk For details about running the simulation and saving results please refer to the section Running a scenario and the section Saving results Step 4 Visualising indicators After a simulation is finished WISE offers several options to analyse results The first option is to visualise indicators The indicators are organised in four groups e Social indicators e Economic ind
136. ulation name that is equal to the active integrated scenario Baseline gt Click the Generate button and change the settings to generate log moments for 2010 2020 2030 2040 and 2050 Page 24 Doc 2330707 Click the OK button in the Generate log moments window The Log moments list should now contain the values 2006 2010 2020 2030 2040 and 2050 Make sure the Turn logging off after last log moment option is selected If it is not you risk overwriting previously logged maps By automatically turning off the logging at the end of a simulation run you will have to manually turn it back on when you run e g a different integrated scenario At that time all you need to change in the Log settings window is the Simulation name By choosing a unique name you will prevent overwriting previously logged maps Click the Turn logging on button Log maps on the Options menu will now be checked to indicate that maps will be logged when you run a simulation Click the Reset button on the toolbar When the simulation is reset click the Run button to run the simulation till the end year Go to Main window Analysis Map Comparison Click the Start MCK button The Map Comparison Kit will open with the log file that you selected before in the Log settings window In the MCK you can compare the different maps that have been logged See the MCK user manual for more information Anim
137. use correspondence table are used to convert land use demand per sector to land use demand per function You can view or adjust the relation between land use functions and sectors by clicking on the corresponding cell in the table and adjusting the coefficient Note that the values are fractions and that all fraction for each sector should add up to exactly 0 or 1 Press the Apply button under the Sector to land use correspondence table to confirm the modifications The system allows you to undo changes in coefficients you have made since its last applied state by means of the Reset button The Apply and Reset buttons are only active after a change has been made On the bottom of the Sector land use correspondence tab you can find the Inverse correspondence table This shows the extent to which each sector contributes to each land use function The coefficients in this table will be used to convert land use demand per function to land use demand per sector The values in the Inverse correspondence table are updated after each simulation step Consumption The Consumption tab displays the household consumption per sector This is updated after each simulation step according to the growth of population People of different Page 52 Doc 1737699 ages or gender can have a different effect on total consumption which is captured in the Consumption scalars Demand The Input section of the Demand tab displays four compon
138. utton in the Add or Remove Programs Properties dialog window gt Step 2 Select WISE from the list of applications and press the Change Remove button Doc 2330707 Page 3 1 3 1 4 Step 3 Ihe Confirm File Deletion dialog window will open Press the OK button to confirm that you want to remove WISE and all its files from your hard disk gt Step 4 Repeat the steps 1 to 3 to uninstall the Map Comparison Kit Starting WISE Once installed you can start the WISE application as follows gt Click the Start button on the Windows taskbar gt Go to All Programs Geonamica WISE gt Click on WISE Importing the license file The first time you start WISE a dialog window will appear asking you to install a licence file for WISE Once a license is installed the software will skip this step unless the installed license has expired gt Click the OK button on the message window A dialog window will open allowing you to navigate to the folder where you put the licence file for WISE that you have received gt Open the licence file with the extension ic Each time you start WISE the About window appears see the section About gt Click the OK button on the About window Opening the project file gt After you press the OK button on the About window the Open project file dialog window opens gt Navigate to the project file that you want to open and double click on it If the project file you want to o
139. y Maps menu You can use the Maps menu to open map windows All available maps are structured hierarchically by themes in the menu There are essentially two types of maps input maps and output maps Input maps are editable and output maps calculated for the current simulation time by the system are not editable Options menu You can use the Options menu to personalise your workspace or to access the additional functionalities of WISE Option Function fink Write to Excel Establish or interrupt a link between WISE Section Write to Excel and the Microsoft Excel Workbook Log maps Store maps produced by the system in the Section Log maps form of rst files Animation maps Store dynamic maps produced by the Section Animate maps system in the form of gif animations Manage various application settings of Section Preferences WISE Preferences Click Preferences on the Options menu to control various application settings In the Preferences window that will open you can select how to deal with file associations made by the application whether to check for newer versions automatically and where to store temporary files created by the application File associations File associations are a mechanism in Windows using which you can open a file in a specific program based on the files extension For example Microsoft Word files have an extension doc or docx lf you double click on such a file in Windows Explorer the file will be op
140. ys shp Network Stations shp WaterwaysNodes shp Network StationsNodes shp Network Waterways shp Network WaterwaysNodes shp Ramps lines shp Ramps linesNodes shp Roads network shp Roads networkNodes shp Stations lines shp est roadexpansion 2010 sh v Save astype ESRI shape files shp v gt Specify the name and path of the file that you want to save changes to gt Press Save Suitability Click the Suitability tab to access the contents depicted as the figure below Page 70 Doc 1737699 8 Land use change model Land use FESEMYES y Land use type Vacant Land use Neighbourhood Accessibility Suitability Zoning Input Maximum suitabilty for al land uses 10 meng 2006 Jan 01 E RIKS Regional Futures V113 Simulations InputMa Suitability is represented in the land use change model by a map for each vacant or function land use Values on the suitability map guantify the effect that physical characteristics of the land have on the possible future occurrence of land uses The Suitability maps can be created with the help of the Overlay T ool It is important to keep the default names of these suitability maps which are assigned by the Overlay Tool in the case you can import one or all suitability maps generated by Overlay tool by clicking the Import from Overlay Tool button In the Import Overlay Tool maps dialog window enter the time for which you want to import

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