PASAP Seasonal Prediction Portal – User Manual Part 1 - poama-2
Contents
1. The current outlook type Gridded Map scroll buttons arrows and Zoom in or out using or Outlooks is the active tab map home button centre buttons or use the slider Gridded Outlooks Station Outlooks Climate Indices NN Controls iT Sen Mexi Gridded Outlooks Fooly JI Outlook variable Pn aipan lt D bkk gt O f 3 h gt Pi Yaren F Bi ee i 4 x i Honi ta Funafuti A Moresby i a o P ila Pago P Papeete i ort Vila Suva Alofi 99 ago Te Noumea t z Avarua SS Nuku alofa Brisbane Kingston Adamstown he Adelaide be Borns Sydney Melb _ Po Neoume Wellington 20 S Hobart 7 Pointer Location The longitude E and latitude N of the mouse pointer Map Scale Distance scale in kilometres that varies depending on zoom level e Current Outlook Type The Gridded Outlooks tab is active e Map Navigation The arrow buttons allow navigation scrolling around the global map Navigation can also be achieved by using the mouse to drag the map around click and hold the mouse button to drag the map A map home button is also provided at the centre of the arrow buttons Clicking this button will return the map view to the default location and zoom setting e Map Zoom Eight levels of zoom are provided To zoom in or out either click on the or buttons or move the zoom2. The data represented in the plots can be downloaded by following the Download Data link near the top of each plot The data is provided in text as ASCII data in comma separated values CSV format which can be exported into Excel Download Data Link Scroll Bar Forecast Data Selection Download the data in text ASCII Scroll down to see all the climate Choose any or all of the forecast format by clicking this link index data in the Data View Area data plot types to display Gridded Outlooks StatiorfOutlooks Climate Indices Nifio 3 4 Time Series download data Climate index Ni o 3 4 Initialised 20110815 as Ensemble Member e Mean Time Series Histogram Forecast Period ASO M ENSO thresholds ElNi o La Ni a SST anomaly C V RMS Error I Correlation Season Update Ni o 3 4 Histogram Ni o 3 4 ASO obability I Forecast Period Selection i Model Skill Selector Select available forecast periods Select any or all of the model skill from this drop down menu types to show
3. A Ve Plain 9 P oF A E t Countries Antarctica eee ale lea P 2000 eee ae 212 Background Selection Overlay Selection Legend Drop down list of background Various overlays can be switched Displays the key to the background maps available on or off map overlays that are selected e Controls Side Panel The seasonal forecast data to be plotted in the Data View Area are selected in the Controls Side Panel See section 2 for in depth documentation e Map Layers Side Panel The background map and various overlays can be selected in the Map Layers Side Panel e Background Selection The background map displayed in the Data View Area is selected in this drop down menu The map selected will form the background map to any seasonal forecast data displayed in the Data View Area The background maps available are e Plain Landmasses and oceans are shaded countries are outlined This is the default map background e Plain and economic exclusion zones Landmasses and oceans are shaded countries are outlined territorial waters are shaded and outlined e Topography As Plain but with land elevation shaded between 20 N and 60 S e Topography and bathymetry As Plain but with land elevation and ocean depth shaded between 20 N and 60 S e Blank A blank white background with no geography e Overlay Selection List of overlays displayed in the Data View Area that can be switched on or off by checking or clearing the bo
4. Climatology 3 Once the station has been selected choose the variable to view data for in the Variable Selection box 4 By default seasonal forecast data for the current season is selected to be plotted If a different season is desired this can be selected from the drop down menu in the Outlook Period box 5 If climatological data is desired in addition to the forecast data ensure the box for this is also checked in the Data Selection box If only climatological data is desired the also un check the forecast data box 6 Once the desired station data has been selected and the update button clicked the plots will be displayed in the Data View Area Scroll down to view all plots in this area 7 At the top of the Data View Area Station Information is displayed The WMO number for the station is shown along with the latitude N and longitude E coordinates of the station A map showing the location of the station within the South Pacific region is also displayed 8 The data plots displayed in the Data View Area can be downloaded by right clicking on the plot and selecting Save Image As The data represented in the plots can be downloaded by following the Download Data link near the top of each plot The data is provided in text as ASCII data in comma separated values CSV format Station Information Scroll Bar Variable Selection Scroll down to see all the station Select the for the forecast or data in the Da
5. PASAP Seasonal Prediction Portal User Manual Part 1 Website Guide The PASAP Seasonal Prediction portal provides seasonal climate outlooks at local and Pacific wide scales The outlooks are based on the current operational version of POAMA a dynamical model based seasonal prediction system run at the Australian Bureau of Meteorology This document provides an overview of the user interface and describes how to accomplish key tasks Gridded Outlooks Station Outlooks Climate Indices parra Select a forecast period Controls Map Layers j Oct Dec Nov Jan Jan Mar Mar May Gridded Outlooks Outlook variable Mean Sea Level Pressure R Total climatology anomaly seasonal mean MSLP Units hPa Data type Total O Anomaly GA Climate Index Ni o 3 4 i bar O Skill of Forecasts 5 eo raren i na 4 ort Moresby i 4 Ka wv oP r E m m m lt m Render style 2 Rarotennalties Contour cy Neumes Ave gt i O Gridded i amp Brisbane Kingston Download map image Accessing the Portal Supported browsers Firefox Chrome Internet Explorer limited URL http ooama bom gov au experimental pasap Username pasap Password Available from a charles bom gov au Documentation produced by K Shelton and A Charles 2011 Climate Prediction Capabilities Strengthened in National Meteorological Services a project of the Pacific Adaptation Strateg
6. ed Rainfall Surface Air Temperature 7 me Ne Mean Sea Level Pressure eed I l l p lI E 5 Sea Surface Temperature i Aei k ee l l Da A Port Moresby Apia i amp 7 a A wd oa o Papeete l T g ort Vila Suv ago Pago oP s SUV Alofi E S Noumea e Avarua I l o e g x os a l i b Nuku alofa a l I Brisbane Kaon i Adamstown i j j l I uA Adelaide e 2 Canberra Sydney amp l E Melbourne YU ii semua Wellingtons Pas Hobart Pap ad l t p l Lak gt l l l l l l l sat 2 n i al l l l l l l l Outlook Variable Selection Update Button A drop down menu displaying Lo 2222 2 2 _ i After selecting or changing any available outlook variables options click update 3 After an Outlook Variable has been selected further menus will become available in the Gridded Outlooks Panel Immediately below the Outlook Variable selection menu is brief a description of the currently selected data 4 Depending on the Outlook Variable selected various Data Types are available The update button must be clicked to view each Data Type in the Data View Area 5 Associated with each Outlook Variable and Data Type combination are measures of forecast skill which represent the ability of the model make an accurate forecast To access the forecast skill measures the Skill of Forecasts box must first be checked Again the update button needs to be clicked bef
7. he pop up window To close the window click the X in the top right corner of the pop up window 3 Outlook Type Station Outlooks Seasonal forecasts for participating South Pacific Island meteorological stations are presented along with climatological data The process for displaying a seasonal forecast or climatological data for a station is described below 1 The desired station is selected from the drop down menu in the Station Outlooks Side Panel 2 The Update button will have a red border once a selection has been made or changed it must be clicked before the selections or changes will appear in the Data View Area While the data is loading a busy icon will appear above the top right corner of the Side Panel This icon looks like an anemometer spinning in the Current Outlook Type The current outlook type Station Outlooks is the active tab Station Outlooks Station Outlooks Gridded Outlooks Station Selection Select desired station data to display in Data View Area wind Climate Indices Update Button After selecting or changing any options click update Station Outlooks Side Panel desired station selected here Forecast and climatological data for Station Outlooks Station Apia Samoa Faleolo Airport Samoa Funafuti Tuvalu Honiara Solomon Islands Nadi Airport Fiji Port Vile Vanuatu Rarotonga Cook Islands Rotuma Fiji Terawa Kiribati C ENSO
8. ht corner of the Side Panel This icon looks like an anemometer spinning in the wind Current Outlook Type Climate Indices Side Panel Data format and model skill for the desired climate index selected here The current outlook type Climate Indices is the active tab Climate Indices Gridded Outlooks Station Outlooks Climate Indices Climate index i a n i i i I M Mm Ni o 3 Ni o 3 4 Ni o 4 _ Histogram Forecast Period C RMS Error C Correlation Climate Index Selection Update Button Drop down list of available climate After selecting or changing any indices options click update 3 Once the climate index has been selected choose any or all types of data including model skill variables to display in the Data View Area By default Time Series is selected if this plot is not desired ensure the box is un checked 4 For certain plot types different forecast periods can be displayed By default the current season is selected if a different forecast period is desired this can be selected from the drop down Forecast Period Selection menu 5 Once the desired climate index data has been selected and the update button clicked the plots will be displayed in the Data View Area Scroll down to view all plots in this area 6 The data plots displayed in the Data View Area can be downloaded by right clicking on the plot and selecting Save Image As
9. ic outlook type can be found in sections 2 3 and 4 Outlook Type Tabs Data View Area Side Panel Navigate between the different Forecast products are displayed in Select the data and format of the types of seasonal forecast products this area data to be displayed Gridded Outlooks Controls Gridded Outlooks Hagatna e Outlook variable Saipan Palikir Majuro ad ot a a SN ae DS i Honiara Funafuti Nh i A Port Moresby Apia t A an pete Port Vila Guv Pago Pago Papeete SUV Alaf y i Alofi Avarua Noumea r aot Nuku alofa Brisbane irisbane j nso nea Kingston f a j Adelaide o hs Se Sydney k a Melboume A y Wellingtons Pas Hobart Se Le ad 2 Outlook Type Gridded Outlooks Seasonal forecasts presented in this format are displayed as maps of gridded data An overview of the Data View Area and Side Panel are provided followed by a more in depth guide to displaying the seasonal forecast products for Gridded Outlooks 2 1 Overview A brief overview describing the set up of the Data View Area and Side Panel for Gridded Outlooks 2 1 1 Data View Area For Gridded Outlooks the Data View Area displays a map by default The home map view is one displaying the South Pacific Several utilities are provided to aid navigation and interpretation when viewing the map These features are highlighted below Current Outlook Type Map Navigation Map Zoom
10. ore the desired forecast skill will be displayed in the Data View Area 6 Once the desired data has been selected and plotted in the Data View Area a moveable box will appear in the lower right area of the Data View Area This box contains the colour scale relating to the data plotted in the Data View Area The box can be moved by clicking and dragging the upper edge of the box 7 Along the top edge of the Data View Area is the Time Navigation Bar The top portion of this bar is composed of animation controls which can be used to show the displayed data for all available forecast periods The four controls l r are rewind to the beginning skip to the end stop and play from the currently selected forecast period Below the animation bar are the available forecast periods the currently selected period is highlighted with darker shading The data defaults to the current season Other forecast periods can be selected by clicking on the lighter coloured boxes the plotted data will update automatically By hovering the mouse pointer over a forecast period box a dialogue box is revealed giving the date the current forecast was run and the lead time the selected forecast period represents for that model run Time Navigation Bar Data Description Data Type Selection Animation control available A description of the data selected The type of data to be displayed is forecast periods and information for display is shown here selected here Gridded Ou
11. osed by clicking the X in the top right corner of the pop up Grid Lines Latitude and longitude grid at intervals that vary depending on the zoom level selected This overlay appears above any outlook variable that may be plotted in the Data View Area e Legend A key to the map background and overlays that are displayed in the Data View Area If an outlook variable is displayed the colour scale relevant to that variable is also displayed 2 2 Gridded Seasonal Forecast Products Viewing a seasonal forecast of a gridded variable is achieved by selecting the data which will be plotted in the Data View Area using the Controls Side Panel The process by which a seasonal forecast can be viewed and downloaded is described below 1 The desired Outlook Variable is selected from the drop down menu in the Gridded Outlooks Panel 2 The Update button will have a red border once a selection has been made or changed it must be clicked before the selections or changes will appear in the Data View Area While the data is loading a busy icon will appear above the top right corner of the Side Panel This icon looks like an anemometer spinning in the wind Controls Side Panel Gridded Outlooks Panel Gridded seasonal forecast products Select variable data type and are selected in this side panel image render style here Gridded Outlooks Station Outlooks Climate Indices Hagatna e Saipan Palikir Accumulat
12. slider Zooming can also be achieved by scrolling with a mouse double clicking with a mouse will Zoom in one zoom level centering the map on the location clicked e Map Scale A distance scale in kilometres that varies depending on the zoom level e Pointer Location The current location of the mouse pointer within the Data View Area is displayed as longitude E and latitude N coordinates 2 1 2 Side Panel Control The Side Panel Control for Gridded Outlooks is used to determine the gridded seasonal forecast product that is displayed in the Data View Area as well as the background map that is used and various other overlays that may be desired Selections available are described below Controls Side Panel Map Layers Side Panel Gridded seasonal forecast products Background map and overlays are are selected in this side panel selected in this side panel Gridded Outlooks Station Outlooks Climate Indices ka ey Hagatna e Saipan Palikir Majuro b b F Variables 2 Country Borders 7 He p Places Sh Ss as Funafut Climate Indices 44 gn te Honiara unau e i gt PEEN ae Stations 4 Serre ela Grid Lines Dee Port Vilat ayy Pago Paao Papeete vp a r la Suva Alofi ago sia e ane Noumea Avarua a5 Pea aE Nuku alofa asn a ae e Brisbane J Kingston Adamstown f e j i z Adelaide 6 Climate Indices W de Canber ra Sydney Y o _ amp Melbourne ey haa a Wellingtons pei sors Hobar t
13. ta View Area climatological data here Provides information about and location of the selected station Gridded Outlooks Station Outlooks Climate Indices A Station Outlooks Station Funafuti Tuvalu Ca WMO Number 91642 7 Station Coordinates 8 50 179 22 i a Funafuti Tuvalu M Funafuti Tuvalu sa M download data Variable Rainfa Temperature Outlook Period Rainfall Terciles ASO v Funafuti ASO 100 0 Terciles ENSO Climatology Upcate 33 3 Probability 0 Dry Normal Wet Tercile Normal accumulated rainfall for ASO Funafuti 591 844 mm Data Selection Outlook Period Selection Forecast and or climatological data Select the Outlook Period for which to be shown in the Data View Area forecast data will be shown Data Download Link Download the data in text ASCII format by clicking this link 4 Outlook Type Climate Indices Seasonal forecasts are available for a variety of climate indices The process for displaying a seasonal forecast for a climate index is described below 1 The desired climate index is selected from the drop down menu in the Climate Indices Side Panel 2 The Update button will have a red border once a selection has been made or changed it must be clicked before the selections or changes will appear in the Data View Area While the data is loading a busy icon will appear above the top rig
14. tlooks Station Outlooks Climate Indices Select a forecast period Controls Map Laye Gridded Outlooks Sep Nov Outlook variable Surface Air Temperpture M compared to NCEP Units No units Data type Total Anomaly Warmer than normal Cooler than normal j e Al 5 aon i Skill of Forecasts RMSE Brisbane s Correlation 4 Adelaide ACanberra Sydney jA teibouie Wellington Hobart wy SE ET Gaz 0 4 Image Type Contour p imag 0 0 Download map image res 7 Lo z 1 0 1 0 180 E 160 W 140 W 120 W 183 08 21 09 Image Type Selection Switch between the display of contoured or gridded data Colour Scale Colour scale key to the data displayed in the Data View Area Download Map Image Data View Area plot opens as a pop up allowing image to be saved 8 The data is displayed in the Data View area can be either contoured shading or grid boxes shaded by their actual values The way the data is displayed is selected in the Image Type Selection box in the Controls Side Panel 9 The seasonal forecast as displayed in the Data View Area can be saved as an image by clicking the Download map image link in the Controls Side Panel Clicking this link opens a pop up window containing a downloadable version of the plot displayed in the Data View Area The plot can be saved by clicking anywhere in t
15. x Available overlays include e Variable When an outlook variable has been selected and plotted using the Controls Side Panel the name of that variable is displayed here e Country Borders Country outlines This overlay appears above any outlook variable that may be plotted in the Data View Area e Places Location and name of capital cities and Australian state territory capitals This overlay appears above any outlook variable that may be plotted in the Data View Area e Climate Indices Shaded and outlined boxes indicating the regions over which Ni o 3 Nino 3 4 and Nino 4 indices are determined This overlay appears above any outlook variable that may be plotted in the Data View Area All three indices are shown and each box is clickable to reveal a pop up with small image of the SST anomaly time series for that index A link to Outlook Type Climate Indices displaying the times series in the Data View Area is also provided in the pop up The pop up can be closed by clicking the X in the top right corner of the pop up Stations Large red dots indicating the locations of participating South Pacific Island meteorological observing stations for which station data is available This overlay appears above any outlook variable that may be plotted in the Data View Area The dots are clickable to reveal a pop up with a link to Outlook Type Station Outlooks displaying information for that Station in the Data View Area The pop up can be cl
16. y Assistance Program supported by the Australia Agency for International Development in collaboration with the Department of Climate Change and Energy Efficiency and delivered by the Bureau of Meteorology Table of Contents PASAP Seasonal Prediction Portal User Manual Part 1 Website Guide Accessing the Portal PASAP Portal Overview 2 Outlook Type Gridded Outlooks 2 1 Overview 2 2 Gridded Seasonal Forecast Products 3 Outlook Type Station Outlooks 4 Outlook Type Climate Indices om O O N A A OW PASAP Portal Overview The PASAP Portal is divided into three main areas The primary area is the Data View Area with two secondary areas the Outlook Type Tabs and the Side Panel The orientation of the PASAP Portal is displayed below e Outlook Type Tabs These tabs are used for navigation between the different tyoes of seasonal forecasts that are available through the PASAP Portal The product types available include Gridded Outlooks Station Outlooks and Climate Indices Documentation for each of these products can be found in sections 2 3 and 4 respectively Data View Area The forecast products are displayed in this area Further documentation relevant to the specific outlook type can be found in sections 2 3 and 4 e Side Panel The data and format of the data to be displayed in the Data View Area are selected in this side tab Further documentation relevant to the specif
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